Random Thought~
wobbly_au, Nov 27 2010
Say we got to choose the way we were born into the world, out of the below criteria how would u choose.
We are given 20 points to allocate into 4 categories each category ranging from 1 to 10.
1. Health.
1 Born with aids and brain cancer
5 Average Joe
10 Super immune system would never ever get sick
2. Looks
1 Born with 8 fingers and a deformed skull
5 Average Joe
10 Brad Pitt
3. Intelligence
1 IQ of 30
5 IQ of 100
10 Enstein 99999 IQ
4. Enviroment your born in
1 Born in warn torn iraq
5 Born in a middle class family in a middle class country like China
10 Born as the sole heir to a billionnaire King in the USA or something.
Im torn and wouldnt know what to choose~
14 hours and 11k hands later~~
wobbly_au, Oct 30 2010
Its fucking 8 in the morning im going to bed.
Most epic recovery/lucksack session ever.
Age Old Question! Tournament pros vs Cashgame pros
wobbly_au, Oct 28 2010
Been I while since I've contributed my thoughts to this forum besides the random handhistory commenting. I'd like to share my thoughts on why I think cashgame pros are on average far better than tournament pros. There will always be outliers tho.
I'm going to stay as objective as I can be but since I am a cash game player my argument may come off as one sided. But I invite you to debate/flame/argue your point so I can once and for all know If I'm on the right path.
As a cash game player, I can play up to 1.5mil hands a year and If I am up a significant amount steadily over those 1.5mil hands it is pretty much definitive proof that I am a winner. However for a tournament player to definitively say they are a winner it is much more difficult, lets work on some simple math.
Lets say a super dedicated tournament pro who plays only online (We'll get to live tournament players later) can get about 40 tournaments in a day with an average stake of 50$ and avg field size of 500 (my numbers may be off, if someone here is a tour pro please comment on a more realistic figure) so over the course of one year using 6day work weeks, and 50week work year...
40 X 6 X 50 = 12000 tournaments a year for a super hardworking pro.
Now lets say this pro is super GG at cards like resident hero mig.com and cashes 15% of tournaments and Final tables 6% of tournaments. This is going to be the biggest leap in my argument in saying the hands that REALLY matter are the hands in the final table. Lets say due to the table getting shorter and shorter we get an avg of 80hands/hour at the final table (including break time) and a final table on avg lasts about 2hours at most from my limited MTT experience. Some more simple math we get......
12000 * 6% * 80 * 2 = 115200 hands of significant worth over one year of every day grind.
We all know MTT variance is sick, but if the most amount of volume you can achieve in one whole year is less than what a good cash game player plays in a month or two how can we justify calling them a pro??
I think there are very few pure MTT players out there that have proven themselves, as most of them are young and as my simple math shows it probably would take them a lifetime of playing to play what a cashgame player would in a year.
Now I'm not saying you suck at poker if you've won a tournament, I'm just saying you haven't proven anything.
Let the discussion begin!
Sept Results and Coaching
wobbly_au, Sep 30 2010
Two part blog, first onto this months results.
Up alot this month, but also down alot of ev. I'm starting to doubt how accurate this stupid ev calculator is because I cant remember the last time I was up 80k in ev in a month. I started to play quite a bit of nosebleeds this month and thats where all this variance is coming from. Gna post a couple of badbeats and/or a couple of interesting hands from the month.
