200bb, top 2, damn it

it's almost irrelivant of how they view eachother flipius88 raised to €199.00 doing this with ANY flush draw is super +EV since it looks obsurdly strong at the same time his sizing does not pot commit him, and I'm guessing he expects you guys to fold your entire ranges except for sets.
This is a preety easy shove IMO aginst any compotent regular

.

i fold but recently i'm a very disciplined nit so...

id shove with your image

On June 01 2009 10:44 TalentedTom wrote: it's almost irrelivant of how they view eachother flipius88 raised to €199.00 doing this with ANY flush draw is super +EV since it looks obsurdly strong at the same time his sizing does not pot commit him, and I'm guessing he expects you guys to fold your entire ranges except for sets. This is a preety easy shove IMO aginst any compotent regular

ding ding ding imo!!!!!!!!!!

Tom is right in that raising here with a naked flush draw is +EV but I don't think many regulars at 2/4 do that so I'd fold. The fact that flipius88 thinks he might have less fold equity against you in particular (since he thinks you think he might be making a move here so you may shove light) makes it more of a fold. Also onkimato will show up with a set here from time to time.

if you raise any naked fd intenting to fold to a shove and knowing nobody is cold calling here isnt it effectively the same as with any 2 cards ? with the difference they have less combos of flush draws available obv.

On June 01 2009 23:13 LazyFisH wrote: Tom is right in that raising here with a naked flush draw is +EV but I don't think many regulars at 2/4 do that so I'd fold. The fact that flipius88 thinks he might have less fold equity against you in particular (since he thinks you think he might be making a move here so you may shove light) makes it more of a fold. Also onkimato will show up with a set here from time to time.

You dont think filipus is capable of raising a naked fd but you think he thinks that dusty will think that he is capable of doing that? That doesnt really compute.

However, I agree on that the only thing making me sorta mehshove here is that some ppl just dont see the great opportunity to raise a wide range in filipus spot. Still, we have the nuts how can we fold?

I know flip plays higher, but I've played a lot with him and I don't think I've seen him make these kinds of moves. Obviously he might've done them, but he don't strike me as the type.

However, I did fold mostly out of stupid reasons (I was about to quit and didn't want to deal with variance just before dinner) but right now I'm not really sure that it was correct.

I'm think evilsky has a point though.

On June 02 2009 02:55 EvilSky wrote: if you raise any naked fd intenting to fold to a shove and knowing nobody is cold calling here isnt it effectively the same as with any 2 cards ? with the difference they have less combos of flush draws available obv.

We cant know nobody isnt coldcalling for sure.

On June 02 2009 02:55 EvilSky wrote: if you raise any naked fd intenting to fold to a shove and knowing nobody is cold calling here isnt it effectively the same as with any 2 cards ? with the difference they have less combos of flush draws available obv.

You mentioned the first difference. Also it matters if someone calls because you have more equity then.

On June 02 2009 02:55 EvilSky wrote: if you raise any naked fd intenting to fold to a shove and knowing nobody is cold calling here isnt it effectively the same as with any 2 cards ? with the difference they have less combos of flush draws available obv.

sometimes people click call, but yeah the fold equity ehre is enormous w/ any 2

On June 02 2009 03:10 SakiSaki wrote: Show nested quote + On June 01 2009 23:13 LazyFisH wrote: Tom is right in that raising here with a naked flush draw is +EV but I don't think many regulars at 2/4 do that so I'd fold. The fact that flipius88 thinks he might have less fold equity against you in particular (since he thinks you think he might be making a move here so you may shove light) makes it more of a fold. Also onkimato will show up with a set here from time to time. You dont think filipus is capable of raising a naked fd but you think he thinks that dusty will think that he is capable of doing that? That doesnt really compute.

I mean that even if he is capable of doing it, this has to be discounted by the fact that he thinks Dusty might reshove light. So if he isn't capable of doing it then it's an easy fold but if he is capable of doing it then we have to give his naked FD range less weight.

