SKT1 vs WeMade, Samsung vs STX 2/8

SKT1 1.25, -400
WeMade 3.55, +255

Samsung, 2.2, +120
STX 1.6, -167

Baby 2.9, +190
Bisu 1.36, -278

Great 1.48, -208
Yoonjoong 2.45, +145


Vig Free

SKT1 1.35, -284
WeMade 3.84, +284

Samsung, 2.38, +138
STX 1.72, -138

Baby 3.13, +213
Bisu 1.47, -213

Great 1.48, -165
Yoonjoong 2.45, +165

The line for great vs yoonjoong is terrible. Yoonjoong's ELO ranking is #29 and he has won his past 5 vs Z games including wins over Zero, Hoejja, Roro x2 and zergbong. Great's ELO ranking is #46 and he has lost his past 3 vs P games vs Movie, Violet and Flying.

Granted that the map, judgement day is 7-1 in zerg's favor but the sample size is really small. Arcadia once had a sick ZvT win rate in the beginning and then it evened out to nearly 50% balance. Of the 8 games on that map so far, 7 of them have been either maptest games or preseason lineup games so only one "real" game has been played on that map. Biggest sign for me is that STX has enough confidence to send out Yoonjoong on that map vs a likely zerg opponent so they obviously have confidence in yoonjoong's PvZ.

Even with the inflated odds from XLbet, +145 has an implied probability of 40.82%. Yoonjoong definitely has a greater than 41% chance of winning.

i say ban tenbagger from this fantasy league!
his running so hot its not funny anymore

im running hot on real money betting but yea tenbagger owning the fantasy

So who's betting today?

On February 07 2010 22:25 TenBagger wrote: The line for great vs yoonjoong is terrible. Yoonjoong's ELO ranking is #29 and he has won his past 5 vs Z games including wins over Zero, Hoejja, Roro x2 and zergbong. Great's ELO ranking is #46 and he has lost his past 3 vs P games vs Movie, Violet and Flying. Granted that the map, judgement day is 7-1 in zerg's favor but the sample size is really small. Arcadia once had a sick ZvT win rate in the beginning and then it evened out to nearly 50% balance. Of the 8 games on that map so far, 7 of them have been either maptest games or preseason lineup games so only one "real" game has been played on that map. Biggest sign for me is that STX has enough confidence to send out Yoonjoong on that map vs a likely zerg opponent so they obviously have confidence in yoonjoong's PvZ. Even with the inflated odds from XLbet, +145 has an implied probability of 40.82%. Yoonjoong definitely has a greater than 41% chance of winning.

good call on yoonjoong.

Stupid Light didnt do dick when I had him on my team for like 3 seasons, now hes all killing, BS!

Oh well at least I dont have Mez`s team :d