UFC on ESPN 11: Blaydes vs. Volkov

Date: Saturday, June 20
Main Card (ESPN): 1:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN): 22:00 LP.net / 2pm PST / 5pm EST
Live Streams: http://crackstreams.com/mma/2/




Main Card (ESPN)

Curtis Blaydes (13-2) vs. Alexander Volkov (31-7) (Heavyweight)
Josh Emmett (15-2) vs. Shane Burgos (13-1) (Featherweight)
Raquel Pennington (10-8) vs. Marion Reneau (9-5-1) (Women's Bantamweight)
Lyman Good (21-5) vs. Belal Muhammad (16-3) (Welterweight)
Jim Miller (31-14) vs. Roosevelt Roberts (10-1) (Catchweight - 160 lbs)

Preliminary Card (ESPN)

Clay Guida (35-19) vs. Bobby Green (24-10-1) (Lightweight)
Tecia Torres (10-5) vs. Brianna Van Buren (9-2) (Women's Strawweight)
Marc-Andre Barriault (11-4) vs. Oskar Piechota (11-3-1) (Middleweight)
Cortney Casey (9-7) vs. Gillian Robertson (7-4) (Women's Flyweight)
Frank Camacho (22-8) vs. Matt Frevola (8-1-1) (Lightweight)
Roxanne Modafferi (24-16) vs. Lauren Murphy (12-4) (Women's Flyweight)
Austin Hubbard (11-4) vs. Max Rohskopf (5-0) (Lightweight)

Other

- Joe Solecki withdrew from his fight against Austin Hubbard on June 13. On June 14, Max Rohskopf agreed to make his promotional debut against Hubbard.
- "A Las Vegas resident, Rohskopf trains under grappling legend Robert Drysdale at Zenith Jiu-Jitsu. A former standout wrestler at North Carolina State University, Rohskopf made his professional MMA debut in February 2018 and has since kept his record unblemished through five outings, most recently with a 53-second submission win over Paulo Silva earlier this year under the Titan FC banner."

First impression of the match-ups:

• Blaydes > Volkov
• Burgos > Emmett
• Pennington > Reneau
• Good > Muhammad
• Roberts > Miller
• Guida > Green
• Buren > Torres
• Barriault vs. Piechota (dunno)
• Casey > Robertson
• Frevola > Camacho
• Murphy > Modafferi
• Rohskopf > Hubbard

I like the Burgos pick and Guida. But does being a part time fighter affect performance vs a now weak version of Guida? Stipe Miocic is a part time fighter.

Is Brianna Van Burren ready for Tecia Torres? Torres fought with the elite. It might be a leap for Brianna and the odds on Torres.

Curtis Blaydes (261) vs. Alexander Volkov (247)
Josh Emmett (146) vs. Shane Burgos (146)
Raquel Pennington (136) vs. Marion Reneau (136)
Belal Muhammad (170.5) vs. Lyman Good (170.5)
Jim Miller (159.5) vs. Roosevelt Roberts (160)
Bobby Green (155.5) vs. Clay Guida (154.5)
Tecia Torres (116) vs. Brianna Van Buren (115)
Marc-Andre Barriault (185.5) vs. Oskar Piechota (185.5)
Cortney Casey (123.5) vs. Gillian Robertson (125.5)
Frank Camacho (158)* vs. Justin Jaynes (156)
Roxanne Modafferi (125.5) vs. Lauren Murphy (125.5)
Austin Hubbard (156) vs. Max Rohskopf (155)


*Frank Camacho missed weight by two pounds.

My final picks:

• Blaydes > Volkov
• Burgos > Emmett
• Pennington > Reneau
• Good > Muhammad
• Roberts > Miller
• Guida > Green
• Buren > Torres
• Barriault > Piechota
• Casey > Robertson
• Camacho > Jaynes
• Murphy > Modafferi
• Rohskopf > Hubbard

My bets are Lauren Murphy, Tecia, Guida and Lyman Good.

Burgos odds moved so much. Is -150 still ok?

On June 20 2020 08:14 balakubak wrote: My bets are Lauren Murphy, Tecia, Guida and Lyman Good. Burgos odds moved so much. Is -150 still ok?

It's entirely up to you.

I bet on people who I think will win. Their odds only dictate how much I'm willing to spend on them. For example, at +100 or -200 for Burgos, I still think he'll beat Emmett, but those two prices tell me how much I'm willing to spend on him.

