https://www.liquidpoker.net/


LP international Poland    Contact            Users: 185 Active, 0 Logged in - Time: 06:34

UFC FN 72: Bisping vs. Leites

New to LiquidPoker? Register here for free!
Forum Index > Sports and Betting
 1 
  2 
  3 
  > 
  Last 
  All 
PuertoRican   United States. Jul 16 2015 06:36. Posts 13023

Date: Saturday, July 18th
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass): 15:00 LP.net / 7am PST / 10am EST
Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1): 16:00 LP.net / 8am PST / 11am EST
Main Card (Fox Sports 1): 18:00 LP.net / 10am PST / 1pm EST
Live Streams: http://firstrowus1.eu/




Main Card (Fox Sports 1)

Michael Bisping (26-7) vs. Thales Leites (25-4) (Middleweight)
Ross Pearson (17-8) vs. Evan Dunham (15-6) (Lightweight)
Joseph Duffy (13-1) vs. Ivan Jorge (26-4) (Lightweight)
Joanne Calderwood (9-1) vs. Cortney Casey-Sanchez (4-1) (Women's Strawweight)
Leon Edwards (9-2) vs. Pawel Pawlak (11-1) (Welterweight)
Steven Ray (17-5) vs. Leonardo Mafra (12-2) (Lightweight)

Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1)

Patrick Holohan (11-1-1) vs. Vaughan Lee (14-10-1) (Flyweight)
Ilir Latifi (9-4) vs. Hans Stringer (22-6-3) (Light Heavyweight)
Mickael Lebout (13-4-1) vs. Teemu Packalen (7-0) (Lightweight)
Robert Whiteford (11-2) vs. Paul Redmond (10-5) (Featherweight)

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Marcus Brimage (7-4) vs. Jimmie Rivera (16-1) (Bantamweight)
Daniel Omielanczuk (16-5-1) vs. Chris De La Rocha (3-0) (Heavyweight)

Other

- Ian Entwistle was expected to face Marcus Brimage at the event. However, Entwistle pulled out of the fight in late June for undisclosed reasons. He was replaced by promotional newcomer Jimmie Rivera.
- Daniel Omielanczuk was expected to face Konstantin Erokhin at the event. However, Erokhin pulled out of the fight in late June citing an injury and was replaced by promotional newcomer Chris De La Rocha.
- Jake Matthews was expected to face Mickael Lebout at the event. However, Matthews pulled out of the fight on July 9 due to an injury and was replaced by promotional newcomer Teemu Packalen.
- Joanne Calderwood was expected to face Bec Rawlings at the event. However, Rawlings pulled out of the fight on July 10 due to an injury and was replaced by Cortney Casey-Sanchez.

Facebook Twitter
Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 18/07/2015 05:13

PuertoRican   United States. Jul 16 2015 06:39. Posts 13023

First impression of the match-ups:

• Bisping > Leites (Already have Bisping at -110.)
• Pearson > Dunham
• Duffy > Jorge
• Calderwood vs. Sanchez (dunno)
• Edwards > Pawlak
• Ray > Mafra
• Holohan > Lee
• Latifi > Stringer
• Lebout > Packalen
• Whiteford > Redmond
• Brimage vs. Rivera (dunno)
• Omielanczuk vs. Rocha (dunno)

Rekrul is a newb 

Floofy   Canada. Jul 16 2015 19:46. Posts 8708

I'm on a really nice win streak for last 2 events, hope i keep it up

I'm gonna research the events and post my picks. You guys can say on which picks you disagree... PuertoRican made me change my mind once, and he was totally right =)

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;(Last edit: 16/07/2015 20:02

soberstone   United States. Jul 16 2015 20:43. Posts 2662

Won on 7 events in a row. Last losing event was UFC 188.

Bets so far for Saturday:

Parlay - (Andrade Already Won) - Andrade (-335) + Edwards (-235) Parlay @ $150.00 to win $127.66

Parlay - (Andrade Already Won) - Andrade (-335) + Edwards (-235) + Calderwood (-350) Parlay @ $100.00 to win $137.99 - I regret betting Calderwood I watched the other chicks tape and she was decent but she gassed, Calderwood should win but I don't like the odds that much.

