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Galfond €100/200 Battles

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LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Jan 23 2020 16:39. Posts 15143


let's go baby
https://www.runitonce.eu/galfond-challenge/


LARGE POTS FROM THE CHALLENGE:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/...eWTBPoF11pL8P19PMvxKj15aSw/edit#gid=0

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93% Sure! Last edit: 23/01/2020 21:08

LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Jan 23 2020 16:54. Posts 15143


93% Sure!  

LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Jan 23 2020 18:15. Posts 15143

Stream now
https://www.twitch.tv/RunItOncePoker
16:00 - 20:0 GMT
staples commenting

Showdowns show for super short time
and there's no replayer apparently

damn hard for me to understand what's happening

93% Sure!  

hiems   United States. Jan 24 2020 13:45. Posts 2403

I dont play plo either but I'm following this challenge with interest. I really don't know what Phil was thinking into getting into these bets, many of which he seems very -EV in. Phil has also recently stated in a podcast with ChicagoJoey that RunitOnce is currently losing money/not profitable yet.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/wkwWj2d.png[/img] 

LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Jan 25 2020 21:09. Posts 15143

9bi down after 2.5k hands

93% Sure!  

traxamillion   United States. Feb 02 2020 19:31. Posts 10468

Is venivici a new plo god?

He should be able to make back some money from perkins after this one.


hiems   United States. Feb 03 2020 04:22. Posts 2403

He can win max 400k+250 from Perkins

Also his exposure vs jungle and actionfreak is very significant.

https://www.highstakesdb.com/profiles/pokerstars/ActionFreak.aspx
(Actionfreak hsdb)

Also think 1mm : 250k is a lot to lay in terms of sidebet vs Kornuth.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/wkwWj2d.png[/img]Last edit: 03/02/2020 04:23

LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 06 2020 00:01. Posts 15143

He should roll over kornuth after getting this much practice vs a top reg
It's 50k hands too, easy win

Main Q is if he can bring down his loss rate vs actionfreak to a few bb/100
would be a big achievement

93% Sure!  

LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 06 2020 12:51. Posts 15143

It'd be shocking if he managed to beat ActionFreak
he's been one of the top regs apparently
and he;s battling llinus effectively simulating the challenge

Vs a stronger opponent than phil

93% Sure!  

traxamillion   United States. Feb 07 2020 00:35. Posts 10468

Wonder why he accepted action from actionfreak. Seems like a bad idea. Gelfond is smart and has surely been studying and getting coaching from Sauce etc. To brush up.

How good is linus at PLO?


LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 07 2020 13:33. Posts 15143

it's marketing
and he knew he'd get 0-1 coaches to play him so he opened the challenge up

I don't understand the game much
But Phil seems to be improving a lot in the Vani match
you see less of that weird blockbet fold stuff for one etc.

93% Sure!  

Stroggoz   New Zealand. Feb 09 2020 05:33. Posts 4945

down 750k after 9k hands.

supposed to have greenstar not bracelet 

hiems   United States. Feb 10 2020 17:00. Posts 2403

-900k now wtf

[img]https://i.imgur.com/wkwWj2d.png[/img] 

LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 12 2020 11:18. Posts 15143

taking a break

93% Sure!  

LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 13 2020 12:59. Posts 15143

I don't understand btw, he kept saying he felt he has an edge, expected to be winning
Even 500k down he tweeted that he's got a better strategy based on hands

45 BIS down he kept saying this went against his positive expectation before the challenge so it was even worse than 45 BI...


But...how? He hasn't played a long highstakes battle in well over 10 years, ever since he got to nosebleeds he wasn't battling regs self admittedly

And he's vs an up and comer top10-20 guy who was studying and grinding nonstop past few years


He was always supposed to be a slight dog at least
This brutal bad run aside

93% Sure! Last edit: 13/02/2020 13:00

Jelle   Belgium. Feb 16 2020 17:00. Posts 3475

the kind of people who make it to nosebleeds almost have to have an irrational belief in themselves I think

GroT 

lostaccount   Canada. Feb 16 2020 19:06. Posts 3649

Galfond too optimistic, just like his site.

love life love others 

Stroggoz   New Zealand. Feb 17 2020 01:47. Posts 4945

He is delusional, look at how many people lined up to play him.

Meanwhile in no limit, no one really wants to play each other anymore

supposed to have greenstar not bracelet 

Jelle   Belgium. Mar 26 2020 08:16. Posts 3475

huge rally by galfond since this thread died

damn this is actually a great match but its getting no attention cause coronavirus

GroT 

ToT)MidiaN(    United Kingdom. Mar 26 2020 20:53. Posts 5066


  On March 26 2020 07:16 Jelle wrote:
huge rally by galfond since this thread died

damn this is actually a great match but its getting no attention cause coronavirus



