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UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje

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PuertoRican   United States. May 04 2020 00:09. Posts 13044

Date: Saturday, May 9
Preliminary Card (ESPN): 23:30 LP.net / 3:30pm PST / 6:30pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN): 1:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Main Card (ESPN+): 3:00 LP.net / 7pm PST / 10pm EST
Live Streams: http://crackstreams.com/mma/2/




Main Card (ESPN+)

Tony Ferguson (25-3) vs. Justin Gaethje (21-2) (Lightweight Championship)
Henry Cejudo (15-2) vs. Dominick Cruz (22-2) (Bantamweight Championship)
Francis Ngannou (14-3) vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik (10-0) (Heavyweight)
Jeremy Stephens (28-17) vs. Calvin Kattar (20-4) (Featherweight)
Greg Hardy (5-2) vs. Yorgan de Castro (6-0) (Heavyweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN)

Donald Cerrone (36-14) vs. Anthony Pettis (22-10) (Welterweight)
Alexey Oleynik (58-13-1) vs. Fabricio Werdum (23-8-1) (Heavyweight)
Carla Esparza (15-6) vs. Michelle Waterson (17-7) (Women's Strawweight)
Uriah Hall (15-9) vs. Ronaldo Souza (26-8) (Middleweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN)

Vicente Luque (17-7-1) vs. Niko Price (14-3) (Welterweight)
Bryce Mitchell (12-0) vs. Charles Rosa (12-3) (Featherweight)
Ryan Spann (17-5) vs. Sam Alvey (33-13) (Light Heavyweight)

Other

- Justin Gaethje replaced Khabib Nurmagomedov on April 6.
- Dominick Cruz replaced Jose Aldo on April 9.

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Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 09/05/2020 23:23

PuertoRican   United States. May 04 2020 00:12. Posts 13044





----------

First impression of the match-ups:

• Gaethje > Ferguson
• Cruz > Cejudo
• Ngannou > Rozenstruik
• Kattar > Stephens
• Castro > Hardy
• Pettis > Cerrone
• Werdum > Oleynik
• Esparza > Waterson
• Hall > Souza
• Luque > Price
• Rosa > Mitchell
• Spann > Alvey

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. May 05 2020 23:40. Posts 13044



Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 06/05/2020 06:10

Spitfiree   Bulgaria. May 07 2020 00:37. Posts 9634

They ended up fucking up by offering Gaethje the fight, so now they cant go back on the contract. In the end, they kind of fucked themselves... Khabib could've resolved travelling issues until now

This is probably going to be one of the most sold PPVs ever I assume, considering the pandemic and shit

If Gaethje KOs Ferguson, he s probably gonna have to retire right?

 Last edit: 07/05/2020 00:42

PuertoRican   United States. May 08 2020 08:35. Posts 13044





  On May 06 2020 23:37 Spitfiree wrote:
They ended up fucking up by offering Gaethje the fight, so now they cant go back on the contract. In the end, they kind of fucked themselves... Khabib could've resolved travelling issues until now

This is probably going to be one of the most sold PPVs ever I assume, considering the pandemic and shit

If Gaethje KOs Ferguson, he s probably gonna have to retire right?


I don't think Ferguson will retire if he loses to Gaethje. He will just take the rest of 2020 off, and return in 2021.

I already bet $100 on Gaethje +165. I think his leg kicks + punches will be too much for Ferguson to handle, especially since Ferguson already takes a lot of damage as it is, and it's part of his game plan to tire his opponents out (in a way). Gaethje is the best leg kicker and hardest hitter at lightweight.

I think:

- Ferguson would do better against Khabib.
- Gaethje would do worse against Khabib.
- Gaethje will beat Ferguson.
- Khabib would beat both Ferguson and Gaethje.

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 09/05/2020 00:02

PuertoRican   United States. May 08 2020 20:41. Posts 13044






Tony Ferguson (155 lbs) vs. Justin Gaethje (155 lbs)
Henry Cejudo (135 lbs) vs. Dominick Cruz (135 lbs)
Francis Ngannou (261.5 lbs) vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik (260 lbs)
Calvin Kattar (146 lbs) vs. Jeremy Stephens (150.5 lbs)*
Yorgan De Castro (262 lbs) vs. Greg Hardy (265.5 lbs)
Donald Cerrone (171 lbs) vs. Anthony Pettis (170.5 lbs)
Aleksei Oleinik (227.5 lbs) vs. Fabricio Werdum (243 lbs)
Carla Esparza (115.5 lbs) vs. Michelle Waterson (115 lbs)
Uriah Hall (186 lbs) vs. Ronaldo Souza (186 lbs)
Vicente Luque (170 lbs) vs. Niko Price (170.5 lbs)
Bryce Mitchell (145.5 lbs) vs. Charles Rosa (146 lbs)
Sam Alvey (205 lbs) vs. Ryan Spann (206 lbs)


