On January 22 2014 22:33 RaiNKhAN wrote:
I like denver here, but historically I haven't picked a superbowl correctly since green bay a few yrs ago. I don't think seattle will stop manning but I think the same is true for denver as well in regard to stopping wilson. Over might be a good play and the line is relatively low at 47.5
The biggest factor here in taking denver is that seattle won't be playing at home where they have been dominant. Tough game imo, but it will be a good one
sea hawks at +3 is so tempting tho.
tell me to fire off and i'll do it!
What is all this talk about +3? I've personally never seen it higher than 2 at pinnacle. If you can get +3 that seems like a nice bet, but I can't see 3 being offered at any major books unless it has adjusted vig on it like sea +3 -130/den -3 +110 etc. It's your money bro the best thing I can tell you from experience in these situations is that you should bet what you feel and not take anyone else's picks. Nothing is worse than tailing someone and losing when you ended up being right yourself :D
they were +3 on Bovada, or at least were recently, dunno what the line is atm.
edit: confirmed still +3 (-115) on Bovada (Denver -3 (-105))
Over might be a good play and the line is relatively low at 47.5
line is now 47 (-105) on Bovada btw
I'm on u47 at -105.
I'll live-bet the rest of my bets.
line is now 47.5
The biggest Rockets, Sixers, and Grizzlies fan you will ever meet!
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bigredhoss   Cook Islands. Jan 30 2014 00:11. Posts 8648
edit - not sure if source is legit
Truck-Crash Life
Last edit: 30/01/2014 01:00
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TimDawg   United States. Jan 30 2014 00:21. Posts 10197
On January 29 2014 14:21 Daut wrote:
i bet seahawks +3 -120 on bodog just now. saw pinny was at +2 and just snatched it. real small bet though
But how will yomer and timdawg tail you if it's real small? The people need words like "slammed" or "snap bet" in order to shove on your pick
That's why we have you!
online bob is actually a pretty smart person, not at all like the creepy fucker that sits in the sofa telling me he does nasty shit to me when im asleep - pinball
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PuertoRican   United States. Jan 31 2014 21:43. Posts 13051
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Today is Chinese New Years. It just so happens that 2014 is the year of the Horse.
I wonder if this is a sign that Denver will win...
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 31/01/2014 22:10
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waga   United Kingdom. Jan 31 2014 22:36. Posts 2375
A sign of what ?
Giant flying spaghetti ?
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TimDawg   United States. Feb 01 2014 00:09. Posts 10197
line moved to -2 Denver on some books...still thinking it will continue to move in favor of betting Denver
online bob is actually a pretty smart person, not at all like the creepy fucker that sits in the sofa telling me he does nasty shit to me when im asleep - pinball
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Hoolz_1907   United Kingdom. Feb 01 2014 14:09. Posts 2791
Can someone explain the whole +3 -120 thing. Now the line is at -2? What does it mean? Maybe betting is different here or im missing something very obvious
Look at his hand and equities, what do you expect him to have here, uno cards? - TianYuan
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PuertoRican   United States. Feb 01 2014 14:26. Posts 13051
On February 01 2014 13:09 Hoolz_1907 wrote:
Can someone explain the whole +3 -120 thing. Now the line is at -2? What does it mean? Maybe betting is different here or im missing something very obvious
Plus points and Minus points work the same way in all sports.
Example results with Seattle getting +3 points at -120:
• Denver defeats Seattle (30-27) = Your bet will be a push/cancelled because your +3 points makes the total score 30-30.
• Denver defeats Seattle (30-28) = You win your bet because adding +3 points to Seattle's score results in 30-31 in your favor.
• Denver defeats Seattle (30-26) = You lose your bet because adding +3 points to Seattle's score results in 30-29 in Denver's favor.
Rekrul is a newb
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JosephCalgary   Canada. Feb 01 2014 15:15. Posts 285
Both teams come from the 2 states that have legalized marijuana for recreational use. Coincidence?? I think not.
What is the crime for apostasy?!
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Raid   United States. Feb 01 2014 16:11. Posts 318
One of my roommates just bombed Seattle on the moneyline and the under 48 1/2. Not entirely sure but I think that's the exact opposite of what the public's betting. Has anyone else locked their bets in?
