UFC on FOX 17: dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2

This was an exciting card for the most part, way better than all 3 of the cards last week, even though the hype (or lack thereof) was different.

Sucks for Cerrone, but he was never meant for the title in modern day MMA. He's way too easy to hit in round 1, and he still is weak to the body, especially after his motorcycle accident years back.

I'm super excited for Overeem. I didn't give him much of a chance, aside from a decision, which it looked like he was going to win with his movement.

I honneslty am still shocked RDA was -170.

To me, he clearly should have been an huge Fav. I think people don't understand how good RDA is. I'm kinda hoping conor dodges him cuz if one man can stop Conor, thats RDA.

On December 19 2015 19:52 PuertoRican wrote: My bets pre-live betting: + Show Spoiler + I have way too many bets on this card pre-fight, which is rare for me. I got carried away for some reason. Anyway, I plan to live bet a lot as usual, especially in the 3 spots I mention below: - While I think Karolina will win, I bet too much on her by accident; I bet her +170 line and forgot I already bet her +160 line. - I bet Hassan's line without knowing anything about his opponent, and now Hassan is the underdog. - I made a 2nd bet on Nik Lentz when I thought Castillo legit missed weight, but it was just a scale issue, and he made weight when they weighed him again. Rafael dos Anjos -200 $60 for $30 Donald Cerrone +190 $20 for $38 Cerrone/RDA u4.5 +125 $20 for $25 Overeem/JDS o1.5 +130 $10 for $13 Alistair Overeem submission +1500 $3 for $45 Nate Diaz +380 $5 for $19 Nate Diaz +414 $5 for $20.70 Nate Diaz submission +750 $3 for $22.50 Karolina Kowalkiewicz +170 $15 for $25.50 Karolina Kowalkiewicz +160 $10 for $16 Charles Oliveira +105 $15 for $15.75 Charles Oliveira +125 $10 for $12.50 Nate Marquardt submission +1025 $2 for $20.50 Valentina Shevchenko +180 $20 for $36 Valentina Shevchenko submission +1325 $5 for $66.25 Shevchenko/Kaufman u2.5 +180 $5 for $9 Tamdan McCrory +145 $50 for $72.50 McCrory/Samman u1.5 +110 $10 for $11 Nik Lentz -125 $12.50 for $10 Nik Lentz -110 $11 for $10 Cole Miller +100 $10 for $10 Cole Miller submission +350 $5 for $17.50 Kamaru Usman submission +498 $5 for $24.90 Hayder Hassan -115 $5.75 for $5 Luque/Hassan ITD -125 $18.75 for $15 Francis Ngannou -115 $17.25 for $15

My betting results:

+ Show Spoiler +

This was my best night of betting in a long time, and what's great about it, I felt SUPER confident going into it. The only thing that makes me a little sad is that I was #1 on DraftKings after Overeem won, and I was 43 points ahead of the guys who were closest to take over my thrown (mostly Cerrone backers), and then RDA gets a 1st round KO that bumped so many people ahead of me. So I went from looking at $4,000 to looking at $50 for my highest scoring team.

Regarding live betting, it couldn't have gone better... I was reading every fight so well, and I made sure not to go big pre-fight on fights I was uncertain of. I took advantage of a ton of big spots.


Bookmaker profit: $352.36, which equals 35.2 units of profit.
DraftKings profit: $97 winnings - $62 spent on teams = $35 profit