On June 02 2009 16:25 LazyFisH wrote: Show nested quote + On June 02 2009 03:10 SakiSaki wrote:   On June 01 2009 23:13 LazyFisH wrote: Tom is right in that raising here with a naked flush draw is +EV but I don't think many regulars at 2/4 do that so I'd fold. The fact that flipius88 thinks he might have less fold equity against you in particular (since he thinks you think he might be making a move here so you may shove light) makes it more of a fold. Also onkimato will show up with a set here from time to time. You dont think filipus is capable of raising a naked fd but you think he thinks that dusty will think that he is capable of doing that? That doesnt really compute. I mean that even if he is capable of doing it, this has to be discounted by the fact that he thinks Dusty might reshove light. So if he isn't capable of doing it then it's an easy fold but if he is capable of doing it then we have to give his naked FD range less weight.

What world are you from? You really think he thinks dusty is going to shove vs a cold 3-bet with a light range here? that's beyond obsurd

Not to say it's not impossible, but the % chance he does this is clos eto 0

jimmyjam

agree w tom as usual

On June 02 2009 17:14 TalentedTom wrote: Show nested quote + On June 02 2009 16:25 LazyFisH wrote:   On June 02 2009 03:10 SakiSaki wrote:   On June 01 2009 23:13 LazyFisH wrote: Tom is right in that raising here with a naked flush draw is +EV but I don't think many regulars at 2/4 do that so I'd fold. The fact that flipius88 thinks he might have less fold equity against you in particular (since he thinks you think he might be making a move here so you may shove light) makes it more of a fold. Also onkimato will show up with a set here from time to time. You dont think filipus is capable of raising a naked fd but you think he thinks that dusty will think that he is capable of doing that? That doesnt really compute. I mean that even if he is capable of doing it, this has to be discounted by the fact that he thinks Dusty might reshove light. So if he isn't capable of doing it then it's an easy fold but if he is capable of doing it then we have to give his naked FD range less weight. What world are you from? You really think he thinks dusty is going to shove vs a cold 3-bet with a light range here? that's beyond obsurd Not to say it's not impossible, but the % chance he does this is clos eto 0

No I don't really think that but it's the read we are given "The 4 better probably considers me semi-competent but spewy so I don't know if he'd put it past me to shove somewhat light here since it's concivable that he's thinks that I think that he can be making a move here a bit"

WE GOTS TOP TOP.

On June 02 2009 17:14 TalentedTom wrote: Show nested quote + On June 02 2009 16:25 LazyFisH wrote:   On June 02 2009 03:10 SakiSaki wrote:   On June 01 2009 23:13 LazyFisH wrote: Tom is right in that raising here with a naked flush draw is +EV but I don't think many regulars at 2/4 do that so I'd fold. The fact that flipius88 thinks he might have less fold equity against you in particular (since he thinks you think he might be making a move here so you may shove light) makes it more of a fold. Also onkimato will show up with a set here from time to time. You dont think filipus is capable of raising a naked fd but you think he thinks that dusty will think that he is capable of doing that? That doesnt really compute. I mean that even if he is capable of doing it, this has to be discounted by the fact that he thinks Dusty might reshove light. So if he isn't capable of doing it then it's an easy fold but if he is capable of doing it then we have to give his naked FD range less weight. What world are you from? You really think he thinks dusty is going to shove vs a cold 3-bet with a light range here? that's beyond obsurd Not to say it's not impossible, but the % chance he does this is clos eto 0

Considering all the weird shit I did the last 2 months or so (hi 3 hotw even if few hands were posted) I'd say that fili is less likely to do this to me rather then a random reg. I still feel it was wrong to fold though. Not sure if he pays enough attention, but I'd say it's probably at least 50/50 that he has some kind of note that I hate to be bluffed and/or is spazzy. We've both been around mid/high stakes on that site for a long time.

On the other hand it's 200bb and people likes to do moves.

"On the other hand it's 200bb and people likes to do moves. "

lol wat for me i think the opposite. "he's a coward that's not capable of shipping in 200 bb's light"

and this applies more often than your idea imo. Although I agree. a good thinking regular might be more comfy bluffing in a 200 bb deep pot cuz he automatically has more fold equity. I know i think that way too.

but there has to be a note on him saying that he's not a coward.