200NL J10o button

villain is my target he is 28/14. ive been messing with him and the whole table PF but he ended up with the best of me mostly on the flop.
he is fairly agressive. i have seen him showdown some bad hands. but i cant really expect him to have AA here? i dont understand what he is shoving at me here but i was tilted when this was played i guess so it was all a little foggy. the flop call, turnshove dont really match up in my mind.. wtf does he have? some combo draw that made the nuts on the turn?
Submitted by : piratematerial

PokerStars Game #22201714677: Hold'em No Limit ($1/$2) - 2008/11/20 8:09:20 ET
Table 'Thetis III' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: s0m0kami ($213.90 in chips)
Seat 2: dumbo2000 ($40 in chips)
Seat 3: BLACKICE781 ($419.70 in chips)
Seat 4: benshengfa ($200 in chips)
Seat 5: parasj16 ($206.70 in chips)
Seat 6: pokerhaasje ($608.90 in chips)
s0m0kami: posts small blind $1
dumbo2000: posts big blind $2

Holecards
Dealt to pokerhaasje
BLACKICE781: folds
benshengfa: folds
parasj16: raises $4 to $6
pokerhaasje : calls $6
s0m0kami: calls $5
dumbo2000: folds

Flop (Pot : $20.00)

   
s0m0kami: checks
parasj16: bets $10
pokerhaasje : raises $20 to $30
s0m0kami: folds
parasj16: calls $20

Turn (Pot : $80.00)

   
parasj16: checks
pokerhaasje : bets $52

so he shoved he turn.
This is really difficult imo. The board texture + his shove on your bet makes me believe he has a really strong hand.

Although his stats indicate he is aggressive, his stats also indicate the he is not a total donk (but these are of course just indications), and imo this is a terrible spot to bluff for him, and therefore that chance is rather small.
I think that most of the times he called with some kind a draw (KQ A8),although his range is quite large here

it's like 120 to call 300 i think, and you have top two, this is a really easy call

mmm those are indeed good odds

Is it good to 2b (3way pot) this wet flop?

just flat flop, even with the aggressive dynamic you guys have going on

i doubt that villain shoves combo draws and worse two pairs here (imo he c/c's with them), so i think we have to fold. and if we have to b/f this turn, then i think checking back is a much more viable option

The flop raise is a little thin in these spots, since your rarely called with worse and everything that's worse has drawing outs vs you. Plus your hand has gut shot outs, backdoor flush outs etc... all leans toward a flop flat call. Turn, you clearly should not be betting unless you have the plan to call and the history merits it. You put yourself in such a bad spot here lol

I only really like betting the turn if you think he's felting a lot of worse hands, and I don't think you can really bet/call here, so as others have said, bet/folding is pretty ugly here so just check it back.

Also I probably just flat the flop

Don't raise flop.

Fold as played. You should've had a better idea of what you were going to do on this kind of card when you raised the flop. If you weren't expecting him to have some sort of P+GS, what'd you raise for?