*Jeremy Stephens missed weight by 4.5 lbs

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 08/05/2020 21:48

PuertoRican   United States. May 09 2020 03:32. Posts 13044


Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 09/05/2020 19:40

Into Infinity   United States. May 09 2020 07:03. Posts 1884

still honestly had no idea what to think of gaethje. tomorrow will answer a lot of questions for me. think tony should win on paper but i can see gaethje winning in the first (and probably only the first)


PuertoRican   United States. May 09 2020 23:08. Posts 13044

My final picks:

• Gaethje > Ferguson
• Cruz > Cejudo
• Rozenstruik > Ngannou
• Kattar > Stephens
• Hardy > Castro
• Pettis > Cerrone
• Werdum > Oleynik
• Esparza > Waterson
• Luque > Price
• Mitchell > Rosa
• Spann > Alvey

----------

I'm interested in adding more to Cruz and Rozenstruik later on, so we'll see how it goes before then. Also, this is my return to 5dimes after years away -- I'll try to snipe some good live bets if I see anything good.

Gaethje ML +165 $100 for $165
Cruz ML +190 $100 for $190
Rozenstruik ML +240 $20 for $48
Rozenstruik decision +635 $10 for $63.50
Hardy/Castro O1.5 -147 $22.05 for $15
Hardy submission +2500 $5 for $125
Hardy submission +2350 $5 for $117.50
Waterson no scorecards -110 $33 for $30
Luque ITD -130 $19.50 for $15
Fights go distance U5.5 $14.50 for $10

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 09/05/2020 23:18

PuertoRican   United States. May 10 2020 00:34. Posts 13044

Damn it... I thought Spann was gonna win ITD... he ruined all of my DraftKings teams.

Rekrul is a newb 

Ryan Neilly   United States. May 10 2020 01:06. Posts 1631

who do u have most confiddence in for ml bets?


PuertoRican   United States. May 10 2020 01:32. Posts 13044

I barely cashed that Luque ITD bet...

  On May 10 2020 00:06 Ryan Neilly wrote:
who do u have most confiddence in for ml bets?


I would've said Luque and Spann, but both guys had very tough fights*.

Also: Cruz +190

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 10/05/2020 01:32

Ryan Neilly   United States. May 10 2020 02:28. Posts 1631

thanks sir ur on fire so far keep it up wow


Ryan Neilly   United States. May 10 2020 02:44. Posts 1631

Jairzinho Rozenstruik @ +210
Fight Winner

Francis Ngannou - Jairzinho Rozenstruik
10:00 pm EDT
Dominick Cruz @ +163
Fight Winner

Henry Cejudo - Dominick Cruz
11:00 pm EDT
Justin Gaethje @ +210
Fight Winner

Tony Ferguson - Justin Gaethje
May 9, 11:30 pm EDT

1 Bet(s) x $20.00 @ +2423

Bet Amount: $20.00
Returns: $504.52


Ryan Neilly   United States. May 10 2020 02:44. Posts 1631

Greg Hardy @ -188
Fight Winner

Greg Hardy - Yorgan De Castro
8:30 pm EDT
Anthony Pettis @ -133
Fight Winner

Donald Cerrone - Anthony Pettis
Calvin Kattar @ -250
Fight Winner

Jeremy Stephens - Calvin Kattar
9:30 pm EDT
Jairzinho Rozenstruik @ +210
Fight Winner

Francis Ngannou - Jairzinho Rozenstruik
10:00 pm EDT
1 Bet(s) x $20.00 @ +1065

Bet Amount: $20.00
Returns: $232.91


Ryan Neilly   United States. May 10 2020 02:45. Posts 1631

Parlay (4)
Calvin Kattar @ -250
Fight Winner

Jeremy Stephens - Calvin Kattar
9:30 pm EDT
Greg Hardy by Submission @ +1400
Method of Victory

Greg Hardy - Yorgan De Castro
10:00 pm EDT
Dominick Cruz @ +163
Fight Winner

Henry Cejudo - Dominick Cruz
11:00 pm EDT
Justin Gaethje @ +210
Fight Winner

Tony Ferguson - Justin Gaethje
May 9, 11:30 pm EDT

1 Bet(s) x $25.00 @ +16989

Bet Amount: $25.00
Returns: $4272.19


Ryan Neilly   United States. May 10 2020 02:45. Posts 1631

lets get lucky

i put like 300 on Cruz too.

don't worry i paid off li zhang haha


PuertoRican   United States. May 10 2020 03:08. Posts 13044

I had Cerrone winning Rounds 1 and 2.

29-28 across the board for Pettis seems wrong.

