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Turned 2 pairs but facing a pot bet.. NL25 - Page 2

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LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Mar 10 2010 17:03. Posts 15163

StoxEV, Pokerazer or Stove will tell you the same

93% Sure!  

Zalfor   United States. Mar 11 2010 00:59. Posts 2236

wtf? ur thinking aobut being passive?

either raise turn or raise river.


LikeASet   United States. Mar 11 2010 03:14. Posts 2113

well title is turned 2 pair BUT facing a pot bet lol


Jhyun88   United States. Mar 11 2010 05:36. Posts 1383

It was just spooky b/c i've never seen this guy bet near pot on turn with just top pair.. I ended up getting it all in and he turned up with set of 9's. For some reason alot of 25nlers on stars that play "regularly" likes to bet alot heavier with a set than tptk (obviously to get it in but still kinda sends off alerts when I see a guy bet alot heavier than usual)(They'll also fold here w/ AK if I reraise heavy on turn alot of times) Alot of them also only donkbet with a set...

Obviously that's just my table observation but im no soulreader nor a very good player and the proper play would be as you guys said to callcall or raise.

Eventhough I felt like i was beat i doubt i'd fold here ever :X
I'm still pretty new to poker and was wondering what you guys might think of it. Thanks for the advices

 Last edit: 11/03/2010 05:54

Jhyun88   United States. Mar 11 2010 05:51. Posts 1383

(sorry doublepost)

 Last edit: 11/03/2010 05:54

offsuit   United States. Mar 14 2010 08:34. Posts 152

It doesn't matter what I think his range is if he's pot betting and my read is a set. I couldn't fold top two here but I could check/call to the showdown.

Just saying sometimes the math will lose you money that you could have saved with a read. Poker isn't all about percentages.


LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Mar 14 2010 08:42. Posts 15163

Poker is all about percentages. Anything can be broken down to an EV equation, and you just have to add ranges.

If his range doesn't include AK than put only sets to the equation. In that case calling at any point doesn't make sense and you should fold turn.

The vast majority of players wiill play AK exactly like this and it will be the correct play at NL25 where nobody is folding an ace ever, and thats what we are basing our advice upon.


Another thing is the fact that stacking off here will never have negative impact on your winrate as 99.5% of people are not folding here ever.

You can't say that about folding and if he does play AK like this even small amount of the time you will be making a worse play than everybody else would and lose money.

93% Sure! Last edit: 14/03/2010 08:51

ManBearPig   Belgium. Mar 14 2010 08:55. Posts 50

Wow some of you guys are such nits, I get it in here (prob flat turn and shove river) every day and see AK/AQ/A9/A6/maybe even AT here a lot and get paid off, if it's a set you're just getting coolered, don't wanna miss value from all the other hands.


offsuit   United States. Mar 14 2010 11:42. Posts 152


  On March 14 2010 07:42 LemOn[5thF] wrote:
Poker is all about percentages. Anything can be broken down to an EV equation, and you just have to add ranges.

If his range doesn't include AK than put only sets to the equation. In that case calling at any point doesn't make sense and you should fold turn.

The vast majority of players wiill play AK exactly like this and it will be the correct play at NL25 where nobody is folding an ace ever, and thats what we are basing our advice upon.


Another thing is the fact that stacking off here will never have negative impact on your winrate as 99.5% of people are not folding here ever.

You can't say that about folding and if he does play AK like this even small amount of the time you will be making a worse play than everybody else would and lose money.


I mean, I understand most of the things you're stating, I was just concerned about losing the minimum in a spot where you're likely to be beat. Maybe I overestimate the logic of micro limit players. If you win you win more, if you lose you were gonna lose anyway and there's nothing you could have done about it? You can't fold top two in this spot, I understand that. I'm starting to understand why you would shove instead of check/calling though.

Should I be getting rid of the idea of "losing the minimum" in my head?


rozyboy   Israel. Mar 15 2010 04:34. Posts 298

If you guys had to choose between calling turn- and shoving river, or just shoving turn.
what would you choose and why? are all of you just shoving turn here?

recently switched from weak tight to weak agressive. 

MadJukes   United States. Mar 15 2010 04:41. Posts 372

I'd shove turn over shoving river. I really dont want to see something like the K of diamonds on the river.


Arirang   Canada. Mar 15 2010 05:06. Posts 1673

Call turn, shove majority of the river.
Although I don't mind shoving turn, I think that's the conventional nut line, so I would think more hands will call the shove river than shove turn.
You don't have to worry so much about the cards on river. It will most likely brick anyway. The only cards you don't want to see are K and Q.


Jhyun88   United States. Mar 15 2010 21:30. Posts 1383


  On March 15 2010 04:06 Arirang wrote:
Call turn, shove majority of the river.
Although I don't mind shoving turn, I think that's the conventional nut line, so I would think more hands will call the shove river than shove turn.
You don't have to worry so much about the cards on river. It will most likely brick anyway. The only cards you don't want to see are K and Q.



lol I got it in on the turn, I think I like the call/call line though :X

offtopic: you're nickname is so Korean -_-;;


TalentedTom    Canada. Mar 15 2010 22:47. Posts 20070

Something I feel must add, if you are not -->>HAPPY<<-- to be getting it in here you are a results oriented / extremley weak player in terms of confidence

cause I'm pumping my fists when I turn that 2 pair, super exited when he 2 barrels, if you are not EXITED.. TIME TO GET EXITED

Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same 

edzwoo   United States. Mar 15 2010 22:59. Posts 5911

LOL sorry Tom, but it's "excited"

I read that second sentence and was visioning an insta-fist pump turn two pair and snap closing the client.


X anarki   Belgium. Mar 16 2010 21:00. Posts 288

3bet pre ...

The sword is more important than the shield, and skill is more important than either. The final weapon is the brain. All else is supplemental. - John Steinbeck 

Feiticeira   United Kingdom. Mar 16 2010 21:14. Posts 3047


  On March 15 2010 21:59 edzwoo wrote:
LOL sorry Tom, but it's "excited"

I read that second sentence and was visioning an insta-fist pump turn two pair and snap closing the client.



this is hilarious

The weird thing is I think McCain will win this. Im 100% certain Obama wont be elected and you guys can mark my words - Sheitan 

Critterer   United Kingdom. Mar 17 2010 19:56. Posts 5337

press call

LudaHid: dam.ned dam.ned dam.ned. LudaHid: dam.ned northwooden as..hole 

 
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