Rafael dos Anjos -200 $60 for $30
Donald Cerrone +190 $20 for $38
Cerrone/RDA u4.5 +125 $20 for $25
JDS $12.50 for $10
Overeem/JDS o1.5 +130 $10 for $13
Alistair Overeem submission +1500 $3 for $45
Nate Diaz +380 $5 for $19
Nate Diaz +414 $5 for $20.70
Nate $10 for $24.70
Nate $34 for $17
MJ $10 for $53.20
Nate Diaz submission +750 $3 for $22.50
Karolina Kowalkiewicz +170 $15 for $25.50
Karolina Kowalkiewicz +160 $10 for $16
Karolina $16.65 for $15
Karolina $10 for $16.10
Karolina $10 for $35.60
Randa Markos submission +430 $5.81 for $25
Charles Oliveira +105 $15 for $15.75
Charles Oliveira +125 $10 for $12.50
C.B. Dollaway KO/TKO/DQ +150 $5 for $7.50
Nate Marquardt submission +1025 $2 for $20.50
Valentina Shevchenko +180 $20 for $36
Shevchenko $35 for $20
Valentina Shevchenko submission +1325 $5 for $66.25
Shevchenko/Kaufman u2.5 +180 $5 for $9
Tamdan McCrory +145 $50 for $72.50
McCrory/Samman u1.5 +110 $10 for $11
Nik Lentz -125 $12.50 for $10
Nik Lentz -110 $11 for $10
Nik Lentz decision +204 $10 for $20.40
Castillo +311 $9.62
[yellow]Cole Miller +100 $10 for $10
Cole Miller submission +350 $5 for $17.50[/yellow]
Edwards/Usman u2.5 +150 $5 for $7.50
Kamaru Usman submission +498 $5 for $24.90
Hayder Hassan -115 $5.75 for $5
Luque/Hassan ITD -125 $18.75 for $15
Francis Ngannou -115 $17.25 for $15

Results for the night: + $1160

+ Show Spoiler +

Results for the year: + $5365.25

Weidman 10k swing taking a shot set me back. Wrong guy to pick to take a shot on and admittedly made some huge mistakes this year, but learned a lot and had a great first year of taking this seriously. Looking forward to next year because the sport is clearly in a small boom period and it could get bigger if things go well like they did this year. That means more Rousey type lines.

GG ya'll, good year and I'm glad it seemed like everyone did well tonight.

Happy NY and thanks for making these threads Rican.

PS: Nate Diaz is the shit, Michael Johnson is a warrior, and Henry Hooft is kind of a shitty head coach.

Yeah, I think most, or all of us in this thread won money tonight. Hopefully 2016 brings us more easy and entertaining cards like this.

Events in January 2016:

• UFC 195: Lawler vs. Condit (2nd)
• Invicta FC 15: Cyborg vs. Ibragimova (16th)
• UFC FN 81: Dillashaw vs. Cruz (17th)
• WSOF 27: Future Champs (23rd)
• Bellator 148: Koscheck vs. Secor (29th)
• UFC on Fox 18: Rumble vs. Bader (30th)

Regarding UFC 195, there's some good money to be made, so I look forward to it.

I start school at the end of January, so I'm gonna try and grind out as much money as possible before I take my usual break from betting.

Happy Holidays to everyone in this thread : whamm!, LikeASet, Floofy, iakim322, northsails, Spitfiree, Stim_Abuser, soberstone, TianYuan, Minsk, jvilla777, drone666, ERASA, traxamillion, NotSorry, alejandicto, [GiTM]-Ace, and even flounder44's whining self.

happy holidays everyone and thanks for always creating those threads, PuertoRican

I need to start betting on a site that accepts my country's deposits. Just for fun during weekends. Draftkings etc doesn't
Happy holidays LP

Overeem went from being a freight truck that always walked forward to the most tentative striker in the HW division come on I get some measuring and caution but throwing 3 strikes per round is boring as fuck.


I was pretty surprised that JDS was as passive as Reem

Well JDS is a bit of a counter striker isn't he (or am I crazy here? I don't watch HW that often lol)? Overeem gave him nothing to work with (not blaming him tho, he got going once he had things figured out).

And happy christmas/holidays to y'all as well=]

Hey PR cheers for the mma threads and also floofy for that one time he did it haha. Won some monies on mma betting to end the year but still betting low stakes tho. Cheers for the bets as well soberstone.

Happy New Years LP.

Happy holidays !

For me Overeem looked great. Obviously when you get starched by such an inferior strikers like Bigfoot Silva, Ben Rothwell and Travis Browne you need to make some adjustments to your game and The Reem under Greg Jackson in his last few fights showed great improvements. In this fight he made JDS looking clueless standing up. Yes the beating he took from Cain have def took its toll on Cigano, but he always needed his opponents to stay right in front of him to unload his combinations. Alistair kept great lateral movement, frequently changing stances keeping him guessing and was never in danger.

