TUF 24 Finale: Johnson vs. Elliott - Page 2

Nuke

Bets - Waiting for fight day to make Straight Single Bets (Walkout demeanor, last minute info, etc): 2015 - +150 UNIT / 15 % ROI SOBERSTONE IS BACK, I CAN FEEL IT! (Forget undisciplined 2016 spewtard Soberstone that's down big time)

+ Show Spoiler +

Shit thats a lot of bets, And my bet is just Benavidez + Masvidal xD

On December 03 2016 04:04 soberstone wrote: Bets - Waiting for fight day to make Straight Single Bets (Walkout demeanor, last minute info, etc): 2015 - +150 UNIT / 15 % ROI SOBERSTONE IS BACK, I CAN FEEL IT! (Forget undisciplined 2016 spewtard Soberstone that's down big time) + Show Spoiler + STRAIGHT BETS 12/3/16 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1701 Elvis Mutapcic +115* vs Anthony Smith Looking to bet Stansberry or Clarke if either gets +115, Maynard decision at +300, Davis SU if she hits +160, Cejudo +205 or Joe B if the line crashes to near even PROPS BETS: 12/3/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1015 Elliot wins in round 1 +2700* vs Any other result 12/3/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1011 Johnson wins by 5 round decision +151* vs Not Johnson by 5 round decision 12/3/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1215 Ellenberger wins in round 1 +775* vs Any other result 12/3/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1329 Cannonier wins by TKO/KO +465* vs Any other result 12/3/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2004 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -205* vs Clark / Stansbury goes 3 round distance 12/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1905 Kim wins inside distance +195* vs Not Kim inside distance 12/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1927 Kim wins by submission +654* vs Any other result 2/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1905 Kim wins inside distance +195* vs Not Kim inside distance 12/3/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2004 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -205* vs Clark / Stansbury goes 3 round distance 12/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1905 Kim wins inside distance +195* vs Not Kim inside distance 12/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1927 Kim wins by submission +654* vs Any other result 12/3/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1407 Davis wins by 3 round decision +324* vs Not Davis by 3 round decision PARLAYS: 412318152-1 12/3/16 4:02am $5.00 $1,676.50 Pending 12 Team Parlay 12/3/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Jorge Masvidal -230* vs Jake Ellenberger 12/3/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1008 Not Elliot by 5 round decision -3155* vs Elliot wins by 5 round decision 12/3/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1141 Cejudo points handicap +3½ -145* vs Benavidez points handicap 12/3/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1339 Cannonier (scorecards = no action) +218* vs Cutelaba (scorecards = no action) 12/3/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1441 Davis points handicap +3½ -205* vs McMann points handicap 12/3/16 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1542 Moreno points handicap -3½ +100* vs Benoit points handicap 12/3/16 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1606 Not Maynard inside distance -353* vs Maynard wins inside distance 12/3/16 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1710 Not Smith inside distance -270* vs Smith wins inside distance 12/3/16 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1810 Not Curran inside distance -485* vs Curran wins inside distance 12/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1905 Kim wins inside distance +195* vs Not Kim inside distance 12/3/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2004 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -205* vs Clark / Stansbury goes 3 round distance 12/3/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2142 Font points handicap -3½ -190* vs Schnell points handicap 12/3/16 3:13am $15.00 $28.37 Pending 3 Team Parlay 12/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1910 Not O'Reilly inside distance -366* vs O'Reilly wins inside distance 12/3/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2004 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -205* vs Clark / Stansbury goes 3 round distance 12/3/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2142 Font points handicap -3½ -190* vs Schnell points handicap 412316752-1 12/3/16 3:11am $10.00 $38.31 Pending 10 Team Parlay 12/3/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1008 Not Elliot by 5 round decision -3155* vs Elliot wins by 5 round decision 12/3/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1208 Not Ellenberger by 3 round decision -735* vs Ellenberger wins by 3 round decision 12/3/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1308 Not Cannonier by 3 round decision -860* vs Cannonier wins by 3 round decision 12/3/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1432 Any other result -1770* vs McMann wins by submission 12/3/16 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1508 Not Benoit by 3 