Rekrul is a newb 

Zadan   Canada. May 10 2020 04:01. Posts 971

anyone got a working stream???


PuertoRican   United States. May 10 2020 04:24. Posts 13044


  On May 10 2020 03:01 Zadan wrote:
anyone got a working stream???


http://strims.world/UFC.php

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 10/05/2020 04:27

PuertoRican   United States. May 10 2020 04:38. Posts 13044

Damn... Rozenstruik was doing okay until 1 punch landed for Ngannou... RIP

Rekrul is a newb 

Zadan   Canada. May 10 2020 04:39. Posts 971

I <3 you.


PuertoRican   United States. May 10 2020 05:12. Posts 13044

That was an early stoppage.

That sucks so much for Cruz. He was gonna be down 0-2, but still...

Rekrul is a newb 

balakubak   . May 10 2020 05:29. Posts 152


  On May 09 2020 22:08 PuertoRican wrote:
My final picks:

• Gaethje > Ferguson
• Cruz > Cejudo
• Rozenstruik > Ngannou
• Kattar > Stephens
• Hardy > Castro
• Pettis > Cerrone
• Werdum > Oleynik
• Esparza > Waterson
• Luque > Price
• Mitchell > Rosa
• Spann > Alvey

----------

I'm interested in adding more to Cruz and Rozenstruik later on, so we'll see how it goes before then. Also, this is my return to 5dimes after years away -- I'll try to snipe some good live bets if I see anything good.

Gaethje ML +165 $100 for $165
Cruz ML +190 $100 for $190
Rozenstruik ML +240 $20 for $48
Rozenstruik decision +635 $10 for $63.50
Hardy/Castro O1.5 -147 $22.05 for $15
Hardy submission +2500 $5 for $125
Hardy submission +2350 $5 for $117.50
Waterson no scorecards -110 $33 for $30
Luque ITD -130 $19.50 for $15
Fights go distance U5.5 $14.50 for $10



wtf man. i bet on gaethje. now i think we lose.


PuertoRican   United States. May 10 2020 06:05. Posts 13044


  On May 10 2020 04:29 balakubak wrote:
Show nested quote +



wtf man. i bet on gaethje. now i think we lose.

Trust the process.

Great performance by Justin Gaethje. He did what I thought he'd do, but I was surprised that he had to extend it so long and make Tony look so bad.

Rekrul is a newb 

balakubak   . May 10 2020 06:14. Posts 152

YEEEEEESSSSS!!!!! WOOOW!!!

i didnt expect gaethje to be so dominant. i knew he could win. but not like this.


Into Infinity   United States. May 10 2020 06:15. Posts 1884

curious why you picked rozenstruik? good odds?

sad to see tony lose like that. justin looked good.


PuertoRican   United States. May 10 2020 06:18. Posts 13044


  On May 10 2020 05:15 Into Infinity wrote:
curious why you picked rozenstruik? good odds?

sad to see tony lose like that. justin looked good.


Rozenstruik fought way better strikers in his previous striking career before switching to MMA. He also had great odds, plus it's heavyweight and Ngannou isn't a skilled striker, he only hits super hard.

The fight wasn't long, but Rozenstruik started to work the legs, which forced Ngannou to start swinging wild shots. Rozenstruik avoided 2-3 of them as he was backing up and dodges the shots, but he got hit with 1 clean shot and didn't have his hands up, and you know what happened. The trick in that spot is to cover up and defend, not back up in a straight line with your hands away from your face, even if you are a skilled striker like Rozenstruik.

Rekrul is a newb 

jubei12   Peru. May 10 2020 09:42. Posts 19


  On May 10 2020 05:18 PuertoRican wrote:
Show nested quote +


Rozenstruik fought way better strikers in his previous striking career before switching to MMA. He also had great odds, plus it's heavyweight and Ngannou isn't a skilled striker, he only hits super hard.

The fight wasn't long, but Rozenstruik started to work the legs, which forced Ngannou to start swinging wild shots. Rozenstruik avoided 2-3 of them as he was backing up and dodges the shots, but he got hit with 1 clean shot and didn't have his hands up, and you know what happened. The trick in that spot is to cover up and defend, not back up in a straight line with your hands away from your face, even if you are a skilled striker like Rozenstruik.


As i remember Francis owned Overeem and Rozenstruik was loosing against him until the last minute or so ...


Spitfiree   Bulgaria. May 10 2020 11:57. Posts 9634

Meh that early stoppage on Cruz made no sense... he either should've called it 3s before that or let him get up

It was hilarious how Rogan & Cormier only realized @ last fight of the night that fighters can hear them


Khabib vs Gathje will go the same way Khabib vs Poirier went

 Last edit: 10/05/2020 11:58

 



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