UFC FN 152: RDA vs. Lee

Date: Saturday, May 18
Preliminary Card (ESPN+): 22:00 LP.net / 2pm PST / 5pm EST
Main Card (ESPN+): 1:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Live Streams: http://www.fìrstrow.eu/




Main Card (ESPN+)

Rafael dos Anjos (28-11) vs. Kevin Lee (17-4) (Welterweight)
Antonio Carlos Junior (10-2) vs. Ian Heinisch (12-1) (Middleweight)
Megan Anderson (9-3) vs. Felicia Spencer (6-0) (Women's Featherweight)
Derrick Krantz (23-10) vs. Vicente Luque (15-6-1) (Welterweight)
Charles Oliveira (26-8) vs. Nik Lentz (30-9-2) (Lightweight)
Davi Ramos (9-2) vs. Austin Hubbard (10-2) (Lightweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN+)

Aspen Ladd (7-0) vs. Sijara Eubanks (4-2) (Women's Bantamweight)
Desmond Green (22-8) vs. Charles Jourdain (9-1) (Lightweight)
Danny Roberts (16-4) vs. Michel Pereira (21-9) (Welterweight)
Michael Trizano (8-0) vs. Grant Dawson (13-1) (Featherweight)
Patrick Cummins (10-6) vs. Ed Herman (23-14) (Light Heavyweight)
Zak Cummings (22-6) vs. Trevin Giles (11-0) (Middleweight)
Julio Arce (15-3) vs. Julian Erosa (22-7) (Featherweight)

Other

- Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos was briefly linked to a welterweight matchup with Neil Magny at the event. However on March 28, dos Santos announced that he had not been contacted by the UFC about the match. Magny was instead scheduled to face Vicente Luque. In turn, Magny pulled out of the bout on May 13 due to testing positive for Di-Hydroxy-LGD-4033. He was replaced by promotional newcomer Derrick Krantz on May 15.

First impression of the match-ups:

• RDA >>>>>>>>>>>>> Lee
• Junior > Heinisch
• Anderson vs. Spencer (dunno)
• Luque > Krantz
• Oliveira > Lentz
• Ramos > Hubbard
• Ladd > Eubanks
• Green > Jourdain
• Roberts > Pereira
• Dawson > Trizano
• Cummins > Herman
• Giles > Cummings
• Arce > Erosa

The only reason I personally see the odds on RDA v Lee being even is that the bookies know something we don't.
That's usually the case but I find it hard to see how Lee is gonna win.

RDA had trouble with wrestlers (Usman and Colby) but they were way bigger in size and possibly way more skilled than Lee.
RDA and Lee are pretty much the same weight, as they both have trouble making 155. So I don't see any advantages here for Lee.

Keving Lee is gonna try to pressure RDA but I don't think he's physically strong enough to keep him down or against the cage like he did against Barbosa. Eventually I see Lee getting discouraged and he won't be able to keep up with the pace of RDA as the match goes on, thus RDA will swarm him in the later rounds way worse than Iaquinta did. I also believe RDA is a way more skilled striker and fighter overall.

Now, there is always the chance that Lee is actually stronger at 170, but how much stronger can he really be? Stronger than the top 5 welterweights that cut even more weight to get to 170? I don't think so.
So I think the odds may be wrong here, and if I can get RDA at plus money I may make a bet.

What do you guys think? Any reasons why Lee would win this?

On May 18 2019 12:35 PacnyTuH0 wrote: The only reason I personally see the odds on RDA v Lee being even is that the bookies know something we don't. That's usually the case but I find it hard to see how Lee is gonna win.

Or bookies just made a terrible mistake :D

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Final picks:

• RDA >>>>>>>>>>>>> Lee
• Junior > Heinisch
• Anderson > Spencer
• Luque > Krantz
• Oliveira > Lentz
• Ramos > Hubbard
• Ladd > Eubanks
• Green > Jourdain
• Roberts > Pereira
• Dawson > Trizano
• Cummins > Herman
• Giles > Cummings
• Arce > Erosa

Nice KO by Pereira.

30-27 for Green? I know the guy is a local and a super favorite but this can't be. R2 Jourdain, and even R3. Green got 3 takedown in R3 and did 0 damage. The takedown were from scrambles and Jourdain almost escaping. Am I crazy here?

On May 18 2019 23:34 Montrachet wrote: 30-27 for Green? I know the guy is a local and a super favorite but this can't be. R2 Jourdain, and even R3. Green got 3 takedown in R3 and did 0 damage. The takedown were from scrambles and Jourdain almost escaping. Am I crazy here?

Jourdain was never going to come close to winning unless he got the finish.

Rochester, NY won't let their only UFC fighter lose a decision.

This fight being in a neutral territory, how would you have scored the fight?
I had:
R1 Green: More powerfull shots and a meaningfull takedown
R2: Jourdain: Volume, pressure, leg kick
R3: Jourdain, Even more pressure, more leg kicks, got up quick after takedown while taking no real damage.

On May 19 2019 01:07 Montrachet wrote: This fight being in a neutral territory, how would you have scored the fight? I had: R1 Green: More powerfull shots and a meaningfull takedown R2: Jourdain: Volume, pressure, leg kick R3: Jourdain, Even more pressure, more leg kicks, got up quick after takedown while taking no real damage.

I thought a split-decision. I would need to rewatch to actually pick a winner. All I could see while eating was Green running backward the entire time, and Jourdain literally running after him at certain points.

Megan Anderson is worse than I thought... WOW!

I mean, I have no idea why Kevin Lee accepted the fight against RDA. The fight went exactly like I thought it would.

At least RDA is back to his winning ways.

RDA is maybe my favorite fighter ever. He seems to be a tremendous hardworker.