#1 ROYAL FLUSHHH
Submitted by : wobbly_au
PokerStars Game #50096482151: Holdem No Limit ($25/$50 USD) - 2010/09/24 22:10:41 CCT [2010/09/24 10:10:41 ET]
Table Aspasia 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 4: matate ($7544 in chips)
Seat 5: wobbly_au ($5673 in chips)
Seat 8: Shippotamus ($10961.50 in chips)
matate: posts small blind $25
wobbly_au: posts big blind $50
Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to wobbly_au  
Shippotamus: folds
matate: raises $100 to $150
wobbly_au: calls $100
Flop(Odds) (Pot : $300.00)
  
matate: bets $150
wobbly_au: calls $150
Turn(Odds) (Pot : $600.00)
matate: bets $350
wobbly_au: calls $350
River (Pot : $1,300.00)
matate: bets $700
wobbly_au: raises $4323 to $5023 and is all-in
matate: calls $4323
Showdown
wobbly_au: shows (a Royal Flush)
matate: mucks hand
wobbly_au collected $11345 from pot
Summary
Total pot $11346 | Rake $1
Board
Seat 4: matate (small blind) mucked  
Seat 5: wobbly_au (big blind) showed and won ($11345) with a Royal Flush
Seat 8: Shippotamus (button) folded before Flop (didnt bet)
#2 One of my biggest reads yet
Submitted by : wobbly_au
PokerStars Game #50233652995: Holdem No Limit ($25/$50 USD) - 2010/09/27 13:20:43 CCT [2010/09/27 1:20:43 ET]
Table Cuyo VII 9-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: NegroVente1 ($6619 in chips)
Seat 2: jcl87 ($5000 in chips)
Seat 3: smoothiegal ($12346 in chips)
Seat 4: wobbly_au ($8776 in chips)
Seat 5: 0Human0 ($6074 in chips)
Seat 6: busto_soon ($5000 in chips)
Seat 7: phounderAA ($5335 in chips)
Seat 8: orionhigh ($1947 in chips)
Seat 9: FreeLancerZZ ($5000 in chips)
phounderAA: posts small blind $25
orionhigh: posts big blind $50
Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to wobbly_au
FreeLancerZZ: folds
NegroVente1: folds
jcl87: folds
smoothiegal: folds
wobbly_au: raises $100 to $150
0Human0: folds
busto_soon: calls $150
phounderAA: folds
orionhigh: folds
Flop(Odds) (Pot : $375.00)
  
wobbly_au: bets $300
busto_soon: raises $625 to $925
wobbly_au: calls $625
Turn(Odds) (Pot : $2,225.00)
wobbly_au: checks
busto_soon: bets $1575
wobbly_au: raises $3125 to $4700
busto_soon: calls $2350 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($775) returned to wobbly_au
River (Pot : $10,075.00)
Showdown
wobbly_au: shows (a pair of Tens)
busto_soon: shows   (a pair of Kings)
busto_soon collected $10072 from pot
Summary
Total pot $10075 | Rake $3
Board
Seat 1: NegroVente1 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 2: jcl87 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 3: smoothiegal folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 4: wobbly_au showed and lost with a pair of Tens
Seat 5: 0Human0 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 6: busto_soon (button) showed and won ($10072) with a pair of Kings
Seat 7: phounderAA (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 8: orionhigh (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 9: FreeLancerZZ folded before Flop (didnt bet)
#3 Another bigread from the opposite spectrum!
Submitted by : wobbly_au
PokerStars Game #50211923905: Holdem No Limit ($25/$50 USD) - 2010/09/27 3:52:43 CCT [2010/09/26 15:52:43 ET]
Table Rigilkent II 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: Domce ($12607 in chips)
Seat 2: ta1887 ($7677 in chips)
Seat 3: .Bushii ($5147 in chips)
Seat 4: rytoast ($10969 in chips)
Seat 5: ADZ124 ($9799 in chips)
Seat 6: wobbly_au ($7316 in chips)
wobbly_au: posts small blind $25
Domce: posts big blind $50
Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to wobbly_au
ta1887: raises $100 to $150
.Bushii: folds
rytoast: folds
ADZ124: calls $150
wobbly_au: raises $500 to $650
Domce: folds
ta1887: calls $500
ADZ124: folds
Flop(Odds) (Pot : $1,500.00)
 
wobbly_au: bets $900
ta1887: raises $2300 to $3200
wobbly_au: raises $3466 to $6666 and is all-in
ta1887: calls $3466
Turn(Odds) (Pot : $14,832.00)
River (Pot : $14,832.00)
Showdown
wobbly_au: shows (a pair of Aces)
ta1887: shows (a full house, Aces full of Tens)
ta1887 collected $14829 from pot
Summary
Total pot $14832 | Rake $3
Board
Seat 1: Domce (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 2: ta1887 showed and won ($14829) with a full house, Aces full of Tens
Seat 3: .Bushii folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 4: rytoast folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 5: ADZ124 (button) folded before Flop
Seat 6: wobbly_au (small blind) showed and lost with a pair of Aces
#4 Massive pot
Submitted by : wobbly_au
PokerStars Game #50098249902: Holdem No Limit ($50/$100 USD) - 2010/09/24 22:57:48 CCT [2010/09/24 10:57:48 ET]
Table Daniels Rm 100 V 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: wobbly_au ($16343 in chips)
Seat 3: Mr Zahmat ($16202.50 in chips)
Seat 4: zangbezan24 ($8675 in chips)
Seat 5: kylef89 ($10000 in chips)
Seat 6: ThomasBichon ($14273 in chips)
wobbly_au: posts small blind $50
groengras: is sitting out
Mr Zahmat: posts big blind $100
