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Chewits   United Kingdom. Jul 04 2009 14:25. Posts 2539 | | |

Played some cash games today and on the wrong side of variance. So, this made me quite happy. Its not much, but it is one hella cheap way into the tourney and for a guy like me with $1400 bankroll, I am quite excited 
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I am a degen. Do not believe in any of my advice. | |
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Gadget   United States. Jul 04 2009 14:38. Posts 295 | | |
winning 15% of your BR isnt that small of a thing |
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EscapingR   Netherlands. Jul 04 2009 14:44. Posts 2353 | | |
lol indeed gj though |
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Jonoman92   United States. Jul 04 2009 15:08. Posts 280 | | |
That's awesome are just gonna take the T$ or play the tourney? |
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~~sMi.Arcology SC For Life! | |
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Chewits   United Kingdom. Jul 04 2009 15:33. Posts 2539 | | |
Play the tourney ofc ! |
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I am a degen. Do not believe in any of my advice. | |
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Naib   Hungary. Jul 04 2009 15:34. Posts 968 | | |
I think the +EV decision for now (for you) is to sell the T$ and be happy you made bad variance back 
Edit: I would do the same ofc, I didn't mean to be condescending. |
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My favourite line is Bet/Fold. I bet, you fold. | Last edit: 04/07/2009 15:34 |
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play that shit man, are you crazy ? |
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How you want it, bars or bullets? | |
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Chewits   United Kingdom. Jul 04 2009 16:23. Posts 2539 | | |
Why would I not play in it? I play alot of MTTs and SnGs, so it is not like im a complete idiot. Buy in fee of 500 FPP for Sunday Million? That is +EV. 500 FPP is nothing. And to top it off, its the weekend when the WSOP ME is on, so I would have to say the field could be a little bit smaller. |
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I am a degen. Do not believe in any of my advice. | |
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Naib   Hungary. Jul 04 2009 17:27. Posts 968 | | |
215 bucks > very small % of ROI.
Your choice though. |
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My favourite line is Bet/Fold. I bet, you fold. | |
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Cooper83   . Jul 04 2009 20:35. Posts 288 | | |
Gonna have to agree, sell the T$ and increase the bankroll unless you really feel like gambling. |
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Fujikura   United States. Jul 04 2009 20:37. Posts 1795 | | |
Take a shot!! It's not like $215 is going to help you move up a level in stakes... Good luck, keep us posted with results  |
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aka SouL)Z(Isadie and SouL)P(Fujikura | |
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Ket   United Kingdom. Jul 04 2009 22:15. Posts 8665 | | |
lol its pretty irrational how so many players treat money won in a satellite where you arent obligated to play the target tournament any different to money won in any normal cash-buyin cash-prize games. you now have a $1615 roll and are about to pay 215$ of it to take a shot at a massive field massive variance donkament. aggressive bankroll management when done right is definitely the way to make the most money but theres no way this is close to an optimal decision. look up the basics of kelly criterion yo |
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Chewits   United Kingdom. Jul 05 2009 06:54. Posts 2539 | | |
The reason I played the satellite was to win a seat for the million and play that. To not play it, would go against the very goal. I played one before this and came 2nd. I can totally understand your logic, but to me, it is not about the money, it is about the goal. And that was to win a seat for the million. |
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I am a degen. Do not believe in any of my advice. | |
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Chewits   United Kingdom. Jul 05 2009 19:56. Posts 2539 | | |
Well guys, I didn't win it I busted out in 1915th. Looking at the hand it was a bit foolish of me, but never the less, enjoyed playing. Alot of bad players in the million :/ Like so many limpers its unreal. The hand I busted was, AKo UTG, raise 3x, and guy 3bets me with about double his 3bet behind, and for some reason I thought the most +EV move was to reship here. Bad idea, as he is surely repping a PP here, in which case I am behind. He had KK, and no ace and it was gg.
Nevermind. Was playing FTW. Played decent, wasnt super stacked, but did not make and stupid mistakes, and made some good bets taking many pots down etc. |
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I am a degen. Do not believe in any of my advice. | Last edit: 05/07/2009 19:58 |
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