round decision -310* vs Benoit wins by 3 round decision 12/3/16 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1616 Any other result -900* vs Maynard wins in round 1 12/3/16 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1810 Not Curran inside distance -485* vs Curran wins inside distance 12/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1912 Not O'Reilly by 3 round decision -420* vs O'Reilly wins by 3 round decision 12/3/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2020 Any other result -2300* vs Clark wins in round 3 12/3/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2142 Font points handicap -3½ -190* vs Schnell points handicap 412316579-1 12/3/16 3:04am $5.00 $44,885.39 Pending 11 Team Parlay 12/3/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1011 Johnson wins by 5 round decision +151* vs Not Johnson by 5 round decision 12/3/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1107 Cejudo wins by 3 round decision +225* vs Not Cejudo by 3 round decision 12/3/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1211 Masvidal wins by 3 round decision +172* vs Not Masvidal by 3 round decision 12/3/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1310 Not Cutelaba inside distance -111* vs Cutelaba wins inside distance 12/3/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1407 Davis wins by 3 round decision +324* vs Not Davis by 3 round decision 12/3/16 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1542 Moreno points handicap -3½ +100* vs Benoit points handicap 12/3/16 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1640 Hall (scorecards = no action) -210* vs Maynard (scorecards = no action) 12/3/16 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1839 Moyle (scorecards = no action) -140* vs Curran (scorecards = no action) 12/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1905 Kim wins inside distance +195* vs Not Kim inside distance 12/3/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2004 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -205* vs Clark / Stansbury goes 3 round distance 12/3/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2109 Font wins inside distance +126* vs Not Font inside distance 12/3/16 2:43am $10.00 $500.56 Pending 8 Team Parlay 12/3/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Jorge Masvidal -230* vs Jake Ellenberger 12/3/16 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Brandon Moreno -145* vs Ryan Benoit 12/3/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1026 Any other result -420* vs Johnson wins in round 1 12/3/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1110 Not Benavidez inside distance -270* vs Benavidez wins inside distance 12/3/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1310 Not Cutelaba inside distance -111* vs Cutelaba wins inside distance 12/3/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1403 Davis / McMann goes 3 round distance -205* vs Fight won’t go 3 round distance 2/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1905 Kim wins inside distance +195* vs Not Kim inside distance 12/3/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2004 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -205* vs Clark / Stansbury goes 3 round distance 12/3/16 2:33am $15.00 $29.25 Pending 12/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1905 Kim wins inside distance +195* vs Not Kim inside distance 12/3/16 2:32am $10.00 $65.40 Pending 12/3/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1927 Kim wins by submission +654* vs Any other result 12/2/16 11:11pm $25.00 $162.34 Pending 5 Team Parlay 12/3/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1101 Henry Cejudo/Joseph Benavidez Over 2½ -235* 12/3/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Jorge Masvidal -235* vs Jake Ellenberger 12/3/16 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1401 Alexis Davis/Sara McMann Over 2½ -240* 12/3/16 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Brandon Moreno -145* vs Ryan Benoit 12/3/16 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1640 Hall (scorecards = no action) -185* vs Maynard (scorecards = no action) 12/2/16 11:08pm $10.00 $265.61 Pending 6 Team Parlay 12/3/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Tim Elliott/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ +115* 12/3/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1101 Henry Cejudo/Joseph Benavidez Over 2½ -235* 12/3/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Jorge Masvidal -235* vs Jake Ellenberger 12/3/16 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1401 Alexis Davis +140* vs Sara McMann 12/3/16 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Brandon Moreno -145* vs Ryan Benoit 12/3/16 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1601 Gray Maynard/Ryan Hall Over 1½ -180* 12/2/16 11:03pm $35.00 $94.87 Pending 3 Team Parlay 12/3/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Jorge Masvidal -235* vs Jake Ellenberger 12/3/16 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Brandon Moreno -145* vs Ryan Benoit 12/3/16 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1640 Hall (scorecards = no action) -185* vs Maynard (scorecards = no action)