Over 4k viewers at the moment. Pre break it was usually around 3k

One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hope 

Jelle   Belgium. Mar 27 2020 01:34. Posts 3475

Ah cool! Had no idea

GroT 

CamilaPunt   Brasil. Mar 27 2020 17:29. Posts 2383

galfond such a sicko the whole community shitting on him when he was super down decided to take a break paying a few k a day in fines and now getting close to even


hiems   United States. Mar 28 2020 17:07. Posts 2403

Nvm lol

[img]https://i.imgur.com/wkwWj2d.png[/img]Last edit: 28/03/2020 19:35

Stroggoz   New Zealand. Mar 28 2020 19:50. Posts 4945

I know a lot of people rooting for him and think he is a sicko for turning it around, but Galfond is getting slaughtered so far, -7bb/100 is not a good winrate for reg vs reg at nosebleeds, in 2020. Of course, it may be that galfond is just running bad and is the better player, or it could be he is only a marginal loser at -2bb/100~.

supposed to have greenstar not bracelet 

dnagardi   Hungary. Mar 29 2020 16:17. Posts 1747


  On February 17 2020 00:47 Stroggoz wrote:
He is delusional, look at how many people lined up to play him.

Meanwhile in no limit, no one really wants to play each other anymore



I'm curious, why no one wants to play each other in NLHE?


Stroggoz   New Zealand. Mar 29 2020 18:11. Posts 4945

There's some battling in nlhe for HU, but the game is close to solved so edges tend to be small. maybe ask drone666 since he is the HU specialist on LP, he plays up to 10/20 hu so he would know better.

3 and 4max in nlhe hardly happen either. The average winrate for a reg in 3max at highstakes is -1.5bb/100~, and its usually only the very best regs that are battling 3 handed.

supposed to have greenstar not bracelet 

drone666   Brasil. Mar 31 2020 13:06. Posts 1801

lots of action NLHU lately, it's mostly battles going on stars, if you check highstakes thread on 2+2, majority of hands are NLHU
and I dont think the current NLHU top regs are that good or close to GTO, so I dont think the game is solved, Linus kicks eveyrone's ass when he plays HU now I think

Dont listen to anything I sayLast edit: 31/03/2020 13:07

Baalim   Mexico. Apr 02 2020 23:57. Posts 33965

Linus not HU top reg? wtf

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

Baalim   Mexico. Apr 02 2020 23:59. Posts 33965

predictions in this bout age as well as Coronavirus predictions lol, Galfond is now the betting favorite!

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

Stroggoz   New Zealand. Apr 03 2020 19:14. Posts 4945

not gona lie i come off as a total moron now.

supposed to have greenstar not bracelet 

drone666   Brasil. Apr 05 2020 08:58. Posts 1801


  On April 02 2020 22:57 Baalim wrote:
Linus not HU top reg? wtf


that's the opposite of what I said
he wasn't, now he is

Dont listen to anything I say 

Baalim   Mexico. Apr 06 2020 23:42. Posts 33965

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

Stroggoz   New Zealand. Apr 07 2020 05:32. Posts 4945

this variance is so unbeleivably the exact kind of variance you'd want for a movie script where the hero has an epic comeback at the end.

supposed to have greenstar not bracelet 

Oly   United Kingdom. Apr 07 2020 11:26. Posts 3585

There’s ~20k in rake missing from those numbers. This could end up mattering a lot if the deal says that Veni must be ‘up’ but I’m sure they thought of that...

Researchers used brain scans to show that when straight men looked at pictures of women in bikinis, areas of the brain that normally light up in anticipation of using tools, like spanners and screwdrivers, were activated. 

ToT)MidiaN(    United Kingdom. Apr 07 2020 14:27. Posts 5066


  On April 07 2020 10:26 Oly wrote:
There’s ~20k in rake missing from those numbers. This could end up mattering a lot if the deal says that Veni must be ‘up’ but I’m sure they thought of that...



If rake was missing surely the number that Galfond is up and Veni is down would be different?

One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hope 

Oly   United Kingdom. Apr 07 2020 16:09. Posts 3585

Yes, missing in that it is not represented because the numbers should be different.

Researchers used brain scans to show that when straight men looked at pictures of women in bikinis, areas of the brain that normally light up in anticipation of using tools, like spanners and screwdrivers, were activated.Last edit: 07/04/2020 16:11

drone666   Brasil. Apr 08 2020 05:38. Posts 1801

very cool Galfond interview at Joeingram podcast

I agree with most of what he says about solvers, even though his point is stronger for PLO
but people play very far from solvers still ( even nlhu ) and it's not very efficient to try to emulate a solver as a base strategy

Dont listen to anything I say 

Stroggoz   New Zealand. Apr 08 2020 19:36. Posts 4945

in 6max People play a lot more like solvers, and far better, than they did 3 years ago. But yeah there are still a lot of mistakes people make, and in general the less common a spot is the more deviation from solver strategy in the population.

a lot of nodelocking is just clicking buttons as well. For example if someone overfolds rivers a lot, you can only nodelock for one specific turn + river card. That's 44x43 different rivers you need to nodelock for if you want to see the real affect it would have on flop+turn strategies. You can't accurately study most spots with nodelocking.

