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$1 PLO tp vs aggressive rock

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InsideMan   United Kingdom. May 07 2012 15:12. Posts 159

I don't have a lot of history with villain. His stats are 17/12/5 with a 3Bet of 3 overall and 0 from the BB over 510 hands. His check-raise flop % is 29%.
I think I am ahead a decent amount on the turn. Q and K rivers are a little scary as he has a fair amount of KK/QQ+gs hands that he could be bluffing on the turn due to his tightness.
I'm interested to hear your thoughts on this hand.

Submitted by : InsideMan

Omaha Hi - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

SB: $111.10
BB: $96.35
UTG: $107.83
CO: $40.25
Hero BTN : $215.30

Pre Flop: pot: $2.00 Hero hasAsTsTd9d

fold, fold, Hero raises to $3.00, fold, BB calls $2.00

Flop: $7.00, 2 playersJsAc 7h
BB checks, Hero bets $5.00, BB raises to $16.00, Hero calls $11.00

Turn: $39.00, 2 players Ah
BB bets $18.00, Hero calls $18.00

River: $75.00, 2 players Qd
BB bets $59.35 and is all-in

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There is no such thing as certainty in life, only opportunity.  

YoMeR   United States. May 07 2012 16:16. Posts 12438

I think calling down here is bad vs a nit

eZ Life. 

YouGoTGoT   United States. May 08 2012 07:43. Posts 1118

Fold and type "turbo muck" in chat

YA I TALK SHIT, GOTTA DEFECATE TO CONVERSATE 

DustySwedeDude   Sweden. May 08 2012 07:53. Posts 8623

seems to me he'd have to be fairly suicidal for this to be a call. Vs someone who religiously 3bets all high cards it could be a call but not vs this guy.


MiPwnYa    Brasil. May 08 2012 13:08. Posts 5230

well played now muck riv


InsideMan   United Kingdom. May 10 2012 06:00. Posts 159

I did go ahead and fold the river. At the time it felt really close, because I don't think your average rock checkraises JJ 100% on the flop, though given his high checkraise percentage I think it's a safe assumption that he is checkraising JJ close to 100%.
I also did tank a bit on the turn, potentially inducing lighter shoves on the river. Q is just too bad of a card for us as his bluffing range goes down dramatically and it's also not so clear he is willing to bluff his stack in a spot like this.
Thanks for your input.

There is no such thing as certainty in life, only opportunity.  

 



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