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NL25 villain's range?

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joLin   United States. Jan 08 2009 06:15. Posts 3818

villain is 44/6 and instabets river. what do you think he has here?

edit: plz dont just say shove or call or fold or something the villain's range is more important to me.

Submitted by : joLin

***** Hand History for Game 23686694041 *****
$25.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, January 08, 04:59:44 ET 2009
Table Schlutia Real Money
Seat 4 is the button
Seat 1: MrWho85 $25.35 USD
Seat 4: Hero $26.20 USD
Seat 5: Kekslord $14.65 USD
Seat 6: Dracula001 $51.55 USD
Kekslord posts small blind [$0.10 USD].
Dracula001 posts big blind [$0.25 USD].

Holecards
Dealt to Hero 8c7c
MrWho85 folds
Hero raises [$1.00 USD]
Kekslord calls [$0.90 USD]
Dracula001 folds

Flop (Pot : $2.25)

   3c8d9c
Kekslord checks
Hero bets [$1.50 USD]
Kekslord calls [$1.50 USD]

Turn (Pot : $5.25)

   3c8d9c2d
Kekslord checks
Hero checks

River (Pot : $5.25)

   3c8d9c2d6c
Kekslord bets [$3.75 USD]

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YoUr_KiLLeR @ TLLast edit: 08/01/2009 07:06

Critterer   United Kingdom. Jan 08 2009 06:19. Posts 5337

shove obv

LudaHid: dam.ned dam.ned dam.ned. LudaHid: dam.ned northwooden as..hole 

vlseph   United States. Jan 08 2009 06:33. Posts 3026

fold

The only hands a nit balances in his range are the nuts, the second nuts, and the third nuts. 

nouck   Argentina. Jan 08 2009 08:09. Posts 201


  On January 08 2009 05:33 vlseph wrote:
fold



?

i would just call...


nouck   Argentina. Jan 08 2009 08:13. Posts 201

44/6 is very passive player right?

So therefore he could have any two clubs in his hands... but also JT and 107 (dont know about his opening range)...

But fuck it you dont need to know his range cos you have flush and if he has higher flush its just a cooler. Besides pot is not that big so you wouldnt lose (or win) a lot. Its not significant enough to extract his range here. Obv flatcall his riverbet cos a shove will only get called by higher flush.


Sicks Macks   United States. Jan 08 2009 08:37. Posts 3929

Well that 44 VPIP hasn't really been narrowed because there hasn't been much action and you haven't given us any other reads (AF, Afreq would be nice as would fold sb to steal). Here's what his range is imo:

Straights, flushes, air, 2p, sets, TT-QQ, other random shit.

You rarely have a flush with your line, plus he's probably just clicking buttons, so shove. Again though you can't really be concerned with his range because you don't know much about him, the action in the hand hasn't been that interesting, and his range is wide to begin with. Flush > wide range. EZ GAME.

Mr. Will Throwit 

Sicks Macks   United States. Jan 08 2009 08:39. Posts 3929


  On January 08 2009 07:09 nouck wrote:
Show nested quote +



?

i would just call...



This is a leak, imo

Mr. Will Throwit 

Orome   Switzerland. Jan 08 2009 09:20. Posts 214

Maybe you've experienced it differently, but I found that at NL25 villains will lead the river every single time you check the turn behind after c-betting, so there are lots and lots of hands in his range that you beat, stuff like A9, T9, 98 86, sets and maybe rarely a straight.

I would be tempted to just shove here, because I feel villains on this limit are so convinced you have 100% air when you check behind the turn they look you up very lightly, but a smaller raise is probably better. I definitely think you should raise though, 2 pair, sets and straights are all going to look you up.

edit: didn't realize he only had like 9$ behind, definitely shove then
edit2: he can definitely have overpairs as well

 Last edit: 08/01/2009 11:44

anotherdream   Bulgaria. Jan 08 2009 10:22. Posts 47

call


4Kingell   United Kingdom. Jan 08 2009 10:35. Posts 1453


  On January 08 2009 07:37 Sicks Macks wrote:
Well that 44 VPIP hasn't really been narrowed because there hasn't been much action and you haven't given us any other reads (AF, Afreq would be nice as would fold sb to steal). Here's what his range is imo:

Straights, flushes, air, 2p, sets, TT-QQ, other random shit.

