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BIG HANDS analysis 50BB+ |
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nlloser60   . Aug 17 2008 13:42. Posts 304 | | |
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ck20   . Aug 17 2008 14:38. Posts 1130 | | |
I posted on some, might be wrong though |
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Exhilarate   United States. Aug 18 2008 04:26. Posts 5453 | | |
Hand 1: next time you should fold QKo preflop UTG, valuebet river in that hand, possibly fold to a raise since villain is so passive and JT just got there.
Hand 2: ugliest river card ever, ATo is def in his range, and even a random 6, probably check/fold, or check/call if he makes a really small bet.
Hand 3: tom65432 is a nit, he has AK or a set here most of the time, i don't mind shipping it in though.
Hand 4: he's short, easy call.
Hand 5: any reads on pokerbr549? he's a half stack at 50NL so he seems pretty donkish already. i know that tom65432 donkbets and folds quite a bit, and the board is so drawy, i believe it's profitable to just ship it in here.
Hand 6: puke at that river and fold unfortunately.
Hand 7: against a villain that nitty it's an easy fold on the turn.
Hand 8: i would suggest not 3betting AQo pre against an UTG+1 raiser that's playing 15/12. his EP raise % is probably low, and he's going to have you beat fairly often if he calls and check/raises you on this flop, unless you have a read or history that proves otherwise.
Hand 9: i would look at his 3bet% and decide whether or not he's some overaggro donk 3betting every other hand, and probably 4bet and ship it in preflop. if he has a low 3bet% around 2-3, you probably have to play QQ for set value here, since i don't think he'd be playing AK like this.
Hand 10: i'd get it in on the flop, his PFR is low so he most likely doesn't have a hand that has combinations of 7, so the only hand i'd be worried about here is TT. and, you should probably fold preflop cause playing SCs OOP aren't very profitable, most of the time you just flop a draw, and they only get there about a third of the time. instead of calling, you could also 3bet him if his button opening range is wide to take it down preflop instead.
Hand 11: evo.com generally doesn't get out of line, your overcard/trip outs are probably not good here, and the only way you can win is by hitting your nut flush on the river. i think calling would be -EV in the long run(though some players with a better math game than me can better clarify this), some may argue TPTK + NFD is a standard ship, but i dont think this would be.
Hand 12: he's going to have a set here pretty often, it's possible that 98s/98o is in his calling range as well, if so you're probably nearly drawing dead. i'd check/call the turn if his bet size gives you good enough odds to call, but i'd probably check/fold to a big bet since trip outs/overcard outs are most likely no good, and you'd just be gambling.
Hand 13: stats on robs7turn? most likely set/overset in this situation, and you're flipping against them both. again, overcard outs are probably null.
and can you post less hands next time? lol |
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Kilay   Netherlands. Aug 18 2008 04:42. Posts 1960 | | |
Too many hands hehe, totally discourages me to even start on this... Could you pick out 5 where you need the most help on ?? |
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nlloser60   . Aug 18 2008 10:00. Posts 304 | | |
| On August 18 2008 03:26 Exhilarate wrote:
Hand 1(...) |
Jeeez, ure good. Thx a lot. 95% accuracy. |
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JYang   United States. Aug 18 2008 10:16. Posts 2669 | | |
man u should srsly make a separate thread for every single hand
i doubt LP minds if u post many hands as long they have good discussion value and arent just coolers and bad beats |
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traxamillion   United States. Aug 18 2008 13:43. Posts 10468 | | |
your trippin balls thinking you are going to get much out of posting 10 hands at once that you didn't even post in the thread only linked.
one at a time man |
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TianYuan   Korea (South). Aug 18 2008 15:15. Posts 6817 | | |
Hand 3; why limp preflop?
As played I'm super happy to get it in, hopefully multiway.
Hand 7, I'm not sure you should even 3bet vs an early position raise from someone that nitty.
Hand 9: I'd get it in on this flop.