I always thought that Overeem has the best skills in the heavyweight div. His downfall has been his poor fight IQ, cardio and chin. It looks like the first 2 things have improved massively and he is very much aware of his weaknesses now. I can deffo see him taking that belt in 2016.

Enjoyed this card so much. BARNCAT FTW!!

Happy holidays guys !

Yes I also liked this card much better than the McGregor one

On December 21 2015 12:43 Spitfiree wrote: Happy holidays guys ! Yes I also liked this card much better than the McGregor one

I disagree

Both main events were a bit "similar"
Co-Main of ufc194 was WAYYYYY Better than fox's co main.
third fight i do admit was better on this Fox card, but the souza fight was pretty good too
the Maia fight was obviously way better than the Markos fight.

Overall i think they were both great main cards.

Soon as I heard RDA and Werdum were both being trained by Rafael Cordero and winning right now I knew it was a bad bet..

On December 20 2015 10:11 PuertoRican wrote: Yeah, I think most, or all of us in this thread won money tonight. Hopefully 2016 brings us more easy and entertaining cards like this. Events in January 2016: • UFC 195: Lawler vs. Condit (2nd) • Invicta FC 15: Cyborg vs. Ibragimova (16th) • UFC FN 81: Dillashaw vs. Cruz (17th) • WSOF 27: Future Champs (23rd) • Bellator 148: Koscheck vs. Secor (29th) • UFC on Fox 18: Rumble vs. Bader (30th) Regarding UFC 195, there's some good money to be made, so I look forward to it. I start school at the end of January, so I'm gonna try and grind out as much money as possible before I take my usual break from betting. Happy Holidays to everyone in this thread : whamm!, LikeASet, Floofy, iakim322, northsails, Spitfiree, Stim_Abuser, soberstone, TianYuan, Minsk, jvilla777, drone666, ERASA, traxamillion, NotSorry, alejandicto, [GiTM]-Ace, and even flounder44's whining self.

Happy Holidays MVP

On December 20 2015 10:11 PuertoRican wrote: Yeah, I think most, or all of us in this thread won money tonight. Hopefully 2016 brings us more easy and entertaining cards like this. Events in January 2016: • UFC 195: Lawler vs. Condit (2nd) • Invicta FC 15: Cyborg vs. Ibragimova (16th) • UFC FN 81: Dillashaw vs. Cruz (17th) • WSOF 27: Future Champs (23rd) • Bellator 148: Koscheck vs. Secor (29th) • UFC on Fox 18: Rumble vs. Bader (30th) Regarding UFC 195, there's some good money to be made, so I look forward to it. I start school at the end of January, so I'm gonna try and grind out as much money as possible before I take my usual break from betting. Happy Holidays to everyone in this thread : whamm!, LikeASet, Floofy, iakim322, northsails, Spitfiree, Stim_Abuser, soberstone, TianYuan, Minsk, jvilla777, drone666, ERASA, traxamillion, NotSorry, alejandicto, [GiTM]-Ace, and even flounder44's whining self.

Happy holidays bud! Definitely appreciate the threads which help us discuss MMA here, and the insight on MMA.

I'm still butthurt about Cerrone losing to RDA - kinda lost hope for the guy to win a belt now
The Reem is just very unreliable, sure he looks great when he's not hit ONCE clean. Anyone in LW or even big MW could knock his ass out with a clean shot. He will probably go back to his douchey style soon enough.

On December 29 2015 17:26 whamm! wrote: I'm still butthurt about Cerrone losing to RDA - kinda lost hope for the guy to win a belt now The Reem is just very unreliable, sure he looks great when he's not hit ONCE clean. Anyone in LW or even big MW could knock his ass out with a clean shot. He will probably go back to his douchey style soon enough.

Overeem is legit.

He's got the moves, the power, and he now has good cardio.

^^ Nah bro, every fight with the reem it's just like if he gets hit once it's over lol