UFC FN 96: Lineker vs. Dodson

Date: Saturday, October 1st
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass): 00:15 LP.net / 4:15pm PST / 7:15pm EST
Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1): 2:00 LP.net / 6pm PST / 9pm EST
Main Card (Fox Sports 1): 4:00 LP.net / 8pm PST / 11pm EST
Live Streams: http://firstrowus1.eu/




Main Card (Fox Sports 1)

John Lineker (28-7) vs. John Dodson (18-7) (Bantamweight)
Will Brooks (18-1) vs. Alex Oliveira (14-4-1) (Lightweight)
Joshua Burkman (28-13) vs. Zak Ottow (13-3) (Welterweight)
Louis Smolka (11-1) vs. Brandon Moreno (11-3) (Flyweight)

Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 2)

Luis Henrique da Silva (11-0) vs. Joachim Christensen (13-3) (Light Heavyweight)
Hacran Dias (23-4-1) vs. Andre Fili (15-4) (Featherweight)
Shamil Abdurakhimov (16-3) vs. Walt Harris (8-4) (Heavyweight)
Keita Nakamura (32-7-2) vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (15-5) (Welterweight)

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Nate Marquardt (34-16-2) vs. Tamdan McCrory (14-4) (Middleweight)
Jonathan Wilson (7-1) vs. Ion Cutelaba (11-2) (Light Heavyweight)
Cody East (12-2) vs. Curtis Blaydes (5-1) (Heavyweight)
Kelly Faszholz (3-1) vs. Ketlen Vieira (6-0) (Women's Bantamweight)

Other

- On September 9, two fighters pulled out from their bouts: Brian Ortega and Bobby Green were expected to face Hacran Dias and Joshua Burkman, respectively. Ortega was replaced by Andre Fili, while Green was replaced by promotional newcomer Zak Ottow.
- Sergio Pettis was scheduled to face Louis Smolka at the event. However, Pettis pulled out of the fight on September 22 citing what his trainer described as "a minor injury". Smolka will remain on the card and is expected to face Brandon Moreno.

First impression of the match-ups:

• Dodson > Lineker
• Brooks > Oliveira
• Burkman > Otto
• Smolka > Moreno
• Silva > Christensen
• Fili > Dias
• Harris > Abdurakhimov
• Santos > Nakamura
• McCrory > Marquardt
• Cutelaba > Wilson
• Blaydes > East
• Faszholz > Vieira

I give Dodson the edge early but lineker the edge after the 2nd round. Dodson seems to go into auto pilot mode sometime in the 2nd round and just kinda coasts and his output just drops really low. Lineker hasn't been 5 rounds before but he's a lil guy and they usually got good cardio and never seen him gas so I'll give him the benefit. So I think if it goes past 2 Lineker starts to take over via volume.

I think both guys will be weary of each others power early, increasing the likelihood of it going past 2 rounds, so I favor Lineker.

Hope Will Brooks shows his potential in this fight. Dude beat chandler which is no easy task. I personally had Chandler 2-0 against Eddie Alvarez. I think if he is at that form in the UFC I think he can give anyone in the division a lot of trouble.

Smolka is always in fun fights so hope he wins. His side kick finish was one of my favorite finishes ever.

Going big on Dodson here, maybe a parlay with Brooks.

Love lineker and would be sick to see him get a title shot, haven't gone wrong betting him yet.

But Dodson is so fast I don't see him getting pinned against the fence and just eating brutal full force hook after hook

Bet dodson

I made my parlay: Dodson + Brooks. 50 bucks to win 129

I like the over on the Dodson Linekar fight, it's set at 2.5 on a 5 round fight at even money. I wouldn't be shocked to see either guy get an early finish, but I'd be mildly surprised. Linekar for the reasons started above about Dodson's speed, and Dodson because Linekar is absurdly durable and Dodson will probably play it safe early.

I feel really sure about my parlay I just add another 50$

As a valued DraftKings user, we'd like to inform you of changes to our current MMA game. Beginning 9/29/2016, MMA rosters will expand from 5 fighters to 6 fighters. In addition, see the updated scoring for MMA listed below:

Previous rules vs. New rules

Significant Strikes 0.5 pts to 0.5 pts
Advance 1 pt to 3 pts
Takedowns 2 pts to 5 pts
Reversals 2 pts to 5 pts
Knockdowns 3 pts to 10 pts
Win in Round 1 100 pts to 90 pts
Win in Round 2 70 pts to 70 pts
Win in Round 3 50 pts to 45 pts
Win in Round 4 40 pts to 40 pts
Win in Round 5 40 pts to 40 pts
Win By Decision 25 pts to 30 pts

We listened to your feedback and felt that moving to 6 fighter rosters would reduce ties and improve the overall MMA player-experience. The stat changes above aim to award more points for grapplers and wrestlers, increase opportunity for more strategy in the MMA game, and further reduce lineup overlap.