After seeing your bets, I have to assume that you don't like money.

Good to see you keep these threads/discussions going. When'd you turn into such a snarky bitch though? Was it before or after you finally won on some two dollar draftkings lineups? Just saying. I don't like a lot of those bets either but well, if you want to talk in definitives or near absolutes in regards to fight betting, back it up with some real bets. Not by throwing a couple big macs worth of bets on what basically amounts to modified parlays

I like and am going to be on Moreno, Hall, Kim, and strangely like Ellenberger in this spot. And not necessarily just by his usual first round or fail method. I also may or may not like money though

He's always been snarky but hey, if you enjoy doing all the work and being disliked I'll take it.

Hopefully your wrong but you've been on point lately, no need to even look at the picks if they make you nauseous.

Care to criticize with some substance or just be a total dick.

I've always been nothing but classy to Rican but he's just got one of those personalities, and I hope for your sake its just keyboard, that gets you nowhere quick in life. And I know that sounds harsh but I don't know how to put it in a more concise and accurate way.

I guess what I'm asking is, did I do something to offend you or is this how you normally interact with acquaintances?

And also what bets do you really dislike so we can poke fun when someone looks stupid

On December 03 2016 21:40 iakim322 wrote: I like and am going to be on Moreno, Hall, Kim, and strangely like Ellenberger in this spot. And not necessarily just by his usual first round or fail method. I also may or may not like money though

You think dllenberger does it via Classic rd 1 blowout style or do you think he's actually made an insane resurgence leaving Edmond - or just a gut/matchup thing

On December 03 2016 23:52 soberstone wrote: Show nested quote + On December 03 2016 21:40 iakim322 wrote: I like and am going to be on Moreno, Hall, Kim, and strangely like Ellenberger in this spot. And not necessarily just by his usual first round or fail method. I also may or may not like money though You think dllenberger does it via Classic rd 1 blowout style or do you think he's actually made an insane resurgence leaving Edmond - or just a gut/matchup thing

Oh nm you answered. I dunno man he's not rly on Jorge's level anywhere over a prolonged time I don't think. Maybe he fights in spurts, has big moments, and gets a td or two - plausible since Jorge isn't a pressure fighter. I couldn't put Jorge in all those parlays without the rd 1 hedge cuz you know Jorge will get get lazy and make 1 mistake at some point - always does, but he's tough as shit

Also what particularly do you not like? I bet it's the cejudo bet. Either I'm an idiot or I see something everyone else is missing cuz ppl I trust are on Joe hard but I think it's a really hard matchup for him.

My DK teams:

1. Benavidez, Font, Hall, Kim, Moyle, Stansbury ($9)
2.
3. Cutelaba, Font, Hall, Moreno, Moyle, Smith ($3)
4.
5. Benavidez, Benoit, Davis, Font, Masvidal, Stansbury ($3 3-max)
6. Cannonier, Hall, Johnson, Kim, Smith, Stansbury ($3 3-max)
7. Benavidez, Cutelaba, Hall, Kim, Moyle, Smith ($3 3-max)
8.
9. Cutelaba, Font, Kim, Moreno, Moyle, Stansbury ($2)
10. Cannonier, Davis, Hall, Johnson, Moreno, Schnell ($2)
11.
12. Cutelaba, Font, Hall, Moreno, Moyle, Stansbury ($1 Satellite)

My final picks:

First impression of the match-ups:

• Johnson > Elliott
• Benavidez > Cejudo
• Masvidal > Ellenberger
• Cutelaba > Cannonier
• Davis > McMann
• Hall > Maynard
• Font > Schnell
• Moyle > Curran
• Stansbury > Clark
• Smith > Mutapcic
• Kim > O'Reilly
• Moreno > Benoit

This is Clarke (green and athletic) vs stansburry (slow, technical, tough)

Awful performance y stansberrry not much growth by Clarke

I thought stansberrry would finish him late if Clarke didn't land something big early, and he honestly should have - clarkes defense and chin are trash

Terrible performance from Stansbury. He seemed tired at the end of Round 1, and never got his second wind.

He could've easily won if he had energy to push the pace throughout the fight, but he essentially lost due to inactivity.

At least we get to fade Devin Clark for his next fight.

Nice performance from Smith in R2. He scared me in R1 when he didn't try to get off his back.

Weird fight. I guess you could say at least cuz mutaptic never been finished, known For cardio, and smith not a ko artist

I guess mostly gut feel like the permanently lazy late fight coaster in Masvidal has a good chance of letting someone like a possibly more patient, improved Jake steal Rd 3. Even if hes not actually all that effective in doing so and Masvidal may (probably) completely outclass Jake in Rd 2, late Rd 1. Enough for me not to like the superior fighter at -275 and go the other way instead. We'll see though. Obviously not a usual winning strategy to admit one is a superior fighter then go the other way. And I do remember that Jake was inexplicably passive in Rd 3 vs Rory even though he hadn't really won more than a minute or two of that fight

Also don't have faith in Masvidal's finishing instincts to put it away during Jake's inevitable valleys of activity to null the above thinking