Hand 10, I'm not a big fan of your preflop limp.. Although judging by your AQ and KQ hands at least you aren't limping just small pairs/suited connectors. I'd get it in on the flop, or since you called, on the turn.
Hand 11 I think it's weird that he isn't 3betting a fairly drawy flop like this if he has a set.. I don't know him tho.
Hand 13 probably a call.. I'm more curious about the full stacked guy who raised you than the shortstack, he's just overlay to me. The question is more if you want to raise or if the original raiser is some nit and you want to just call. He can't raise you if you call so that's nice. |
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[vital]Myth   United States. Aug 18 2008 16:19. Posts 12159 | | |
wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy too many hands in one post |
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Eh, I can go a few more orbits in life, before taxes blind me out - PoorUser | |
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[vital]Myth   United States. Aug 18 2008 16:28. Posts 12159 | | |
1: either raise or fold preflop. folding KQo is gonna be best most of the time though
2: put him allin...if he has AT then kill yourself
3: have to call as played. but once again, raise preflop. also i wouldn't lead this flop, i would rather go for a check/raise against the raiser
4: raise, protect your hand. just shoving is fine
5: call, fold turn to any kind of confident/significant action. if turn checks to you, value bet
6: ez fold
7: call
8: fold preflop unless he's a pretty loose raiser. as played..fold i guess, he isn't bluffing
9: call once then check/fold out if he's really tight/nitty, otherwise raise and get it in happily
10: if you call flop, you check/shove this turn. but you can fold flop against nits
11: call, if you hit the river in any way then open shove. otherwise check/fold river. he has QQ+ like always
12: 3betting flop is horrible, definitely don't do that (because of comment from ck20 on the hh). check/call, open shove river if you hit. otherwise check/fold river
13: fold, you have a naked FD facing a good redraw pretty often so your equity is like 20% or less |
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Eh, I can go a few more orbits in life, before taxes blind me out - PoorUser | |
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TianYuan   Korea (South). Aug 19 2008 11:18. Posts 6817 | | |
Myth, #13 is a fold? Really? There's a looooot of 'dead' money with the halfstack and the betting is closed.
I mean, the shortstack is super tight, yeah, but we are getting pretty damn close to the direct odds to outdraw him, and there's still a fullstack in the hand with the betting closed..
And if they both have sets (ie both are super tight) then well, hurrah, we hit our flush and they have less of a chance to boat? |
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Hm.. Off-suite socks.. | Last edit: 19/08/2008 11:20 |
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[vital]Myth   United States. Aug 19 2008 11:28. Posts 12159 | | |
Board: Tc 5h 4h
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 27.007% 27.01% 00.00% 49262 0.00 { AhKh }
Hand 1: 36.497% 35.66% 00.84% 65039 1533.00 { TT, 55-44, QhTh, JhTh, Th9h, Th8h, 7h6h, 54s }
Hand 2: 36.497% 35.66% 00.84% 65039 1533.00 { TT, 55-44, QhTh, JhTh, Th9h, Th8h, 7h6h, 54s }
yeah i guess we have to shove here actually |
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Eh, I can go a few more orbits in life, before taxes blind me out - PoorUser | |
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Yugless   United States. Aug 19 2008 11:28. Posts 7174 | | |
1. fold pre. as played i would need to know more to make a good decision, against a typical limping range i think i would check/call with no other info
2. r u srs? im not even going to bother with the rest if you dont know what to do here. you probably just posted 20 coolers. |
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Baal - look is talking hah. | |
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nlloser60   . Aug 19 2008 14:57. Posts 304 | | |
ad. 2.
I guess they have at least a little value if Myth and TianYuan and other good lpers made really nice comments. |
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| Last edit: 19/08/2008 14:58 |
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ggplz   Sweden. Aug 19 2008 15:07. Posts 16784 | | |
wow u are so lucky people actually replied to this lolz
less hands next time plz |
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if poker is dangerous to them i would rank sports betting as a Kodiak grizzly bear who smells blood after you just threw a javelin into his cub - RaiNKhAN | |
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