checkup on some shoves

was wondering what you guys thought about these hands
Submitted by : piratematerial

PokerStars Game #38071719618: Tournament #231560439, $55+$5 USD Holdem No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2010/01/12 18:54:35 ET
Table 231560439 1 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: simpledude16 (1680 in chips)
Seat 3: learnerboy (5255 in chips)
Seat 6: pokerhaasje (2065 in chips)
simpledude16: posts small blind 75
learnerboy: posts big blind 150

Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to pokerhaasje
pokerhaasje: raises 1915 to 2065 and is all-in
simpledude16: calls 1605 and is all-in
learnerboy: folds
Uncalled bet (385) returned to pokerhaasje

Flop(Odds) (Pot : $3,510.00)

   

Turn(Odds) (Pot : $3,510.00)

   

River (Pot : $3,510.00)

   

Showdown
simpledude16: shows (a pair of Aces)
pokerhaasje: shows (high card Ace)
simpledude16 collected 3510 from pot

Summary
Total pot 3510 | Rake 0
Board  
Seat 1: simpledude16 (small blind) showed and won (3510) with a pair of Aces
Seat 3: learnerboy (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 6: pokerhaasje (button) showed and lost with high card Ace

PokerStars Game #38061193648: Tournament #231488602, $36+$3 USD Holdem No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2010/01/12 15:38:53 ET
Table 231488602 1 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: antonio2323 (1623 in chips)
Seat 3: dude_whasup (1055 in chips)
Seat 4: pokerhaasje (1045 in chips)
Seat 6: mtlgoose (5277 in chips)
dude_whasup: posts small blind 75
pokerhaasje: posts big blind 150

Holecards
Dealt to pokerhaasje
mtlgoose: folds
antonio2323: folds
dude_whasup: raises 905 to 1055 and is all-in

n/m

both fine assuming u call 2nd

yes i called it

what about this, is a shove here ok? he is a reg. i expect tight calls
Submitted by : piratematerial

PokerStars Game #38126345112: Tournament #231941734, $55+$5 USD Holdem No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2010/01/13 20:32:39 ET
Table 231941734 1 6-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: treezer (1320 in chips)
Seat 3: leilu12 (2220 in chips)
Seat 4: happyvon (1965 in chips)
Seat 5: pokerhaasje (3495 in chips)
pokerhaasje: posts small blind 75
treezer: posts big blind 150

Holecards
Dealt to pokerhaasje
leilu12: folds
happyvon: folds
pokerhaasje: raises 3345 to 3495 and is all-in

here against the same reg. its slightly deeper and i have a very nice stack to work with. is it still ok to shove this? again i expect him to call with a tight range only.

Submitted by : piratematerial

PokerStars Game #38126749321: Tournament #231943112, $55+$5 USD Holdem No Limit - Level VI (100/200) - 2010/01/13 20:43:06 ET
Table 231943112 1 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: zelmo7 (1882 in chips)
Seat 2: pokerhaasje (3255 in chips)
Seat 3: treezer (2820 in chips)
Seat 4: Sharkeys1 (1043 in chips)
pokerhaasje: posts small blind 100
treezer: posts big blind 200

Holecards
Dealt to pokerhaasje
Sharkeys1: folds
zelmo7: folds
pokerhaasje: raises 3055 to 3255 and is all-in

k5o close but probably ok
A8o close but probably not

K5 is a style jam, if u want more 1st/2nd finishes with more variance and fewer itm it's fine
A8 is a total abuse play, if u are highly confident that he is folding it's the same as above but only if he is actually folding that amt, which makes it an incredibly dangerous jam over the long term

both can be very safely passed with improvements to itm% and slight diminishing of ending finish position

thinking about it more, K5 is a clear jam if all 3 guys are very bad at jam/fold 3handed and hu
A8 is almost always a pass unless the above applies and he is actually folding as often as u think he is

i would jam k5 and minraise a8

I hate the shove with A8o. Bet like 475, and you be suprised how many times you pick up blinds there. And fold to a shove, if you know he has a tight shoving range. Way better than risking your whole stack.

A8 hand if he calls with a tight 10% range (77+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,AJo+,KQo) this is what u seem to be suggesting

u have 35.420% equity with A8 against this range so 10% of the time u have 35.420% equity in a 5640 pot (2820 x 2) This is = 1974.
from your 2820 investment this is (1974-2820 = -846) so a -846ev result
the other 90% of the time we pick up 300 chips.

so (0.9 x 300) + (0.1 x -846) = 270 - 84.6 = 185.4 + ev play against 10% range seems reasonable for what you are suggesting.
Also people say it is high variance but if we are getting called only around 10% of the time and only losing 2/3rds of that time. This means we only go out 6-7% of the time with this play and the overall value of the play based on a 10% calling range would be + 185.4 even allowing for a wider calling range (which would be worse for us) this would still be plus ev.

the 475 rather than the shove depends on what range u think we will jam over that he would fold if you shove. this is player dependant. If he will exploit ur small raise ( by shoving a much wider range such as 20%+then shoving is better). If not then take the small raise is better

these are all 9 person 1 table sngs right?
imo
KJ is good
K8 probably fold, theres 3 shorties at the bubble, play last longer, you have a good stealing opportunity next hand, much rather be the one shoving obv.
K5 is an easy shove
a8 bad shove imo, if you expect him to be reshoving light then just don't fuck with him until after the bubble and when you do raise make it small and raise/call to let him semibluff. if you expect him to play conservative respecting your stacksizes and not reshoving light then raise-fold a8 here to 500 or so. Let the guy with 5bbs bust.

These are all 6max i think. If you post sng hands you really need to specify format since it obiously changes icm/when the bubble is etc.

First hand is a marginal shove, if the blinds play well its possibly it could become a fold (if you fold sb will shove 100% bb calls correctly etc) since sb will bust enough of the time its better to not get inolved.

Second hand depends a bunch on your read. Against regs i would call but its going to be a fold against most randoms.

Both the A8 and K5o are easy shoves, the K5 is a pretty cleary any2 shove spot and if the bb plays well you can probably shove any2 in the A8 hand also, but A8 is certainly good enough to shove. I think i'd prefer to shove vs open to 475 just cause its pretty sucky when he calls and obv we don't want him to reshove - given stacksizes i think just jamming here is going to be the best play.