Straight-Up - Bisping > Leites @ -115 - $69 to win $60

Prop - Bisping in Rd 3 @ +1475 - $10 to win $147.50

Prop - Bisping in Rd 4 @ +2075 - $10 to win $207.50

Prop - Bisping in Rd 5 @ +2875 - $10 to win $287.50 - Like these props because if Bisping does get a finish, it should be in the later rounds the vast majority of the time, yet the odds don't reflect that at all.

Straight-Up - Dunham > Pearson @ +190 - $40 to win $76

Parlay - Bisping (-115) + Edwards (-310) + Dunham (+190) + Latifi (-220) @ $40 to win $377.20

Parlay - Bisping (-115) + Edwards (-310) + Latifi (-220) @ $40 to win $103.86

Prop - Edwards ITD (+125) @ $20 to win $25

Prop - Redmond via ko/tko (+625) $10 to win $62.50

Also for Bellator,

Michael Page / Rudy Bears u 1.5 rds @ -170 - $68 to win $40 - Bears has been KO'd in the first round in 2 of his last 5 fights, and Michael Page has 6 of his 7 wins by first round KO. It's the biggest jobber fight ever and should end very quickly, Page is a -1300 favorite yet the under line is only -170.... makes no sense.

Added Hail Mary Parlay:

MU MICHAEL BISPING (THALES LEITES vrs MICHAEL BISPING) -115 MU EVAN DUNHAM (EVAN DUNHAM vrs ROSS PEARSON) +190 MU JOSEPH DUFFY (IVAN JORGE vrs JOSEPH DUFFY) -850 MU JOANNE CALDERWOOD (CORTNEY CASEY-SANCHEZ vrs JOANNE CALDERWOOD) -350 MU LEON EDWARDS (PAWEL PAWLAK vrs LEON EDWARDS) -340 MU STEVIE RAY (LEONARDO MAFRA vrs STEVIE RAY) -205 MU PADDY HOLOHAN (VAUGHAN LEE vrs PADDY HOLOHAN) -149 MU ILIR LATIFI (HANS STRINGER vrs ILIR LATIFI) -220 MU CHRIS HONEYCUTT (PAUL BRADLEY vrs CHRIS HONEYCUTT) -340

Honeycuts fight ruled a No contest so it comes out of the parlay. Recalculated.

Risking: $20 To Win: $700.16

 Last edit: 18/07/2015 03:12

Floofy   Canada. Jul 16 2015 21:01. Posts 8708

Edwards is def a good bet, sucks for me hes now -300 (still gonna bet him)

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

Floofy   Canada. Jul 16 2015 23:09. Posts 8708

Here are my bets. I'm actually gonna cast them during the weight in tomorow (just in case someone miss weight or looks bad). Feel free to dicuss the bets before i do my stupid bets hahaha =)

Bisping (36, 6'1, 75.5)
Leites (34, 6'1, 78)


Huge step up in competition for Leites imo

Leites was getting outstruck by fucking BOETCH. I think Bisping will murder him. I don't even understand those odds, i might be missing something.

Pearson 30 5'8 69
Dunham 33 5'10 70


difficult one. i think dunham should be able to outpoint pearson, but pearson could KO him at any moments imo

after watching some footage on Dunham, i think the later will happen.

I'm considering a bet on the under here. I think pearson will KO dunham, but its a cheaper way to bet Pearson

Dufy 27, 5'10, 73
Jorge 34, 5'9, 73


Jorge is the biggest dog on card. His biggest weapon seems to be his subs, and hes a black belt in BJJ. Duffy's only lost was to a sub. I think it is "Possible" for jorge to win.

That being said, Duffy is legit, and i don't give jorge much of a chance to beat the mcgregor killer.

Jorge and duffy are both very agressive, and a bet im very tempted to do here is the under 1.5. But i could see it also turning into a boring ground match....

This is the kind of fight i should probably just pass, but im leaning toward u1.5

Calderwood 28, 5'6, 64.5
Casey-Sanchez 28 5'7 ?


A sub artist who seems to have great potential against someone who sucks against subs? at +300 odds? i'm in

Anyways, this is woman, they make mistakes all the time, i love to bet on woman dogs.

Edwards 23 5'10 74
Pawlak 26 6'0 73


Pawlak has good TD. too bad this won't be usefull against Edwards, who will be top 10 one day imo. I can't see a way for Pawlak to win this and i'm tempted to bet big.