wobbly_au: posts the ante $25
Mr Zahmat: posts the ante $25
zangbezan24: posts the ante $25
kylef89: posts the ante $25
ThomasBichon: posts the ante $25
Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to wobbly_au 
zangbezan24: folds
kylef89: folds
groengras leaves the table
ThomasBichon: folds
wobbly_au: raises $200 to $300
Mr Zahmat: raises $600 to $900
tjbentham joins the table at seat #2
wobbly_au: raises $1400 to $2300
Mr Zahmat: raises $1400 to $3700
wobbly_au: calls $1400
Flop(Odds) (Pot : $7,400.00)
  
wobbly_au: checks
Mr Zahmat: bets $1845
wobbly_au: raises $2355 to $4200
Mr Zahmat: raises $2355 to $6555
wobbly_au: raises $2355 to $8910
Mr Zahmat: raises $2355 to $11265
wobbly_au: raises $1353 to $12618 and is all-in
Mr Zahmat: calls $1212.50 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($140.50) returned to wobbly_au
Turn(Odds) (Pot : $32,355.00)
River (Pot : $32,355.00)
Showdown
wobbly_au: shows (a flush, Ace high)
Mr Zahmat: mucks hand
wobbly_au collected $32478 from pot
wobbly_au said, "Shippppp"
Summary
Total pot $32480 | Rake $2
Board
Seat 1: wobbly_au (small blind) showed and won ($32478) with a flush, Ace high
Seat 3: Mr Zahmat (big blind) mucked
Seat 4: zangbezan24 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 5: kylef89 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 6: ThomasBichon (button) folded before Flop (didnt bet)
#5 KK top set #1 WEEE
Submitted by : wobbly_au
PokerStars Game #50284893745: Holdem No Limit ($25/$50 USD) - 2010/09/28 14:07:49 CCT [2010/09/28 2:07:49 ET]
Table Antenor III 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: NegroVente1 ($8396 in chips)
Seat 2: PQuest99 ($10386 in chips)
Seat 3: Prefontaine ($7487.50 in chips)
Seat 4: kingsofcards ($4875 in chips)
Seat 5: FreeLancerZZ ($5000 in chips)
Seat 6: wobbly_au ($7517 in chips)
Prefontaine: posts small blind $25
kingsofcards: posts big blind $50
Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to wobbly_au 
FreeLancerZZ: folds
wobbly_au: raises $50 to $100
NegroVente1: calls $100
PQuest99: calls $100
Prefontaine: folds
kingsofcards: calls $50
Flop(Odds) (Pot : $425.00)
 
kingsofcards: bets $300
wobbly_au: raises $800 to $1100
NegroVente1: raises $1200 to $2300
PQuest99: raises $7986 to $10286 and is all-in
wobbly_au said, "What."
kingsofcards: folds
wobbly_au: calls $6317 and is all-in
NegroVente1: calls $5996 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($1990) returned to PQuest99
Turn(Odds) (Pot : $24,734.00)
River (Pot : $24,734.00)
Showdown
NegroVente1: shows  (a flush, Ace high)
PQuest99: mucks hand
NegroVente1 collected $1758 from side pot
wobbly_au: mucks hand
NegroVente1 collected $22973 from main pot
Summary
Total pot $24734 Main pot $22973. Side pot $1758. | Rake $3
Board
Seat 1: NegroVente1 showed and won ($24731) with a flush, Ace high
Seat 2: PQuest99 (button) mucked 
Seat 3: Prefontaine (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: kingsofcards (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 5: FreeLancerZZ folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 6: wobbly_au mucked
#6 KK top set #2 Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
Submitted by : wobbly_au
PokerStars Game #50161448578: Holdem No Limit ($50/$100 USD) - 2010/09/26 3:54:24 CCT [2010/09/25 15:54:24 ET]
Table Daniels Rm 100 XIV 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: ta1887 ($29483 in chips)
Seat 2: ADZ124 ($22211.50 in chips)
Seat 3: wobbly_au ($19285 in chips)
Seat 4: WhySoSrsSon ($20172 in chips)
Seat 5: zangbezan24 ($28173.50 in chips)
Seat 6: numbr1mom ($17688 in chips)
wobbly_au: posts small blind $50
WhySoSrsSon: posts big blind $100
ta1887: posts the ante $25
ADZ124: posts the ante $25
wobbly_au: posts the ante $25
WhySoSrsSon: posts the ante $25
zangbezan24: posts the ante $25
numbr1mom: posts the ante $25
Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to wobbly_au
zangbezan24: raises $200 to $300
numbr1mom: folds
ta1887: calls $300
ADZ124: calls $300
wobbly_au: raises $1400 to $1700
WhySoSrsSon: folds
zangbezan24: folds
ta1887: calls $1400
ADZ124: folds
Flop(Odds) (Pot : $4,100.00)
 
wobbly_au: bets $2600
ta1887: raises $2600 to $5200
wobbly_au: raises $2900 to $8100
ta1887: raises $19658 to $27758 and is all-in
wobbly_au: calls $9460 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($10198) returned to ta1887
Turn(Odds) (Pot : $39,220.00)
River (Pot : $39,220.00)
Showdown
wobbly_au: shows (three of a kind, Kings)
ta1887: shows  (a flush, Queen high)
ta1887 collected $39367 from pot
Summary
Total pot $39370 | Rake $3
Board
Seat 1: ta1887 showed and won ($39367) with a flush, Queen high
Seat 2: ADZ124 (button) folded before Flop
Seat 3: wobbly_au (small blind) showed and lost with three of a kind, Kings
Seat 4: WhySoSrsSon (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: zangbezan24 folded before Flop
Seat 6: numbr1mom folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Anyway pic of garph or it didnt happen.
