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Handnr: 692781
Submitted by : lachlan

Full Tilt Poker Game #12344319773: Table Hedge Top - $2/$4 - No Limit Hold'em - 2:50:15 ET - 2009/05/21
Seat 1: kj2137 ($549.10)
Seat 2: Hero ($456)
Seat 3: Prodifotl ($151.70)
Seat 4: uagrad ($418)
Seat 5: Ryan Daut ($611)
Seat 6: mektin ($400)
Seat 7: Captain Table ($400)
Seat 8: Sunspots28 ($402)
Seat 9: verbyl ($463.30)
Captain Table posts the small blind of $2
Sunspots28 posts the big blind of $4
The button is in seat #6

Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to HeroKcAc
verbyl calls $4
kj2137 raises to $16
Hero raises to $60
Prodifotl folds
uagrad folds
Ryan Daut folds
mektin folds
Captain Table folds
Captain Table adds $2
Sunspots28 has 15 seconds left to act
Sunspots28 calls $56
verbyl folds
kj2137 has 15 seconds left to act
kj2137 folds

Flop(Odds) (Pot : $142.00)

   Qc8c9d
Sunspots28 checks
Hero has 15 seconds left to act
Hero checks

Turn(Odds) (Pot : $142.00)

   Qc8c9d8h
Sunspots28 has 15 seconds left to act
Sunspots28 bets $80
Hero has 15 seconds left to act
Hero has requested TIME
Hero calls $80

River (Pot : $302.00)

   Qc8c9d8hTc
Sunspots28 has 15 seconds left to act
Sunspots28 bets $262, and is all in
Hero calls $262

Showdown
Sunspots28 showsJhJc a straight, Queen high
Hero showsKcAc a flush, Ace high
Hero wins the pot ($823) with a flush, Ace high
Sunspots28 adds $400

Summary
Total pot $826 | Rake $3
Board:Qc8c9d8hTc
Seat 1: kj2137 folded before the Flop
Seat 2: Hero showedKcAc and won ($823) with a flush, Ace high
Seat 3: Prodifotl didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: uagrad didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: Ryan Daut didn't bet (folded)
Seat 6: mektin (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: Captain Table (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 8: Sunspots28 (big blind) showedJhJc and lost with a straight, Queen high
Seat 9: verbyl folded before the Flop

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Comments

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lachlan   Australia. May 21 2009 03:00. Posts 6991

kj2137 is a big fish

reg who flats in the blinds is 13/10 pretty tight

forget that he had JJ here... what i want to know is, if other reg ONLY has KK and AA in his range here, how should i play it?

assumptions are he's going to stack off no matter what if he has an overpair by the river.

is it better to get it in on flop KNOWING he has AA / KK? or better to call and get it in on a flush, or reevaluate turn?

thanks

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full ring 

patmcgroin   Afghanistan. May 21 2009 03:11. Posts 830

why would you want to get it in on the flop KNOWING he has KK/AA? so that....you're behind?


lachlan   Australia. May 21 2009 03:13. Posts 6991

Board: 8c Qc 9d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 57.879% 57.88% 00.00% 3438 0.00 { KK+ }
Hand 1: 42.121% 42.12% 00.00% 2502 0.00 { AcKc }

well because with 42% equity, that is 42% equity to the total pot, EVEN if i know he's calling my all in and im slightly behind.

but maybe its more +EV to check flop, and get it in with 100% EV if i hit my flush.

anyway ill do the maths behind it a bit later maybe

full ringLast edit: 21/05/2009 03:17

ShadowDrgn   United States. May 21 2009 04:26. Posts 1156

If you know he's still going to stack off when you hit your flush, take your free turn card and the cheap river. How could it possibly be better to get it all in on the flop?

The way you played:
58% chance to lose $80
42% chance to win $421
EV +130 (minus a bit from the times he has KK and one of the 3 aces hits I suppose - you win but he doesn't stack off)

All-in on flop:
58% chance to lose $342
42% chance to win $421
EV -22

It's not even close.


lachlan   Australia. May 21 2009 04:50. Posts 6991

thanks!

full ring 

 

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