These changes will take effect for UFC Fight Night: Dodson vs Lineker on 10/01/2016. All MMA contests going forward will have these rule changes in place.

Damn Alex Oliveira misses weight by 5.5 pounds

^ REAL weigh-in. Original video was deleted.


John Lineker (136.5)*** vs. John Dodson (135)
Will Brooks (156) vs. Alex Oliveira (161.5)*
Josh Burkman (170) vs. Zak Ottow (171)
Louis Smolka (126) vs. Brandon Moreno (126)
Joachim Christensen (205) vs. Luis Henrique da Silva (206)
Hacran Dias (148.5)** vs. Andre Fili (146)
Shamil Abdurakhimov (256) vs. Walt Harris (254)
Keita Nakamura (170.5) vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (171)
Nate Marquardt (186) vs. Tamdan McCrory (185)
Ion Cutelaba (206) vs. Jonathan Wilson (205)
Curtis Blaydes (265.5) vs. Cody East (261)
Kelly Faszholz (134.5) vs. Ketlen Vieira (136)

* Oliveira was 5.5 pounds over the lightweight limit. If Brooks makes weight, Oliveira will be fined 20 percent of his show money.
** Dias was 2.5 pounds over the featherweight limit.
*** Lineker was .5 pound over the bantamweight limit.

3 Brazilians missed weight.

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^ FAKE weigh-in

think im changing my pick to Dodson due to lineker missing weight. He missed weight at a weight above where he used to fight and he only missed by .5 pounds. Makes me think he's probably not in the best shape and he probably killed himself trying to make that .5 go away.

Un-fucking-believable that he missed weight at BW now. That's some anthony johnson shit. In fact he's missed weight 5 times which is 2 times more than AJ I believe.

On September 30 2016 19:22 Stim_Abuser wrote: think im changing my pick to Dodson due to lineker missing weight. He missed weight at a weight above where he used to fight and he only missed by .5 pounds. Makes me think he's probably not in the best shape and he probably killed himself trying to make that .5 go away. Un-fucking-believable that he missed weight at BW now. That's some anthony johnson shit. In fact he's missed weight 5 times which is 2 times more than AJ I believe.

Lineker won his last 3 fights where he missed weight.

Also, he looked good during weigh-ins, so I wouldn't worry too much. Weighing in early also helps fighters who don't good with cutting weight, cuz they get an extra 5+ hours on top of what they usually get. Since Lineker is in the main event, he gets at least 33 hours to re-hydrate, whereas people who fight first on the card get 27.5 to 28 hours to re-hydrate (if my shitty math is correct).

On September 30 2016 19:43 PuertoRican wrote: Show nested quote + On September 30 2016 19:22 Stim_Abuser wrote: think im changing my pick to Dodson due to lineker missing weight. He missed weight at a weight above where he used to fight and he only missed by .5 pounds. Makes me think he's probably not in the best shape and he probably killed himself trying to make that .5 go away. Un-fucking-believable that he missed weight at BW now. That's some anthony johnson shit. In fact he's missed weight 5 times which is 2 times more than AJ I believe. Lineker won his last 3 fights where he missed weight. Also, he looked good during weigh-ins, so I wouldn't worry too much. Weighing in early also helps fighters who don't good with cutting weight, cuz they get an extra 5+ hours on top of what they usually get. Since Lineker is in the main event, he gets at least 33 hours to re-hydrate, whereas people who fight first on the card get 27.5 to 28 hours to re-hydrate (if my shitty math is correct).

Good point about the early weigh ins. As to winning his last 3 fights he missed, that was at FLW. Him missing at BW makes me feel like something has to be off. Like he had an injury and couldn't train properly or something.

^ REAL weigh-in. Original video was deleted.

On September 30 2016 19:49 Stim_Abuser wrote: Show nested quote + On September 30 2016 19:43 PuertoRican wrote:   On September 30 2016 19:22 Stim_Abuser wrote: think im changing my pick to Dodson due to lineker missing weight. He missed weight at a weight above where he used to fight and he only missed by .5 pounds. Makes me think he's probably not in the best shape and he probably killed himself trying to make that .5 go away. Un-fucking-believable that he missed weight at BW now. That's some anthony johnson shit. In fact he's missed weight 5 times which is 2 times more than AJ I believe. Lineker won his last 3 fights where he missed weight. Also, he looked good during weigh-ins, so I wouldn't worry too much. Weighing in early also helps fighters who don't good with cutting weight, cuz they get an extra 5+ hours on top of what they usually get. Since Lineker is in the main event, he gets at least 33 hours to re-hydrate, whereas people who fight first on the card get 27.5 to 28 hours to re-hydrate (if my shitty math is correct). Good point about the early weigh ins. As to winning his last 3 fights he missed, that was at FLW. Him missing at BW makes me feel like something has to be off. Like he had an injury and couldn't train properly or something.

