villain plays up to 5/10, 24/19 solid thinking tagreg. 11% btn flat, 7% raise cbet, 60% fold to cbet. doens't really make too many moves but definitely capable of them.


flop is for value.

Now turn I'm not very sure about. It seems like a simple valuebet against draws and worse pair + draws (my image should be aggro enough for this to be fine although this guy may mass table so the effect is minimized).

I can barrel turn and probably c/f most rivers; not many improve me, but I will end up folding the best hand a lot.
I can check turn and get value from floats like gutshots, which i feel he should be calling all the time given my cbet %.
(although his flop calling range doesn't have that many low SCs..)

Basically river is tough to play no matter how I play it, and I can take it down on the turn a fair bit.

flop is for value against what???
All hands calling/raising there have you crushed or are flipping and you are OOP.
You are betting for protection and hoping he had a draw that misses on later streets.

No... Your FE on that turn is near 0. I would not be surprised if he even raises on that card.

River depends on his flatting range pf and how he plays draws, but anything thats not c/calling seens decent.