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Flat or raise flop NL50?

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el_tilon   Canada. Mar 31 2012 22:24. Posts 296

Submitted by : el_tilon

***** Hand History for Game 11607152531 *****
$50.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Saturday, March 31, 09:48:14 ET 2012
Table Speed 2410419 No DP Real Money
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 2: Emdyca $60.13 USD
Seat 4: Susan1971 $54.97 USD
Seat 1: gmgzdean $70.81 USD
Seat 5: tilonsin $108.96 USD
Seat 3: whitewar1004 $20.30 USD
Seat 6: zokoku $64.12 USD
gmgzdean posts small blind [$0.25 USD].
Emdyca posts big blind [$0.50 USD].

Holecards
Dealt to tilonsin ThAh ]
whitewar1004 calls [$0.50 USD]
tilonsin raises [$2.50 USD]
zokoku calls [$2.50 USD]
gmgzdean calls [$2.25 USD]
Emdyca folds
whitewar1004 folds

Flop (Pot : $8.50)

   2cQhJh
gmgzdean checks
tilonsin bets [$6.06 USD]
zokoku folds
gmgzdean raises [$12.12 USD]
tilonsin ???



villain 47/4
with 1.1 of agg

CR 11%

WTSD 45%

in 215 hands what is the correct move?

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THE TILTMONKEY MASTERLast edit: 31/03/2012 22:27

xicotaSLB   Portugal. Mar 31 2012 22:30. Posts 1128

dude post hand decently... and say villains images, how do you want us to help if you dont put on important information.


el_tilon   Canada. Mar 31 2012 22:54. Posts 296


  On March 31 2012 21:30 xicotaSLB wrote:
dude post hand decently... and say villains images, how do you want us to help if you dont put on important information.



copied

THE TILTMONKEY MASTER 

julep   Australia. Mar 31 2012 23:02. Posts 1274

call, call turn
215 hands isn't enough for cr %.so we have to assume passive


TalentedTom    Canada. Apr 01 2012 01:24. Posts 20070

theres no wrong way to proceed (as long as u dont fold), the most optimal +EV line will be derived from your read on his tendancies. Almost everything you do here (except fold) is +EV. In poker the better your reads are the more money you make

Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same 

TalentedTom    Canada. Apr 01 2012 10:07. Posts 20070


  On March 31 2012 22:02 julep wrote:
call, call turn
215 hands isn't enough for cr %.so we have to assume passive



why is a 50vpip fish even here after 215 hands,unlesss hes rebought 3-4x
215 hands is ALOT, we should have a strong read by now, futhermore this is a player we should be VERY focused on, since all the money is coming from him

Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same 

Stroggoz   New Zealand. Apr 01 2012 10:45. Posts 5365

gambol it up and jam it in.

One of 3 non decent human beings on a site of 5 people with between 2-3 decent human beings 

sunnysky7   . Apr 01 2012 21:56. Posts 1549

call, with the Ts block so many combo draws and most of the time he had a made hand
given the odds and position we can play our hand perfectly later streets

 Last edit: 01/04/2012 21:56

julep   Australia. Apr 01 2012 23:35. Posts 1274


  On April 01 2012 09:07 TalentedTom wrote:
Show nested quote +



why is a 50vpip fish even here after 215 hands,unlesss hes rebought 3-4x
215 hands is ALOT, we should have a strong read by now, futhermore this is a player we should be VERY focused on, since all the money is coming from him


OP has no reads. OP mentions no metagame aspects (like could be tilted). Furthermore his winrate is probably -5BB to -10BB/100. He is expected to only lose 10-20$ in this time

 Last edit: 01/04/2012 23:38

TalentedTom    Canada. Apr 01 2012 23:47. Posts 20070


  On April 01 2012 22:35 julep wrote:
Show nested quote +



OP has no reads. OP mentions no metagame aspects (like could be tilted). Furthermore his winrate is probably -5BB to -10BB/100. He is expected to only lose 10-20$ in this time



theres nothing to discuss here... every option is +EV

Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same 

superfashion   United States. Apr 02 2012 03:48. Posts 918

close your eyes and click something besides fold

shoving here as a bluff at 50NL is like explaning calcalus to a 6 month old cat wtf are you thinking - TalentedTom 

SpasticInk   Sweden. Apr 02 2012 03:56. Posts 6298

Is it a miniraise or did he reaise 12 more?

I would call his miniraise, having position makes it clear a good play. If you miss you might get perfect odds to call his possible turn bet.


el_tilon   Canada. Apr 02 2012 10:27. Posts 296


  On April 02 2012 02:56 SpasticInk wrote:
Is it a miniraise or did he reaise 12 more?

I would call his miniraise, having position makes it clear a good play. If you miss you might get perfect odds to call his possible turn bet.



that is a miniraise, considering the passive that this player is, I think this is super strong.

THE TILTMONKEY MASTER 

PplusAD   Germany. Apr 02 2012 15:28. Posts 7182


  On April 01 2012 22:47 TalentedTom wrote:

theres nothing to discuss here... every option is +EV



#2

U see what i did there with A8 ? He 4 bets and there we go insta jam A8 : ---booooom -- . hahahaha ( Krantz) 

Rapoza   Brasil. Apr 02 2012 20:39. Posts 1612

--- Nuked ---

Pouncer Style 4 the win 

el_tilon   Canada. Apr 03 2012 20:34. Posts 296

thanks for the comments

THE TILTMONKEY MASTER 

YoMeR   United States. Apr 04 2012 18:02. Posts 12438

my biggest problem in this hand is timing out due to the dancing and fist pumping i'm doing and forget to click the all in button

eZ Life. 

devon06atX   Canada. Apr 05 2012 06:54. Posts 5462

call. you have a (sorta) monster. and most likely no fold equity. there are different trains of thought on this. however, i assume you're not playing a difficult/tricky/opponent you have much history with.

but yeah, one hell of a juicy spot to be. until turn brings 4of spades and you get shoved on.
--------------------

ALERT - just noticed stack sizes. i reraise flop w/ intention of getting it in. check behind turn if possible, bet river on solid cards (lol, that sounds retarded)... and oh, bet good river cards too...and no, i don't work for the short-person fund.

you're in position and you have a fucking monster. extracting money is dependant on the opponent and your flow. mind you, having a hand is good too heh.

how's the age-old expert advice go? "It Depends".


devon06atX   Canada. Apr 05 2012 06:57. Posts 5462

re-edit. now that i think hero got min-raised, there's probably more of an argument to simply call.

new edit -

I call and re-evaluate.

however, if he has talked any shit, straight up shove all up in his grill on the flop. fuck em. then grab your dick and do a whirly-bird while the river plays out


Tensai176   Canada. Apr 05 2012 19:45. Posts 1018

^ lol, all your posts sound like you're drunk


 



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