UFC on ESPN 16: Holm vs. Aldana

On October 03 2020 20:58 PuertoRican wrote: I have no bets on Ayari/Vendramini, as they both haven't fought for 2 years. Ayari might not be 100%, but I assume he's well enough to take this fight. He hasn't fought since October 2018 and didn't need to fly all the way in Abu Dhabi if he wasn't ready to fight yet. Ayari just needs to avoid giving up his back to Vendramini, and he should be able to win a boring, low volume unanimous decision.

Ayari is better than this guy on the ground.
What he has not shown us in the ufc but what i know since it was my main training partner in 2010-2012
Ayari started as a BJJ guy and did submit brazilian (guys from brazil) BJJ black belts in training camps even 8 years ago.
he picked up boxing pretty late.

His roots are Wrestling and BJJ.
But for some reason the last years he tried to become a boxer.
As with many BJJ guys who got into boxing late it didnt turn out too fantastic imo

On October 02 2020 21:33 PuertoRican wrote: My only bets for this card: • Holly Holm -120 $120 for $100 • Julianna Pena +110 $100 for $110 • Parlay: Jourdain, Frey, McGee, Chiefs -3.5 (vs. Ravens) $11.41 for $163.55 ---------- First impression of the match-ups: • Holm > Aldana • Castro > Felipe • Pena > GDR • Todorovic > Townsend • Phillips > Else • McGee > Condit • Jourdain > Culibao • Imavov > Williams • Frey > Lookboonmee • Kenney > Alateng • Ayari > Vendramini

My only bets for this card:

• Holly Holm -120 $120 for $100
• Julianna Pena +110 $100 for $110
• Parlay: Jourdain, Frey, McGee, Chiefs -3.5 (vs. Ravens) $11.41 for $163.55

My final picks:

• Holm > Aldana
• Castro > Felipe
• Pena > GDR
• Todorovic > Townsend
• Phillips > Else
• Condit > McGee (I switched because I think this is a good MU for Condit, as long as McGee fights like he usually does and is willing to brawl.)
• Jourdain > Culibao
• Imavov > Williams
• Lookboonmee > Frey (I switched because Lookboonmee will win on points if Frey can't land big shots on her in R1 to slow her down. I still think it's a close fight.)
• Kenney > Alateng (If Kenney doesn't get a quick submission, he won't look like a -345 favorite.)
• Ayari > Vendramini


My main focus this week is the late slate on DraftKings (last 8 fights on tonight's card).

As mentioned above, I think this is a good MU for Carlos Condit, which will surprise a lot of people if McGee fights his usual style. McGee can focus more on grinding and attempting take downs, but if he doesn't, Condit will have a good shot at winning and scoring 80+ points.

Casey Kenney isn't on the late slate, so I don't need to worry about his fight. That being said, I think that if Kenney can't get a quick submission, he won't score a high number and will ruin your DraftKings team(s). Alateng is a wrestler, which is Kenney's best skill. They have different styles of wrestling, so it should be interesting to see what happens if there are scrambles. Kenney is the better grappler, but if he can't get it to the ground, it will be an ugly striking match where Kenney might win, but he won pay off his $9,000 price tag on DraftKings.

Nassourdine Imavov opened as the underdog and is now the favorite on the sports books. He is the underdog at $7,500 on DraftKings. I expect him to be very popular, and I will have him in most of my late slate teams.

Nice finishing sequence from Vendramini.

It was pretty horrible for me watching this.....

Jessin threw a right cross and Vendramini slipped it perfetly to the left and counterd with a right straight to the chin followed by the left hook you saw on tv that hurt Jessin.
The right cross was too slow for Vendramini and he slipped it perfetly and easily

My sad conclusion that happens over and over again.
BJJ guys wont become good Boxers....
No matter how hard they try

Sadface

On October 03 2020 22:33 PplusAD wrote: His roots are Wrestling and BJJ. But for some reason the last years he tried to become a boxer. As with many BJJ guys who got into boxing late it didnt turn out too fantastic imo

There goes my Alatang money.

Casey Kenney showed physical and striking improvement in this fight, but he was a bad pick on DK at $9000, as expected.

His final score = 84.5 points

Nice brawl between Imavov and Williams.

Nice showing for Culibao. I hope he's an underdog in his next bout.

... Or a favorite vs a Minner type of guy.

WTF??????????????

No fucking way that was a 28-28 or even a 29-28 got Culibao!

That draw ruined any DraftKing/FanDuel team with Jourdain and Culibao.

Nice win for Condit. I assumed he got R1 cuz of the KD at the end of the round, and R2 and R3 were close with both guys mostly hitting air.

Seemed like a high paced sparring match.

Haha Condit showed everybody.

Talk about a lucky submission by GDR.

She was about to lose the decision in another 1.5 minutes.

Weird outcome.

Remind me not to put money on Yorgan de Castro ever again. Guy doesn't fight for your money.

R1: Holly (clear)

Love the side kick to stop Aldana's rhythm.

Domination by Holly Holm.

Too bad Julianna Pena shat the bed near the end of the fight.

Here's the thing tho. Are we gonna see Holm get another title shot again?

Ugh..

Randamie vs Holm for the title shot?

It's the same names in the women divisions and Nunes will be crushing all of them. People liked Rousey cause she was entertaining and destroying people in <1min. Now that the fights are on a different skill level its quite different

On October 07 2020 12:39 Spitfiree wrote: Randamie vs Holm for the title shot? It's the same names in the women divisions and Nunes will be crushing all of them. People liked Rousey cause she was entertaining and destroying people in <1min. Now that the fights are on a different skill level its quite different

If GDR can keep it on the feet, she can beat Nunes.

GDR was beating Nunes on the feet in their first fight, but Nunes started to wrestle and we saw how terrible GDR's defensive wrestling was, even after years of MMA training.

As for Holm, she got out-smarted in her fight against Nunes. There was a fake/feint, and Nunes landed that head kick.

I think Holm will beat GDR if they have a rematch for the #1 contender spot. I bet on GDR in their first fight at 145 pounds for the belt, and I was super confident she'd win, but I ended up thinking Holm was robbed. That was the fight where GDR cheated twice in order to get ahead, especially a BIG punch that landed after the bell and rocked Holm -- Holm wobbled as she walked to her stool/chair in-between rounds.