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What's the % of completing a flush draw?

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Nitewin   United States. Dec 12 2020 05:59. Posts 1531


0 votes
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 Last edit: 12/12/2020 22:36

BlizzY   Slovakia. Dec 12 2020 12:55. Posts 805

3,5:1


Nitewin   United States. Dec 12 2020 15:44. Posts 1531


Odds of completing a Flush draw on the turn – 9/47 = 0.1915 or roughly 19.2%

Odds of completing a Flush draw on the river – 9/46 = 0.1957 or roughly 19.6%

Probability of not hitting a Flush draw on the turn – 38/47

Probability of not hitting a Flush draw on the river – 37/46

Probability of not hitting by the river is 38/47 * 37/46 = 0.6503 or roughly 65%

Therefore the odds of making a Flush by the river is (100% - 65%) roughly 35%.

 Last edit: 12/12/2020 22:36

hiems   United States. Dec 12 2020 18:21. Posts 2291

lmao

[img]https://i.imgur.com/wkwWj2d.png[/img] 

dnagardi   Hungary. Dec 12 2020 18:53. Posts 1743

yea well, its basic secondary school probability

it's either 1- (38/47 * 37/46)=0,35 as you wrote, calculating from the probability of not hitting

or the result of good combinations/total combinations: 9*38+9*8+38*9/47*46=0,35

its a good thing you know that you dont know though


 



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