Mafra 26 5'10 70
Ray 25 5'10 70


Stats wise, these guys are like identical.
I liked both of these guys's fights, i think theyre both skilled. I don't know which guy will win, but mafra at +180 seems like a good bet to me.

Holohan 27 5'10 69
Lee 32 5'5 66


Holohan looked amazing against Howell, and is taller and 5 years younger.

That being said, his reach advantage is tiny. I also think Lee is kinda under estimated, he is a great fighter imo

at +170 odds, i'm def going Lee.

Latifi 31 5'10 73
Stringer 28 6'2 73


Stringer only lost 1 fight out of his last 6, against Maldonaldo. He dominated all fight, and made 1 mistake.

He is 3 years younger and is 3 inch taller and is offering +200 odds.

That being said, taking down Ilir Latifi doesn't seem as easy as taking down Maldonaldo, and Ilir seems to have legit power

I'm not confident, but i think i'm Betting stringer

Lebout 27 5'11 73
Packalén 28 6'1 ?


I do not have tons of info on this fight...
Lebout looked kinda good imo in his first fight.
But his opponement has a really good record.

I'm leaning toward Packalen.

Whiteford 32 5'9 69
Redmond 28 5'10 70


Redmond is 4 years younger, and even thought his reach/height advantage is tiny, its still there.

He lost his last fight badly, but he missed weight which surely made him perform worse. The guy he lost to also is still undefeated and looks like a killer.

However, i'm not that confident on this fight. Redmond has clearly showed some weakness with his TD/ground game on the Bektic fight, and Whiteford has shown he is decent at it against Pineda.

I'm leaning Redmond, but im not confident

Brimage 30 5'4 71
Rivera 26 5'4 65


Brimage lost 3/4 in his last fights, which makes him look horrible. But 2 of those losses were against really good opponements, and his other loss was a close split decision. He also has a 6 inch reach avantage.

Rivera is near undefeated, but he mostly has decisions against random bad people.

I'm betting brimage.

Omiela?czuk 32 6'0 74
De La Rocha 36 6'4 ?


This one lacks info and is difficult to call. I believe Omiela?czuk kind of "messed up" in the first round against Hamilton, and even tho he tryed hard to come back, it was hard to after a bad first round like this. I think he probably could have won that fight.

De La Rocha is 4 years older at 36, which is often when fighters start fading a lot. I really don't know much about him other than he defeated 3 very bad fighters. I tryed to watch tape but its very limited.

I'm probably gonna bet on Omiela?czuk unless his odds gets worse than -165

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;(Last edit: 16/07/2015 23:10

soberstone   United States. Jul 16 2015 23:47. Posts 2662

I don't think Calderwood sucks vs subs, I think she got lazy and overconfident vs Moroz and slipped up and got caught in a deep armbar. Not saying your play is bad I just disagree with that assumption that JoJo sucks vs subs.

Watching Jo Jo's last fight though I definitely don't like her at the odds she's at, either something was up with her or she was just way overhyped. Looked slow and hitable and then gave up that shitty armbar.

Hedged the parlay with Casey at +290 for $50 to win $145.

Added JoJo by decision at +160. $30 to win $48 to hedge the hedge. Not getting raped by juice with the hedging because of favorable line movement.

 Last edit: 17/07/2015 23:52

PuertoRican   United States. Jul 17 2015 01:39. Posts 13023




Bellator tomorrow. I like Paul Bradley +230 and Douglas Lima -170.

Rekrul is a newb 

PuertoRican   United States. Jul 17 2015 22:22. Posts 13023




Michael Bisping (185) vs. Thales Leites (185)
Evan Dunham (156) vs. Ross Pearson (155)
Joseph Duffy (155) vs. Ivan Jorge (154)
Joanne Calderwood (115) vs. Cortney Casey (114)
Leon Edwards (169) vs. Pawel Pawlak (170)
Leonardo Mafra (155) vs. Stevie Ray (155)
Paddy Holohan (126) vs. Vaughan Lee (126)
Ilir Latifi (206) vs. Hans Stringer (205)
Mickael Lebout (155) vs. Teemu Packalen (155)
Paul Redmond (145) vs. Robert Whiteford (146)
Marcus Brimage (136) vs. Jimmie Rivera (135)
Chris de la Rocha (245) vs. Daniel Omielanczuk (242)