You rarely have a flush with your line, plus he's probably just clicking buttons, so shove. Again though you can't really be concerned with his range because you don't know much about him, the action in the hand hasn't been that interesting, and his range is wide to begin with. Flush > wide range. EZ GAME.


This ^^^

Also why bet 4x on the button?

You should be betting for value on the flop so this can be bigger but I guess no big deal -> $1.75

Why check turn if it isn't to induce him to spaz on the river? You are ahead most times on the turn + draw and I prefer a bet but once you check you can't just call a river bet when you hit the flush.

Sicks' range is spot on imo - i.e. just about impossible to narrow it down with the information given

If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles. Sun Tzu  

Fox   . Jan 08 2009 13:03. Posts 3110

His range is any pair, any draw made, any draw missed. Anything. So anything but folding is an option.

I bet turn because i'm going to bluff that turn since it's a brick to a lot of draws and if i have an over pair i want them to be valuetowned. I also think i have the best hand at this point and i see no reason to check behind.


GirlsRVicious   United States. Jan 08 2009 13:23. Posts 1094

he could have lots of two pairs crazy ass bluffs and you are easily ahead of the crazy shit he could have so all in
bet turn imo also and get it in

LOL Live Pokerz 

collegesucks   United States. Jan 08 2009 14:21. Posts 5780

I bet the turn as well

But as played river looks like an auto raise... Why would you want to do anything else?


collegesucks   United States. Jan 08 2009 14:25. Posts 5780

Oh it's impossible to narrow down his range here.. I don't think it's a very significant question since even against a pretty narrow range you'd want to raise for value


YoMeR   United States. Jan 08 2009 15:35. Posts 12438

you give us vpip/pfr and no other relevant info. how do you expect us to give you an informed post about villain likely range here?

it's obv a raise here. there's really nothing to discuss about this hand. anything we say about villain's range is pure speculation and/or generalization.

eZ Life. 

joLin   United States. Jan 08 2009 16:25. Posts 3818

ok thanks guys. i was just asking since during the hand i felt like he couldnt have anything but a flush here, but i didnt feel like i had enough info on the villain to comfortably narrow him down to such a tiny range so i shoved. he had A4cc so i was just wondering if my initial read that he could only have a flush here was right, but its not. like you guys say, he could have lots of random two pairs here and other stuff.

YoUr_KiLLeR @ TLLast edit: 08/01/2009 16:27

Fox   . Jan 08 2009 16:43. Posts 3110


  On January 08 2009 15:25 YoUr_KiLLeR wrote:
ok thanks guys. i was just asking since during the hand i felt like he couldnt have anything but a flush here, but i didnt feel like i had enough info on the villain to comfortably narrow him down to such a tiny range so i shoved. he had A4cc so i was just wondering if my initial read that he could only have a flush here was right, but its not. like you guys say, he could have lots of random two pairs here and other stuff.



At this stake against some villians flushes that are bigger then yours are for sure in the range. What it comes down to is players at your stake are bad and always call down with marginal hands and never raise with draws and only with the nuts... by that you should be valuetowning everyone and make them call with all sorts of bad hands so don't be too results oriented.


joLin   United States. Jan 08 2009 16:48. Posts 3818

as for betting/checking the turn. lets say you bet the turn, the river comes an overcard and he leads 2/3 pot, are we comfortable calling? how about if the river bricks and he leads 2/3 pot, are we comfortable calling? i might be losing value in these spots i dunno but i feel like betting the turn makes most of my river decisions difficult.

YoUr_KiLLeR @ TLLast edit: 08/01/2009 16:50

ReDDcaFFe   Bulgaria. Jan 08 2009 18:52. Posts 1172

Bet turn and call river.

