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$1 3bp turn play on drawy board

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InsideMan   United Kingdom. Mar 16 2012 11:42. Posts 159

Villain is a LAG regular. He runs at 33/28/5 over 563 hands.
He plays about 22% of his hands (12/55) from UTG. He is capable of folding to a 3-bet preflop.
The dynamic between us is aggressive, but usually our hands end on the flop so not much info on his frequencies, but I expect him to air on the side of aggression.
Would you prefer a cbet on the flop? As played would you consider peeling and bluff-catching a lot of rivers when we improve and/or bluffing some cards when we miss and villain gives up? I would consider improving to be any straight, a 9, any non spade A or K.

Submitted by : InsideMan

$1 PL Hi 6 max - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

CO: $320.60
Hero BTN : $116.05
SB: $96.00
BB: $130.86
UTG: $205.62
MP: $79.97

SB posts SB $1.00, BB posts BB $1.00

Pre Flop: pot: $2.00 Hero hasAd9cKd Tc

UTG raises to $4.00, fold, fold, Hero raises to $12.00, fold, fold, UTG calls $8.00

Flop: $26.00, 2 players8s6h 9s
UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: $26.00, 2 players Jc
UTG bets $20.00



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There is no such thing as certainty in life, only opportunity.  

daysare   Poland. Mar 18 2012 12:56. Posts 670

I don't think you can call it since you dont have pot odds and a lot of rivers will be a nightmare (imagine facing a psb on Qs river). My first thought was to jam but it looks to me like he wanted to go for a cr on the flop. On the other hand he is a lag so u never know. Id base my decision on his bet turn stat probably


InsideMan   United Kingdom. Mar 19 2012 09:55. Posts 159

I think it's reasonable to assume that his turn leading frequency will be high here, based off of the information we have of his overall game.

There is no such thing as certainty in life, only opportunity.  

 



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