Rekrul is a newb 

Floofy   Canada. Jul 17 2015 22:27. Posts 8708

holy shit i missed the boat so hard on Leon Edwards. He's -350 now. FML

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

PuertoRican   United States. Jul 17 2015 22:46. Posts 13023

Bellator prelims start at 3:50pm PST / 6:50pm EST: http://bellator.spike.com/live


Main Card (Spike TV)

Douglas Lima vs. Andrey Koreshkov (Welterweight Championship)
Paul Daley vs. Dennis Olson
Brennan Ward vs. Roger Carroll
Chris Honeycutt vs. Paul Bradley
Michael Page vs. Rudy Bears

Preliminary Card (Spike.com)

Kaline Medeiros vs. Sarah Payant
Alex Dunworth vs. Dean Hancock
Ryan Quinn vs. Waylon Lowe
Remo Cardarelli vs. Billy Giovanella
Blair Tugman vs. Kin Moy
Parker Porter vs. Eric Bedard
Nicolas Sergiacomi vs. Ilya Kotau

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Jul 17 2015 23:02. Posts 2662


  On July 17 2015 21:27 Floofy wrote:
holy shit i missed the boat so hard on Leon Edwards. He's -350 now. FML



Haha that's why I pointed it out on the last thread when he was at -210. Knew that line was set stupidly.

As far as Bellator tonight, I threw down a couple more bets today:

ONLINE
07/17/2015
12:24 PM
[Ticket #: 218630119] STRAIGHT BET
07/17/2015 @ 07:30 PM MU [24101] ANDREY KORESHKOV +140
(ANDREY KORESHKOV vrs DOUGLAS LIMA)
30.00 to win 42.00
ONLINE

07/17/2015
12:27 PM
[Ticket #: 218630428] PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
07/17/2015 @ 07:10 PM MU [24106] CHRIS HONEYCUTT -285
(PAUL BRADLEY vrs CHRIS HONEYCUTT)
07/17/2015 @ 06:45 PM MU [24110] TOTAL u1.5 -185
(RUDY BEARS vrs MICHAEL PAGE)
40.00 to win 43.24

Plus have the Page/Bears u 1.5 @ -170 for $68 to win $40

Added Honeycutt by decision at -120 for $20 to win $17

 Last edit: 18/07/2015 00:46

soberstone   United States. Jul 17 2015 23:25. Posts 2662



The reason to watch tonight. + Main event is very good.


PuertoRican   United States. Jul 17 2015 23:53. Posts 13023

Paul Bradley +230 (1u)
Paul Bradley +240 (1u)
Ward/Carroll u1.5 -155 (.5u)

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Jul 17 2015 23:59. Posts 2662

Can't believe they fired Sean Wheelock for this guy. Garbage. Smith and Wheelock were good commentators together, clearly a political change.

Bears got to +1100 on 5dimes but went back to +1000. I've set the mark at +1300 and I'll throw a buck on him.

 Last edit: 18/07/2015 00:03

PuertoRican   United States. Jul 18 2015 00:03. Posts 13023

lmao at Bellator heavyweights... Most of them are 185ers with big guts.

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Jul 18 2015 00:05. Posts 2662


  On July 17 2015 23:03 PuertoRican wrote:
lmao at Bellator heavyweights... Most of them are 185ers with big guts.



Yah its funny. If you are 230+ pounds and want to fight professionally and embarrass yourself, you can. That simple. It's a very in-demand job. Which makes sense considering you make like 5k to go get some brain damage.

They should make these fights three 2-minute rounds.

 Last edit: 18/07/2015 00:07

PuertoRican   United States. Jul 18 2015 00:11. Posts 13023

Parker Porter has some skill for being a random heavyweight in Bellator. He isn't UFC level, but decent nonetheless.

----------

Main card: http://live.realstreamunited.com/stre...a-koreshkov-other-fighting-98436.html

Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 18/07/2015 02:03

soberstone   United States. Jul 18 2015 02:14. Posts 2662

ROFL . MVP IS SO SICK. Most walkoffs of all time already and he's 8-0. Bink that under.


soberstone   United States. Jul 18 2015 02:41. Posts 2662

Hah. What a suckout. Bradley had a punchers chance if that. No contest fuck up parlays? I don't believe so.


 
 1 
  2 
  3 
  > 
  Last 
  All 



Poker Streams

















Copyright © 2024. LiquidPoker.net All Rights Reserved
Contact Advertise Sitemap