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Shove or fold?

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MangeJao   Sweden. Oct 13 2008 16:41. Posts 94

The same guy made a squeezzZplay on me 3hands earlier =/, no reads or stats


Submitted by : MangeJao

** Hand # 2219544690 starting - 2008-10-13 22:06:07
** $30k Guarantee[2148476]:Table 32 [Multi Table Hold 'em] (300.00|600.00 NL - MTT) Real Money
Bagherra11 sitting in seat 1 with 12100.00[Dealer]
tompan11 sitting in seat 2 with 14488.25
TULLA100 sitting in seat 3 with 5183.75
Hero sitting in seat 4 with 4948.00
Jacolized sitting in seat 5 with 8480.00
kinotsj sitting in seat 6 with 8043.00
chinese30 sitting in seat 7 with 6500.00
cedr30 sitting in seat 8 with 16559.00
Fearless_len sitting in seat 9 with 9025.00
Flushes1 sitting in seat 10 with 14939.25
tompan11 ante'd - 20.00
TULLA100 ante'd - 20.00
Hero ante'd - 20.00
Jacolized ante'd - 20.00
kinotsj ante'd - 20.00
chinese30 ante'd - 20.00
cedr30 ante'd - 20.00
Fearless_len ante'd - 20.00
Flushes1 ante'd - 20.00
Bagherra11 ante'd - 20.00
tompan11 posted the small blind - 150.00
TULLA100 posted the big blind - 300.00
** Dealing cards to Hero :Ac,Qd
Hero raised to 777.00
Jacolized folded
kinotsj folded
chinese30 folded
cedr30 raised to 2508.00
Fearless_len folded
Jacolized > amazingly crappy cards
Flushes1 folded
Bagherra11 folded
tompan11 folded
TULLA100 folded
Hero ????????????

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Liquid_GoLD   Norway. Oct 13 2008 16:50. Posts 495

no raise just push insta.

you are 2 short to raise and do something like fold call just get it in

 Last edit: 13/10/2008 16:51

MangeJao   Sweden. Oct 13 2008 16:56. Posts 94

push with 17bbs? really?


Liquid_GoLD   Norway. Oct 13 2008 17:01. Posts 495

300.00|600.00

isnt the blind this and u stack 4900 ? if not thats one crappy HH


MangeJao   Sweden. Oct 13 2008 17:06. Posts 94

ye its quite messy....... though the bb is 300 if you watch closer :/


Liquid_GoLD   Norway. Oct 13 2008 17:08. Posts 495

ok sorry...


hmm well then its a tough spot... u can fold or push both is fine.. its a prefrence of choice since u dont have stats on him


Drakk   Canada. Oct 13 2008 17:38. Posts 1199

tompan11 posted the small blind - 150.00
TULLA100 posted the big blind - 300.00

yet (300.00|600.00 NL - MTT)

odd... imo its an easy shove right of the bat if blinds are 300/600 cuz of the size of your stack, but otherwise id probably try to shove it in as a 4bet.

Expect the worst, hope for the best 

chris   United States. Oct 14 2008 00:43. Posts 5511

ok first a few questions: your only history is a 'squeeze' he put on you 3 hands ago. do you have any other pertinent information regarding him? just because he squeezed doesn't mean he is a good or tricky player, he could just be getting good hands.

the pot pf is 630, your starting stack is 4948, giving you an M of 7.85. knowing this, after you open, this is never a call, and i think it would be pretty tough to find a fold, as well. you put in 777, leaving you about 4151 and it fully lowers your M for the next hand (assuming a fold) to 6.5, which is still just above the danger zone. if your opponent is loose i think this is a shove, although he probably still has a decent holding. if he is tight, i could almost suggest a fold as you are probably behind a good percentage of the time.

if he has any clue about poker at all, he should be respecting your EP raises, and you are UTG and usually, from any opponent, a raise from UTG is a strong hand. if he knows this and still elects to raise you to an amount that forces you to shove or fold, he has, in my opinion, a very strong hand himself.

i think fold. your stack and M are still healthy enough that you can wait for a better spot to get your chips in.

5 minute showers are my 8 minute abs. - Neilly 

CrownRoyal   United States. Oct 14 2008 00:50. Posts 11386

i hate myself and fold i think

WHAT IS THIS 

Liquid_GoLD   Norway. Oct 14 2008 23:01. Posts 495


  On October 13 2008 23:50 CrownRoyal wrote:
i hate myself and fold i think




lol emo


GirlsRVicious   United States. Oct 15 2008 02:51. Posts 1094

FOLD

LOL Live Pokerz 

PohkerIzPhun   United States. Oct 15 2008 08:07. Posts 24

That is almost a 50-50 decision with NO information. I would push if blinds were about to go up (I'm guessing to 200-400), the table was being fairly loose, the blinds were being tight.....very tough spot and is more situational then anything. I would need to know at least a little bit of what's going on at the table. A lot of raising and reraising? Who? The big stacks, or the middle stacks? (since you're the only real short one really)

Wow that 300 | 600 thing is a little weird!


MangeJao   Sweden. Oct 15 2008 10:01. Posts 94

well, i dont remember any more^^ but i think the table was pretty "normal" not to tight not to loose. He was the most active player of what i remembered, (squeezed etc..)
I went along and shoved cuz that was the only good hand i got for a while and the blinds were going up -.-

He had AKs and i got crushed :/

 Last edit: 15/10/2008 10:06

iakim322   United States. Oct 15 2008 12:53. Posts 1335

i find that if he 'squeezed' and you folded to it just very recently, this raise is almost never a pure bluff. so you're either crushed or racing.


PohkerIzPhun   United States. Oct 15 2008 13:47. Posts 24

That's actually a really good point - if you make the mistake of just raising, might as well make another mistake and fold to that, wait for a better spot preflop...

Sticking to the shove or fold are better options. You want to see all 5 board cards with a hand like AQ, or just wait for a better position - I might even be inclined to shove KJ in late position moreso than AQ UTG.

I like iakim's point, "first level" thinkers tend to get "scared" to pull off a move like that twice in a short period with air...unless he really IS getting the hands to be doing that, which in this case was the goods.


Liquid`Drone   Norway. Oct 15 2008 15:49. Posts 3096

if you were even with him chipwise and he pushed id always call but a reraise from someone with his stacksize there very often means you can pinpoint him to TT+/AK
i prolly fold vs unknown.

lol POKER 

 



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