I cant wait to take their money 

traxamillion   United States. Jan 08 2009 19:03. Posts 10468

stop fucking giving terrible advice;

sure you probably jammed and got raped by a higher flush

o fucking well


traxamillion   United States. Jan 08 2009 19:04. Posts 10468

he is a fucking halfstack for christ sake quit poker


traxamillion   United States. Jan 08 2009 19:05. Posts 10468

start sethunting FR or something probably be better for you


TalentedTom    Canada. Jan 08 2009 19:07. Posts 20070

Seat 5: Kekslord $14.65 USD


poker isn't always about putting people on hands, this guy is so *****ing loose who gives a shit what he has, we have a flush we shove cause hes poor and loose. People who overthink things too much usually suck at poker and end up being too weak tight or very spewy

Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same 

traxamillion   United States. Jan 08 2009 19:08. Posts 10468


  On January 08 2009 05:33 vlseph wrote:
fold



level?


traxamillion   United States. Jan 08 2009 19:08. Posts 10468


  On January 08 2009 07:09 nouck wrote:
Show nested quote +



?

i would just call...


red x from micros


traxamillion   United States. Jan 08 2009 19:09. Posts 10468


  On January 08 2009 09:22 anotherdream wrote:
call



red x from microstakes


traxamillion   United States. Jan 08 2009 19:11. Posts 10468

I'm a little tilted but seriously this forum used to have good advice even at the low stakes now even 2+2 morons shit on most of the advice here


traxamillion   United States. Jan 08 2009 19:12. Posts 10468

unless its a gem from one of like 10 known good posters i.e

myth tom etc


Sicks Macks   United States. Jan 08 2009 19:29. Posts 3929


  On January 08 2009 18:11 traxamillion wrote:
I'm a little tilted but seriously this forum used to have good advice even at the low stakes now even 2+2 morons shit on most of the advice here



Relax, three people on the first page (myself included) explained exactly what was going on. If people want to advocate missing value that keeps games good. This forum can't be about handholding new players into an army of nl200 regs, but if people want good advice it's clearly still there.

Mr. Will ThrowitLast edit: 08/01/2009 19:36

Python817   Canada. Jan 08 2009 20:36. Posts 2733

this a joke? allin


SpasticInk   Sweden. Jan 08 2009 20:39. Posts 6298

celebrate and go all-in.


NeillyJQ   United States. Jan 08 2009 21:16. Posts 8947

i call, the only hands that call your rr is a better flush or a set which is very unlikely with his line

Just remember you need to be god damn sure about their tendencies. -Artanis11 http://www.pocketfives.com/profiles/neillyaa/ 

PplusAD   Germany. Jan 08 2009 22:12. Posts 7182

Are u fucking serious ?

bet flop ,imo also bet turn , celebrate all in river

eaz

we have a flush and hes not even full stacked ....
and he will call your shove even without a flush good amount of the time

U see what i did there with A8 ? He 4 bets and there we go insta jam A8 : ---booooom -- . hahahaha ( Krantz)Last edit: 08/01/2009 22:14

DustySwedeDude   Sweden. Jan 09 2009 04:17. Posts 8623

bet bet shove. As played shove.


Zalfor   United States. Jan 09 2009 21:57. Posts 2236

call, as said before, only hands that call u shove are better flushes.

 Last edit: 09/01/2009 21:57

terrybunny19240   United States. Jan 09 2009 22:19. Posts 13829

please stop giving shit advice when multiple good players in the thread already said the opposite.


TalentedTom    Canada. Jan 09 2009 22:44. Posts 20070

Take offence I don't really care

But anyone who dosn't say shove, sucks at poker, and please stop giving advice to other players because you have no idea what you are talking about

That's all

Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same 

TalentedTom    Canada. Jan 09 2009 22:45. Posts 20070

The only thing that's debatable in this hand is weather or not to bet or check the turn, both are fine

Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same 

joLin   United States. Jan 09 2009 22:58. Posts 3818


  On January 08 2009 18:07 TalentedTom wrote:
poker isn't always about putting people on hands, this guy is so *****ing loose who gives a shit what he has, we have a flush we shove cause hes poor and loose. People who overthink things too much usually suck at poker and end up being too weak tight or very spewy


thanks. i think i do tend to overthink things.

YoUr_KiLLeR @ TL 

 



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