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Simple EV math
  terrybunny19240, Apr 14 2011

Looking at some EV math for spots where you overbet the pot. For some reason I find it much more difficult to internalize than spots where you aren't overbetting the pot.

I usually just bruteforce these by solving
1-FE((s + p)(e) - s(1-e)) + FE(p) = $EV

HU pot
Fold equity =FE
Effective remaining stacks =s
Our equity in the pot =e
Pot size =p

What is our required fold equity on an all-in to reach a break-even EV?


Then I just do that until I find a fold equity that gives me EV =~ 0

I don't seem to be getting the right answer lol
Thoughts? Better ways?



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Comments (11)


IDK I'm thrown off so ez
  terrybunny19240, Apr 05 2011

Ugh. Today I woke up to my grandma's shrieks as she was attacked and hit repeatedly by my schizophrenic uncle. By the time I woke and crossed the house he was fleeing to his room. I helped grandma off the floor. Called 911 and the police came and committed my uncle. Grandma seems to be ok, she is bruised up a bit, worst part is she landed on her elbow and shoulder when she fell and badly sprained her shoulder or perhaps minorly fractured her clavicle. She complains it hurts but also feels numb, and she has swelling. The paramedics came along with the police and told her to should go to a walk-in clinic to get it x-rayed, I've tried to convince her, but she hates walk-ins for some reason. She is going to have her fucking chiropractor-acupuncturist x-ray her.. of course he isn't nearly as well trained to spot problems as a real doctor. And I have to drive her up to the guy. I'll fucking explode on this guy if he tries to manipulate her body. If this chiropractard gives her an all-clear/put ice on it and she doesn't improve markedly in the next day or two I'll make sure to take her to a real doctor.. She refuses right now. I'm glad she didn't break a hip or anything more serious.

Now the whole first 2/3rds of the day are used up.. was supposed to goto the gym when I woke up, have to wait around for gmas appointment now.. I guess my situation isn't a big deal but.. god damn it if I could have a fucking normal environment that I controlled I would be able to keep my focus on what I need to accomplish. I hope I can pull this shit together and make some money, I need to live on my own so badly.

I'm so angry (at my uncle slightly(mostly at his illness), at alternative medicine leading my grandma not to seek a real doctor, my grandma's gullibility) and tuned up and I can't do a damn thing about any of it.



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Comments (7)


Brief rant about people
  terrybunny19240, Mar 27 2011

Why do people expect you to have an opinion about everything? It is often most reasonable to hold no opinion or verdict on a topic, especially when it is outside the scope of one's area of study or expertise. People should respect those who choose to reserve judgement when they don't have a very large amount of knowledge about a subject.

This comes up pretty often in my US GOV class. The professor gives an assignment, which he wants you to give a brief answer (1paragraph) and verdict to, on an extremely complex issue. Today I got fed up with it and spent my paragraph trying to outline the variables which an informed decision might rely upon, and then stated that I had no personal verdict. I wonder if I will get full credit.



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Comments (19)


:(
  terrybunny19240, Mar 24 2011

sigh



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Comments (9)


sick
  terrybunny19240, Mar 17 2011

I had a 10bi day (1017bb)

sick bro

thx

will make some kind of update on what I've been upto in a little while.

gl all



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Comments (7)


How to fill the hole in my CV?
  terrybunny19240, Feb 22 2011

Sup guys.
I'm overall feeling better since I withdrew my roll. I've gotten a bit of an itch to start playing again, and I'm not completely averse to the idea, but I want to stick to my guns and get another income stream before I redeposit so that I don't have to cripple myself by withdrawing from my BR.

Anyway, I am looking for some suggestions on what sort of work I ought to look for. In the spoiler is the CV I used to get a couple of random gigs off craigslist and such. It isn't necessary to read it but suggestions are welcome..

+ Show Spoiler +



Anyway, there is a conspicuous hole there for the last 2 years. Should I just leave it empty and explain it individually (how to frame it?)? Write self-employed for 2008-2010 and expound upon further questioning? Again how should I frame it? I feel I worked hard and under very stressful and demanding conditions as a poker player during this time, but how can I translate this or simplify it to something a random joe-employer will understand?

I'm not sure what to do right now. I think it'd be best and easiest to get a part time job like.. delivering pizzas. You make decent cash that way and it has low barriers to entry. Any suggestions? I'm not even sure what 'more ambitious' or profitable work may be available. Maybe I will go sign up with the local labor pool but that is kind of crappy, randomly getting 1 day minimum wage gigs and such. I live in Orlando, Florida BTW



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Comments (20)


oh well
  terrybunny19240, Feb 11 2011

wasted a couple of years of my life I guess, got hardly anything to show for it except a permanently stress-shriveled brain really.

going to take an indefinite break could be short or long

variance is the farthest thing from mild in this game.. just a headsup

damn I tried so hard

bleh I could be back quickly but im not going to try to make any predictions.

now to face infinite shame as I try to rebuild every aspect of my life as well as face my peers.. i only hope I have the strength of mind left to get back on my feet

i might come back and blog a bit about my time spent as a poker player but idk if I have the energy

thank you to all of you who put forth encouragement, hand advice, etc. over the years.

cu guys later

here's a graph



I do hope to one day make a triumphant return but that seems like a longshot




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Comments (30)


:/
  terrybunny19240, Feb 08 2011

Just utterly reached the end of my fuse.. the entirety of last month blown because of running bad at 1/2.. fine.. this month begins and its sick run bad and today i just fkn can't even think anymore, just tilt. br is totally mutilated and destroyed dunno. meh i have no idea what im doing at the tables today its just utter madness..


as a sort of sidenote I swear whenever I take a 5hour energy I get hyper emotional or something, just extremely vulnerable to tilt and shit, wonder if it having a large amount of certain vitamins makes me act weird, i guess i will just stick to normal coffee


blogsaver ?




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Comments (29)


I can't be naked in public
  terrybunny19240, Feb 07 2011

I'd get arrested for overdecency.



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Comments (4)


i h8 being sick :O
  terrybunny19240, Feb 03 2011

didn't play any poker yesterday because I woke up feeling like total crap, my brain is clogged with phlegm or something.

it persisted until today as well.. bleh. really wanting to play some poker

tomorrow I hope



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Comments (11)




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