NL200 Flush vs station

Guy is a station and my stats say he plays aggressive on river 88% of the time, still. According to stats he gets progressively more and more aggressive as hand progresses. Still, it's one of those fuck me I wish I had check-called spots... wat to do?

Submitted by : phexac

PokerStars Game #19971772753: Hold'em No Limit ($1/$2) - 2008/08/28 - 17:41:30 (ET)
Table 'Otero' 6-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: Victor2805 ($200 in chips)
Seat 2: jaybizzy ($278.10 in chips)
Seat 3: champbrady33 ($180.65 in chips)
Seat 4: dzudik ($99.70 in chips)
Seat 5: Hero ($210.65 in chips)
Seat 6: Schubert1 ($121.85 in chips)
Hero : posts small blind $1
Schubert1: posts big blind $2

Holecards
Dealt to Hero
Victor2805: folds
jaybizzy: calls $2
champbrady33: calls $2
dzudik: folds
Hero : calls $1
Schubert1: checks

Flop (Pot : $8.00)

   
Hero : bets $5.50
Schubert1: folds
jaybizzy: calls $5.50
champbrady33: folds

Turn (Pot : $19.00)

   
Hero : bets $13
jaybizzy: calls $13

River (Pot : $45.00)

   
Hero : bets $28
jaybizzy: raises $229.60 to $257.60 and is all-in
Hero :

u are NEVER good here

him being more aggressive on later streets just means he tends to slowplay and will probably call a set on this insanely drawy flop

basically you're fucked here

do you realize what sample do you need to get accurate agression stats per street?...

let me give u an idea:

this is quite an easy fold.

this is such an easy bet/fold...

easy bet pot/fold

Hate the small turn and river bets.

And vs a station you should obviously NEVER c/c this river, don't be results oriented

EDIT: In fact I'd be hard pressed to think of anyone you should c/c vs.

On August 28 2008 17:36 Baal wrote: do you realize what sample do you need to get accurate agression stats per street?...

Not much at all on players that play like 0.9/1/4

You should have no doubt as to what to do before you bet the river, he is never vbetting worse and he doesnt have many bluffs or made hands turned into bluffs here.

On August 28 2008 17:36 Baal wrote: do you realize what sample do you need to get accurate agression stats per street?... let me give u an idea: this is quite an easy fold.

IT'S OVER 9000!?!?!

Foldsky

flop/turn/river bets are all too small too

KAAAIIIOOOKEEENNNNNNN


FOLD