I have about 350k vpp left to sne, its gna make for a really crazy last 3 months..
Anyway onto part 2.
Since my last post regarding coaching I've gotten alot of PMs showing interest, but it is still early days so please be patient while I plan for such a gigantic task. There will be plenty of notice given to potential students. So now onto some of points I've thought through and likely to not change if the coaching goes through.
#1 It will take place in Sydney, Australia at my home where you will be sharing the home with me, rent will be covered
#2 It will likely happen early next year, after new years celebrations and when I finish my quest for SNE
#3 There will be 3-6 students, depending on how well I can compile material and also the quality of the students
#4 The fee will be only profit based and I will take either 50% of 400k made (rakeback + profits) but at the same time I will offer a guarantee that you will make from poker at least 50k in the first year.
#5 I suspect it will take 2-3 years depending on good you are, so there will be ways to terminate this contract from either side. This is where I need some input from you on what you deem to be fair. Personally I think grave illness from close family or friend can terminate this agreement with some financial payment from the side that cancels. If the student wants to cancel because he feels he is not progressing then I feel its fair I pay the 50% of what you havent reached in the 50k guarantee for first year, but I am unsure what is fair in the 2nd or 3rd years. I am also unsure how to compensate if I decide not to go through for certain reasons, please give your input here!
No more PMs please, I really am too busy to deal with individual replies since its likely everyone wants to ask the same question.
Glass half full or half empty?
wobbly_au, Sep 22 2010
Not sure to be happy about a 40k month or to be sad about the amount of EV lost...
I'm down so much in ev lifetime its getting ridic..
Poll: Half full or Half empty
(Vote): Glass is nigger half full
(Vote): Glass is nigger half empty
Taking Students ??
wobbly_au, Sep 15 2010
Been thinking about taking students, purely based on profit sharing and it will be a very high % (not sure what yet). Thinking about a few key things, mainly I want the students who apply to be able to move to Sydney, which will help you learn and also help me keep you honest about winnings.
leave a comment to express interest, post ur stakes and ptr links and anything else relevant.
One of my worst days.
wobbly_au, Sep 11 2010
So a stupid nit decides to play me 3 tables of HU at 10/20, then runs like god hitting every 1 outer and 2outer you can think of.
im -20k in ev lol
Weeeee?
ITM in WCOOP 18
wobbly_au, Sep 10 2010
LOL FIRST TIME PLAYING 8game dont even know what hand beats what. this shit is e-z.
WCOOP withdraw
wobbly_au, Sep 07 2010
Hi guys,
To Andrewsong, Hello Kittery and Bigbom
Im sorry I received news that my grandma has late stage colon cancer which has metastasized to her lungs and liver. She does not have much time and I will stay by her side. I will most likely not be able to play WCOOP due to stress, time spent at her bedside.
I have shipped all the money back, im sorry for causing a rukus.
Wobbly.
10k Higher roller Juice
wobbly_au, Sep 05 2010
Super juicy field this year and looks like there might even be some overlay.
My usual backer aint online, so if anyone else wants to buy me please let me know. I will only be 2 tabling (event 1) and am super focused.
We can discuss a deal because im looking to sell most of action.
PM ASAP
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