TUF 21 Finale: Ellenberger vs. Thompson

On July 13 2015 01:06 PuertoRican wrote: Show nested quote + On July 13 2015 01:02 soberstone wrote: What's going on with the Maximo Blanco line. He's shifted to the dog pretty hard today. "Maximo Blanco missed weight on his first attempt at the weigh-ins, coming in at 148.5 lbs. After having made no attempts to cut further, he was fined 20 percent of his fight purse, which went to Mike De La Torre."

Good, makes me like my bet more. No reason to shift the line that hard if he didn't even keep trying to cut.

Shoot it. Bad stoppage but I think he was about to get pasted anyway.

Magana.

Just watched weighins and saw Masvidal didnt make weight which makes me think he didnt even train hard for this fight.

I'm hedging with Cezar by decision at +525 parlayed with Thompson for 40 to win 318

I think there is very little chance he ever could finish a guy as good and seasoned as Jorge yet the odds on that are better than Ferreria winning a decision, doesn't jive with my reality. If Jorge doesn't perform smart and is out of shape, he could theoretically drop a decision.

Shoot it on the Waterson sub prop but fuck, sucks Magana didn't finish that deep armbar and cash that sub Rican, I had that prop too. Was very close.

On July 13 2015 01:26 soberstone wrote: Just watched weighins and saw Masvidal didnt make weight which makes me think he didnt even train hard for this fight. I'm hedging with Cezar by decision at +525 parlayed with Thompson for 40 to win 318 I think there is very little chance he ever could finish a guy as good and seasoned as Jorge yet the odds on that are better than Ferreria winning a decision, doesn't jive with my reality. If Jorge doesn't perform smart and is out of shape, he could theoretically drop a decision.

Masvidal made weight on the next attempt. He probably got lazy cuz he had to gain weight instead of lose weight for this fight.

Damn, wish I didn't watch the weigh-ins and overthink and hedge. Oh well, still cashing huge if Thompson wins, especially if Kumar does too.

Mutante should get cut after this. He literally has no chin.

Sick call-out by Masvidal. I think he smokes Matt Brown badly but I'm sure the odds will be close. I'm very much looking to bet that fight if they make it and Masvidal opens as a dog.

I'm fine if they decide to go Brown v Condit though.

On July 13 2015 02:09 PuertoRican wrote: Mutante should get cut after this. He literally has no chin.

Yah. It's like the perfect combination of not having a chin in the first place and also having a game predicated on overextending and having poor defense due to sloppy power shots he likes to throw. The guy just has no chance to win fights, even the ones he should

Conor McGregor vs. Urijah Faber are coaching on the next season of The Ultimate Fighter. Conor is coach of team Europe, while Faber is coach of team USA. They won't fight each other afterward.

YES. That was such a lock, rofl at the odds.

Thompson please don't Rory me. One time, hits a ton of big payouts if wins.

Added Ellenberger split/maj decision at +1150 for $30 to win $340.50. Thought that was the best value to hedge.

OH MY FUCKING GOD.

Shoot it.

That's bank.

Shit my pants when Ellenburger dropped him but omg his scrambles, clinch, and wrestling look fine.

This guy is a threat.

Sweet kicks from Wonderboy!

I missed mutante's fight but he is awful.

If Thompson wins he completes a parlay from last night to win 3 units (60.80) - WON

Parlayed Thompson + Kumaru @ 100 to win 116.28 - WON

Parlayed Thompson + Masvidal @ 100 to win 111.80 - WON

Parlayed Thompson + Kumaru + Masvidal @ 50 to win 105.16 - WON

Luque via Decision @ +185 - 30 ton win $55.50 - LOST

Thompson + Ferrera Decision @ 40 to win 318.70 - LOST

Masvidal by 3rd rd finish @ +975 - 20 to win 190 - LOST

Waterson by decision @ +111 - 20 to win 22.00 - LOST

Waterson by Sub @ +170 - 20 to win 34 - WON

Magana by Sub @+1505 - 5 to win 75.25 - LOST

Blanco ITD @ +352 - 20 to win 74.40 - WON

Samman via decision @ +434 - 20 to win 86.80 - LOST

Total - +$387.44

Weekend Total - +548

YTD - +$1100 / +55 Units.

this was literally my best betting night in a while

+ Show Spoiler +

Fuck ya!!!!!!!!!

Hit all bets today, time to move back to 5dimes cuz pinnacle sucks for mma betting, no props