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RaiNKhAN   United States. Feb 01 2014 16:30. Posts 4080
On February 01 2014 15:11 Raid wrote:
Not entirely sure but I think that's the exact opposite of what the public's betting
afaik the last 3 years were winners for the public:
gb -2.5, nyg +2.5, baltimore +3.5. anyone free to correct if this is wrong
The biggest Rockets, Sixers, and Grizzlies fan you will ever meet!
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Raid   United States. Feb 01 2014 16:58. Posts 318
This opened at pick em and 50, right? I've been reading that most of the money has been on Denver and the under so far, but most of those under bets were being made when the weather forecast was still in doubt.
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PuertoRican   United States. Feb 01 2014 17:26. Posts 13051
On February 01 2014 15:58 Raid wrote:
This opened at pick em and 50, right? I've been reading that most of the money has been on Denver and the under so far, but most of those under bets were being made when the weather forecast was still in doubt.
It's supposed to be in the 40s during the first half of the game, and then go to the 30s during the second half. It won't be freezing, but it mainly depends on the winds, which at the moment, don't look too crazy.
I'm still feeling okay with my u47 bet, and I'll make another bet of u48.5 later today and then focus on live betting the over/under tomorrow. I have some nice props lined up that I'll bet today after UFC is over.
Rekrul is a newb
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PuertoRican   United States. Feb 02 2014 13:38. Posts 13051
My bets so far:
Elway acknowledged before end of 1st qtr -115 (1.5u)
A FG made in 1st quarter +100* vs No FG made in 1st quarter (1u)
R.Wilson 1st rush att ov 5½ yds +100 (.5u)
R.Wilson scores a rushing TD +370 (.5u)
G.Tate receiving yards/. Under 49½ -125 (1u)
SEA sacks DEN over 1½ times -110 (.5u)
SEA makes more FG's -125* vs DEN makes more FG's (1u)
Seattle Seahawks/Denver Broncos Under 47 -105 (1u)
Seattle Seahawks/Denver Broncos Under 48 -105 (1u)
Rekrul is a newb
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PuertoRican   United States. Feb 02 2014 14:55. Posts 13051
live broadcast of Anthem only, "No tear" is winner if he is not shown
K.Moreno has tear on cheek during Anthem +170
No tear on either cheek during Anthem -230
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"The tears?" Moreno is asked.
"Not uncommon at all," he says. "It's always been that way for me, all the way back to high school and college. During the anthem it's always quiet and still, so I take in the moment and say a little prayer. Usually there's no camera on me. I thank the Lord for letting me play the game. I thank Him for everything. I run through my whole life right there at that moment. Even the bad stuff."
PuertoRican   United States. Feb 02 2014 15:40. Posts 13051
^ She knows that it's a big deal and that people have bets on her.
^ She hits the high note every week in her performances, and she goes extra long with it because that's how opera singers do the final final of songs.
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There has been movement on Fleming going Over/Under 135 seconds (2 minutes and 15 seconds). The Over 135 seconds was just at -140 about ten minutes ago, and now it's at -110.
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Fleming knows how big this event is, and she knows that there are people betting on how long her version of the National Anthem will be. Also, she was given the opportunity to do what she wanted with the song, which means it's possible that she might sing in English and another language (she knows how to sing in 7 languages).
Since this is the first time an opera singer has ever sung the National Anthem at the Super Bowl, I think she will want to make this special as possible, and it won't go fast like many are thinking. She's also a New York native, which means she will want to make this special for her local fans too.
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Super Bowl 47 – Alicia Keys – Anthem Length: 2:35
Super Bowl 46 – Kelly Clarkson – Anthem Length: 1:34
Super Bowl 45 – Christina Aguilera – Anthem Length: 1:54
Super Bowl 44 – Carrie Underwood – Anthem Length: 1:47
Super Bowl 43 – Jennifer Hudson – Anthem Length: 2:10
Super Bowl 42 – Jordin Sparks – Anthem Length: 1:54
Super Bowl 41 – Billy Joel – Anthem Length: 1:30
Super Bowl 40 – Aaron Neville & Aretha Franklin – Anthem Length: 2:08
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My final pick: National Anthem over 135.00 seconds -110 (1u)