If a fighter is -200 or above and I want to bet them, I usually find another bet that think is really likely to win, and parlay the two lines so I don't have to invest as much money.

Rohskopf took the fight on short notice and gassed after winning the first round. Great...

AND... He quit on the stool after R2 and told the referee he didn't want to start R3... WOW!

I don't remember the last time I heard a UFC fighter tell the referee he doesn't want to fight anymore, and also told his coach that "I don't have it, I don't have it..."

He probably bet on the other guy lol

Big takedown for Murphy

Lauren Murphy with the clear win, doing what I expected her to do.

On June 20 2020 21:59 PuertoRican wrote: Lauren Murphy with the clear win, doing what I expected her to do.

But what did you think about round 1? It looked like Modaferi.

Jaynes +3.5 +175 = cashes

At least Robertson was able to cash my ITD bet.

What a joke of a performance from Casey.

I added some to Barriault -130.

Last minute parlay of Van Buren decision, Pennington decision, and Blaydes/Volkov U4.5 at +331 as a hedge to a different parlay.

Tiny Tornado!

Great job by Tecia Torres. I was worried she'd get a TKO in R2 and R3...

On June 20 2020 23:36 PuertoRican wrote: Great job by Tecia Torres. I was worried she'd get a TKO in R2 and R3...

The best Tecia I have seen. Was she always aggressive like this?

On June 20 2020 23:38 balakubak wrote: Show nested quote + On June 20 2020 23:36 PuertoRican wrote: Great job by Tecia Torres. I was worried she'd get a TKO in R2 and R3... The best Tecia I have seen. Was she always aggressive like this?

Not in a long time, because she was facing bigger fighters.

Now she fought a small fighter and went back to being aggressive.

Nice win for Jim Miller, and he didn't take any damage, which is what I love to see in his fights.

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The best daily fantasy lineup has 4 underdogs winning ITD. It says how fucked this card is.

I was just told Lyman Good's father passed away recently. That might have affected him?

On June 21 2020 01:15 balakubak wrote: I was just told Lyman Good's father passed away recently. That might have affected him?

It was gonna be a close fight either way. Belal trained with Geoff Neal and improved a little bit.

Good fight either way.

I took Reneau +220 after R1.

Pussy shot!

So much for thinking Reneau could win. She has no idea how to break a plum clinch...

On June 21 2020 01:24 PuertoRican wrote: I took Reneau +220 after R1.

That might be 5dimes telling everyone to "come hither"

Did Burgos win round 1?

R1: Burgos
R2: Burgos
R3: Emmett 10-8

Draw, imo.

http://ufcstats.com/fight-details/4f99b4a39925cb47

Had it as a draw as well but I might be biased since I'm pretty high on burgos

Really surprised how reckless he fights considering how good his boxing is

On June 21 2020 02:16 PuertoRican wrote: R1: Burgos R2: Burgos R3: Emmett 10-8 Draw, imo. http://ufcstats.com/fight-details/4f99b4a39925cb47

The 3rd round cost him. a lot.

I'm not gonna let that bother me, as Burgos let himself get hit too much.

Burgos landed more strikes in R1 and R2, but the judges saw Emmett's overhand right punch as counting for a lot more than what Burgos was throwing.

On June 21 2020 02:21 Into Infinity wrote: Had it as a draw as well but I might be biased since I'm pretty high on burgos Really surprised how reckless he fights considering how good his boxing is

He's overconfident

6 underdogs won thus far.

On June 21 2020 02:26 PuertoRican wrote: I'm not gonna let that bother me, as Burgos let himself get hit too much. Burgos landed more strikes in R1 and R2, but the judges saw Emmett's overhand right punch as counting for a lot more than what Burgos was throwing.

Yeah. I am still up in total from the last few events thanks to your breakdowns.

On June 20 2020 07:07 PuertoRican wrote: My final picks: • Blaydes > Volkov • Burgos > Emmett • Pennington > Reneau • Good > Muhammad • Roberts > Miller • Guida > Green • Buren > Torres • Barriault > Piechota • Casey > Robertson • Camacho > Jaynes • Murphy > Modafferi • Rohskopf > Hubbard

6 underdogs won on this card, and Curtis Blaydes couldn't finish a guy he dominated for most of the fight.

I got my ass owned tonight. Shittiest day I've had since my return to betting.

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I leave to Vegas on Friday, so I look forward to that.

Blaydes was tired. I thought Volkov had a chance going the the champ. rounds.