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Superbowl!!!

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lostaccount   Canada. Feb 07 2021 17:01. Posts 3433

Who do you guys like? Lets go KC

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Ryan Neilly   United States. Feb 07 2021 18:43. Posts 1565

math based i like KC 59/41.

This is the super bowl. but look up the first meeting, 3 pt KC win, i like +4 on Tampa, I think the best play here (since KC CRushed 1st quarter in regular season) is put ur bet on Tampa at end of first quarter or halftime depending.

Tom Brady is great, BUT HIS 3RD DOWN EFFECIENCY IS ABOUT 12% OR SMTHING!~!!!!!

THIS IS THE PROBLEM.

KC 33 - TAMPA 27

THE OVER IS THE BET.

TAMPA MAY PULL IN BY 3-4. 40-50% chance of win..?

TheY NEED BROWN TO GO OFF!! Kelce will do great, hes great history here and Mahomey don't throw bad balls.

Like in 2018 for the pats, brown 65 yrd tds all day n night. I think ehs ready for 8 catches 130 yards n 2 tds. Lets see

Make money betting on hill recieving yards, brown recieving yards, fournette rushing yards (.5u) The Over (57), Tampa +3.5 is about 52% to win cuz AB. Tampa winnig the game is around 44%.

I love both these teams.

I see it going like this, mahomes converts all 3rd downs cuz spread field (thx hill) - if he cant run for 10-35 he will drop off to kelce, kelce recpetions should be about 6-9.

also bet gronk receptions. cameron brate is not in good health, so put in gronk for a big payday. i see 6 catchse 91 yards and a td.

 Last edit: 07/02/2021 18:45

Ryan Neilly   United States. Feb 07 2021 18:47. Posts 1565

if they let KC win it goes on the UNDER (BIGGEST MONEY GAME OF THE YEAR)

If they let Tampa win its going on the Over most likely, as more BULL BETS will be on KC - binned n spent on stogies.


Ryan Neilly   United States. Feb 07 2021 18:48. Posts 1565

oh btw, tampa relies on brown doing great hopefully, but we know hill will, he had 250 yards +3tds first time they met like week 6 or w/e.............. i think smart money is gonna be on KC I don't think Tampa will be able to pull in close, I see KC halftime and KC win.

I'd say KC can win tis game 35-21 which would make vegas really happy (under 57)

 Last edit: 07/02/2021 18:49

Ryan Neilly   United States. Feb 07 2021 18:51. Posts 1565

also tom brady threw a few games in regular season to make sure the books weren't to heavy on him in playoffs so he could make super bowl, but mahomey didn't do anything like that 15-1 win win win, but vegas can't love him for not scratching their backs, but brady took 5 loses and a few were just tosses. I see all the flags going against kC Tonight making this a short fielded game w explosive players (and quite weak defenses)

IF YOU CAN TRICK THAT O/U TO 50-51 !!!!!!!!!!!! AND SMASH OVER W/ UR NET WORTH U CRAZY DEGENERATE!~ Jk bet safely =) but yeah that seems like the best bet.


PuertoRican   United States. Feb 07 2021 19:43. Posts 12607

• $10 on KC longest kickoff return +115
• $16.50 on T.Brady throws an interception -165
• $20.25 on 1st coach's challenge = play overturned -135
• $36 on P.Mahomes longest rush un 11½ / no rush -120

Rekrul is a newb 

Ryan Neilly   United States. Feb 07 2021 23:10. Posts 1565

mahomes will have more than 1 rush over 15 yards bud


lostaccount   Canada. Feb 07 2021 23:19. Posts 3433

bet a nice meal with a buddy got tails


PuertoRican   United States. Feb 07 2021 23:31. Posts 12607


  On February 07 2021 22:10 Ryan Neilly wrote:
mahomes will have more than 1 rush over 15 yards bud


Maybe, maybe not.

Mahomes hasn't been rushing much after he took that hit and also had turf toe.

I do think Mahomes will rush, but he has been smart about either not rushing much at all, or running out of bounds or sliding in order to pickup enough yards for a first down. Also, the Bucs have good defense, so there's that.

Do you want to give me even money on Mahomes NOT having one rush that is over 15 yards? I'll bet $50 on all of Mahomes' rushes being under 15 yards per rush. We can send the funds via PayPal.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Feb 08 2021 01:33. Posts 12607

wtf... the Bucs challenged that TD play in the 2nd quarter...

Great... I just lost my coaches challenge when it seemed clear it wasn't a TD.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Feb 08 2021 02:20. Posts 12607

I added: Kansas City Chiefs 3rd Quarter Over 3½

Rekrul is a newb 

CamilaPunt   Brasil. Feb 08 2021 02:33. Posts 2381


  On February 08 2021 01:20 PuertoRican wrote:
I added: Kansas City Chiefs 3rd Quarter Over 3½



tells u how good bucs are that that bet exists


PuertoRican   United States. Feb 08 2021 02:37. Posts 12607


  On February 08 2021 01:33 CamilaPunt wrote:
Show nested quote +



tells u how good bucs are that that bet exists

For real...

If the NFL is rigged like we all think it is, the Chiefs should have no problem covering O3.5 points in the 3rd quarter.

Rekrul is a newb 

CamilaPunt   Brasil. Feb 08 2021 03:23. Posts 2381

not ur nite puerto


PuertoRican   United States. Feb 08 2021 03:25. Posts 12607


  On February 08 2021 02:23 CamilaPunt wrote:
not ur nite puerto


Good thing I am going small on everything.

Even though the referees are gifting the Bucs with all of the flags on the Chiefs, the Chiefs still aren't playing good.

This Super Bowl game is terrible, from a non-bettors point of view.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Feb 08 2021 03:59. Posts 12607

Welp, that Super Bowl was actually the worst I've seen in many years. Lost some small bets, but it actually felt like a waste of time to watch.

Maybe I would think different if I was on Tampa Bay ML/point spread instead of betting player props, but even with UFC I can tell if a fight is boring when I bet it.

Rekrul is a newb 

lostaccount   Canada. Feb 08 2021 04:02. Posts 3433


  On February 08 2021 02:59 PuertoRican wrote:
Welp, that Super Bowl was actually the worst I've seen in many years. Lost some small bets, but it actually felt like a waste of time to watch.

Maybe I would think different if I was on Tampa Bay ML/point spread instead of betting player props, but even with UFC I can tell if a fight is boring when I bet it.



Good thing I didn’t watch the rest only watch first and a bit of 2nd. Went to cruise instead lol


lostaccount   Canada. Feb 08 2021 04:53. Posts 3433

GG


 



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