Him missing weight by 1/2 a pound at 135 means less to me than missing weight by 2, 3, and 4 pounds at 125.

He has made weight at both 125 and 135 on several occasions. It seems to me as if Lineker lacks discipline when it comes to keeping himself in-shape when he isn't fighting. Some guys, like Faber, keep their weight relatively low all-year round, while guys like Chad Mendes balloon up when they don't have a fight scheduled and could never take a short notice fight and expect to perform at their best.

Anyway, if I originally picked Lineker to win, I wouldn't trip over him missing weight at 135. Missing weight at 125 is a different story.

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Alex Oliveira can’t weigh more than 175 pounds against Will Brooks

http://www.mmafighting.com/2016/9/30/...e-than-175-pounds-against-will-brooks

Well I'm sure he was badly drained at FLW, at the same time I assume he is also super drained here otherwise he would have made the weight. He had to have known missing weight for the 5th time would be absolutely horrible for him and might cost him his UFC contract or force him up to 145 or at the very least a huge amount of money. I'd assume he did absolutely everything possible to lose that extra .5 pounds.

Also I'm concerned with him being in shape. He didn't look as lean as he has for his other BW fights. Missing weight at FLW makes sense, he's too big for the division. Missing weight at 135 makes no sense, it should be a relatively easy cut for him. I mean he's 5'3''. Yet he still missed, which makes me think he probably had an injury which didn't allow him to train as hard as usual. Or he's just retarded.

Burkman vs. Ottow is at Welterweight, not Lightweight.

I had the wrong weight class listed. Ottow wanted 170 cuz he took it on short notice.

Assessing John Lineker: The UFC's Most Enigmatic Not-Quite-Flyweight

http://fightland.vice.com/blog/assess...cs-most-enigmatic-not-quite-flyweight

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Final picks:

• Lineker > Dodson
• Brooks > Oliveira
• Burkman > Otto
• Smolka > Moreno
• Silva > Christensen
• Dias > Dias
• Abdurakhimov > Harris
• Santos > Nakamura
• McCrory > Marquardt
• Cutelaba > Wilson
• Blaydes > East
• Vieira > Faszholz

My DK teams:

1. Abdurakhimov, Blaydes, Silva, Lineker, Smolka, Vieira (Sherdog MMA)
2.
3. Abdurakhimov, Blaydes, Brooks, Lineker, Smolka, Santos ($3 team)
4. Blaydes, Lineker, McCrory, Nakamura, Smolka, Vieira ($3 team)
5. Abdurakhimov, Cutelaba, Lineker, McCrory, Smolka, Santos ($3 team)
6.
7. Blaydes, Lineker, Marquardt, Nakamura, Smolka, Vieira ($1 team)
8. Christensen, Cutelaba, Harris, Lineker, Smolka, Santos ($1 team)
9. Blaydes, Dias, Lineker, Marquardt, Smolka, Vieira ($1 team)
10. Blaydes, Cutelaba, Lineker, Smolka, Vieira, Santos ($1 team)
11. Abdurakhimov, Blaydes, Silva, Lineker, Smolka, Vieira ($1 team)
12. Abdurakhimov, Silva, Lineker, McCrory, Smolka, Vieira ($1 team)
13. Abdurakhimov, Cutelaba, Dodson, Nakamura, Smolka, Vieira ($1 team)
14.
15. Abdurakhimov, Blaydes, Silva, Lineker, Smolka, Wilson ($.25 team)
16. Abdurakhimov, Blaydes, Brooks, Lineker, Smolka, Santos ($.25 team)
17. Abdurakhimov, Silva, Dodson, Marquardt, Smolka, Santos ($.25 team)
18. Blaydes, Cutelaba, Lineker, Smolka, Vieira, Santos ($.25 team)
19. Blaydes, Silva, Lineker, Oliveira, Smolka, Santos ($.25 team)
20. Silva, Dias, Lineker, Oliveira, Vieira, Santos ($.25 team)
21. Abdurakhimov, Cutelaba, Silva, Lineker, Oliveira, Smolka ($.25 team)
22. Blaydes, Christensen, Silva, Lineker, Smolka, Santos ($.25 team)
23.
24. Blaydes, Cutelaba, Lineker, Oliveira, Smolka, Santos ($1,000 free roll)

Curtis Blaydes looked like he was training HELLbows with Travis Browne.

Good win for Razor~