I also have a bunch of z500 hands from 2015 and it's remarkable the difference between how people played back then and how they do now, i could post the differences if people want

supposed to have greenstar not braceletLast edit: 08/04/2020 20:20

cariadon   Estonia. Apr 09 2020 22:38. Posts 4015

yes please


LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Apr 12 2020 14:56. Posts 15143

Don't tell me people play like solvers BBvBU and BvB properly
literally 0 regs play near even the limited solver sizings and frequencies at NL200 in those two

I keep playing vs solver in twose two spots and I'm miles off and so is everyone else I play

93% Sure! Last edit: 12/04/2020 14:57

PoorUser    United States. Apr 12 2020 18:33. Posts 7451

even w/ ~300 hands left. pretty sick

Gambler Emeritus 

lostaccount   Canada. Apr 12 2020 19:49. Posts 3649

GOOD GAME GG GG GG GG

love life love others 

lostaccount   Canada. Apr 12 2020 20:12. Posts 3649

so awesome 160 hands left

love life love others 

PoorUser    United States. Apr 12 2020 21:40. Posts 7451

what a legend

Gambler Emeritus 

Oly   United Kingdom. Apr 12 2020 21:47. Posts 3585

That finish, that was up there with the Isildur games. Awesome

Researchers used brain scans to show that when straight men looked at pictures of women in bikinis, areas of the brain that normally light up in anticipation of using tools, like spanners and screwdrivers, were activated.Last edit: 12/04/2020 21:52

Oly   United Kingdom. Apr 12 2020 22:12. Posts 3585

Also I’ve been looking at the next challenge v Bill Perkins and I think Phil has done a fantastic piece of business since 4-1 is illusory because Bill Perkins wouldn’t have played him like this otherwise.

Because it is first to 20bi it is effectively 1400k v 650k so nearly 2-1. That’s pretty good odds to trap a fish at.

Researchers used brain scans to show that when straight men looked at pictures of women in bikinis, areas of the brain that normally light up in anticipation of using tools, like spanners and screwdrivers, were activated. 

lostaccount   Canada. Apr 12 2020 22:16. Posts 3649


  On April 12 2020 18:49 lostaccount wrote:
GOOD GAME GG GG GG GG



GG INFINITY

love life love others 

Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Apr 13 2020 00:50. Posts 9621

Giga sick


ToT)MidiaN(    United Kingdom. Apr 14 2020 21:46. Posts 5066

Challenge vs Perkins started today

One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hope 

YoMeR   United States. Apr 22 2020 05:54. Posts 12432

damn what a hero lol

eZ Life. 

ToT)MidiaN(    United Kingdom. Apr 29 2020 03:22. Posts 5066

2 sessions complete vs ActionFreak. Didn't watch too many hands but I saw at one point in the 2nd session Phil was up 200k and by the end ActionFreak had won all of that back. Pretty close to even after 1k hands

One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hope 

PoorUser    United States. Apr 29 2020 08:28. Posts 7451

Yeah. They are playing 150/3 and I think not breaking stacks so should be some big swings.

Gambler Emeritus 

CamilaPunt   Brasil. Apr 29 2020 15:23. Posts 2383


  On April 29 2020 02:22 ToT)MidiaN( wrote:
2 sessions complete vs ActionFreak. Didn't watch too many hands but I saw at one point in the 2nd session Phil was up 200k and by the end ActionFreak had won all of that back. Pretty close to even after 1k hands




i saw the highlights of that phil ran like god than returned to earth pretty much... not looking great for phil from that sess..but he adapts a lot so shall be fun

 Last edit: 29/04/2020 15:24

ToT)MidiaN(    United Kingdom. Apr 30 2020 22:39. Posts 5066

+310k session today though!

One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hope 

Spitfiree   Bulgaria. Aug 15 2020 15:51. Posts 9621

How is nobody talking about Polk vs Negreanu.

Finally Negreanu decided to pay for his sins by donating a good pile of cash willingly to Polk


Jelle   Belgium. Aug 27 2020 09:30. Posts 3475

I wonder how much worse Doug is at poker after not playing for so long

GroT 

drone666   Brasil. Aug 27 2020 12:46. Posts 1801

very bad, I thought he was going to be decent, but seems like games changed more than I thought lol
he got raped by random recs from twitter at nl400

Dont listen to anything I say 

whammbot   Belarus. Sep 03 2020 13:04. Posts 487

this game definitely needs some insane devotion to keep up with current meta. feels so much like broodwar haha


Tedy321   . Nov 06 2020 21:47. Posts 1


  On January 24 2020 12:45 hiems wrote:
I dont play plo either but I'm following this challenge with interest. I really don't know what Phil was thinking into getting into these bets, many of which he seems very -EV in. Phil has also recently stated in a podcast with ChicagoJoey that RunitOnce is currently losing money/not profitable yet.



I'm thinking about joining the game
Could you give me a couple of tips?
I'm still a noob...
Now I play online casino Malaysia I really like gambling there are many types of poker there are also bets damn it's very cool I make 100 and 200 bucks here all the time, almost.... but I always have a profit My friends say I have a talent for casinos. last time we was walking and spending my money. I love poker very much and I want to develop , I know there are a lot of experienced players here. Could you give me some advice?

 Last edit: 10/11/2020 18:52

 


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