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I don't think this is misplayed, but I'd like to think I could get away from it somehow.
Game was $2/$5 7-ring at the time. Villain is fishy, but I dono how fishy. Only played a few hands against him, typical live too loose preflop too passive.
Hero $700
Villain 450$
UTG, UTG +1, fold, UTG + 2 call, Villain calls, I raise on button to to $30, only Villain calls.
Flop $70:
Villain checks, I check (so many people play dumb weak drawing hands out of position I didn't want to c-bet and build the pot when I had no idea what villain's range was)
Turn $70:
Villain checks, I check
River $70:
Villain leads out, for 65, I think for 15 seconds and raise to $165, Villain says "I've been running pretty bad today, I guess I'm allin" and shoves for an additional $260 more."
There's no possible way I can fold this right? When someone gives a speech like that do they always have the full-house?
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How can someone be so bad to check a board that wet out of position with a ten twice grrrrrr |
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traxamillion   United States. Nov 22 2013 15:08. Posts 10468 | | |
Might just flat river (not just being results oriented |
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traxamillion   United States. Nov 22 2013 15:13. Posts 10468 | | |
All he can really call a raise with is Maybe KQ. Non boat 10s raise sooner. He could easily slow play. He goes full pot pretty polarized right there already.
If he shows q10 he can be a little wider with this line and in that case raising Is probably best but when he 3bets ai u should prob muck cause you are basically repping queens full and he still jams |
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your intention was to rr the fish and hope he calls because he is very unlikely to be b3b the river with a bluff.. so its a pretty easy fold and if your not confident with that read you should just call his river lead |
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goose58   United States. Nov 22 2013 15:56. Posts 871 | | |
River is a clear raise, now fold with your current reads. You say he's passive, which means he's unlikely to go full retard on this river with a bluff, J9/AJ or a naked T.
With that said, I think you could Cbet this flop or bet this turn(get value from draws, maybe fold an 8 or weaker PP).
Also, in my experience, when weaker players start chatting they typically have a good hand(although my live experience is small). |
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carlosdiaz   Mexico. Nov 23 2013 02:21. Posts 143 | | |
I bet that turn almost always, as played I fold the river. |
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mnj   United States. Nov 23 2013 02:33. Posts 3848 | | |
| On November 22 2013 12:10 HungarianGOD wrote:
There's no possible way I can fold this right? When someone gives a speech like that do they always have the full-house?
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yes |
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gawdawaful   Canada. Nov 23 2013 14:16. Posts 9012 | | |
I see live fish time and time again overplay what they perceive to be nuts, which can be anything from a naked T to J9 here. We're not always beat even with the line he took (as well as the line we took)
Also people play really transparent and poorly live that you can cbet anywhere from 25-35 and either choose to check back turn or barrel a good turn (ie. anything higher than a jack or an 8) |
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Im only good at poker when I run good | |
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I like betting turn a fair bit. Otherwise I'm with gawdawaful. |
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should ask him to take his bet back and chop. |
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collegesucks   United States. Nov 24 2013 15:59. Posts 5780 | | |
| On November 23 2013 13:16 gawdawaful wrote:
I see live fish time and time again overplay what they perceive to be nuts, which can be anything from a naked T to J9 here. We're not always beat even with the line he took (as well as the line we took)
Also people play really transparent and poorly live that you can cbet anywhere from 25-35 and either choose to check back turn or barrel a good turn (ie. anything higher than a jack or an 8) |
This. While villain is 100% not bluffing, he could easily be overvaluing his non-boat hands.
Here's an extremely pessimistic range which basically removes all Tx combos. 2:1 to make a call and you're priced at almost 3:1
Board: Tc Ts 8s Kd Qh
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 33.673% 24.49% 09.18% 12 4.50 { AdJd }
Hand 1: 66.327% 57.14% 09.18% 28 4.50 { KK-QQ, TT, 88, AJs, KTs, QTs, J9s, T8s, AJo, KTo, QTo, J9o, T8o }
Without a concrete read, which you DONT have, I don't see you being right to fold here. |
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collegesucks   United States. Nov 24 2013 16:00. Posts 5780 | | |
also, +1 on betting turn to continue on a lot of rivers, if you haven't cbet this flop. |
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scriber   . Nov 29 2013 10:35. Posts 299 | | |
bet turn , fold river. With the speach he has a fullhouse here almost always , so fold |
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Rapoza   Brasil. Nov 29 2013 19:37. Posts 1612 | | |
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LikeASet   United States. Nov 30 2013 23:31. Posts 2113 | | |
if villain is fishy and passive just c bet flop, you want to fold out all his air type hands which he will have super often and just fold, no need to check and let him catch up.
based on my experience, honestly I'm raising river also and calling that shove, especially with the way you guys got to the river, you really don't look like you can have KK, QQ, 88, 10x at all the way you played this hand to even the most leisure player. |
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GoTuNk   Chile. Dec 02 2013 01:12. Posts 2860 | | |
I think this an easy fold, but a hard one to do at the moment
I think you guys are overcomplicating this? I think we need evidence to assume he is capable of doing this kind of spazz shove above the simple explanation he has a nutted hand (i.e. we need extra evidence to bluff catch him, not extra evidence to fold our hand) |
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Endo   United States. Dec 02 2013 23:41. Posts 953 | | |
| On December 02 2013 00:12 GoTuNk wrote:
I think this an easy fold, but a hard one to do at the moment
I think you guys are overcomplicating this? I think we need evidence to assume he is capable of doing this kind of spazz shove above the simple explanation he has a nutted hand (i.e. we need extra evidence to bluff catch him, not extra evidence to fold our hand) |
Nuts 75% of the time |
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el_tilon   Canada. Dec 04 2013 11:46. Posts 296 | | |
Bet turn because you can easily fire a bunch of rivers.
As played call down and take notes. |
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JonnyCosMo   United States. Dec 04 2013 14:12. Posts 7292 | | |
Raise river and fold to his reraise. He has a boat.
Tbh I bet the turn smallish for value. |
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Everyone needs to see that you are king of the castle - PoorUser | |
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Results: he had QT off-suite
Thanks for the comments everyone.
CosMo, would you still fold if he didn't give the speech? |
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careface_   Canada. Dec 17 2013 21:44. Posts 788 | | |
Yes,
How often do you see someone bet / raise / reraise live?
He's gonna flat every straight to your raise, even trips,
And lol at your first comment of him checking twice his trips, it's the best freaking turn for him to check again,
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careface_   Canada. Dec 17 2013 21:45. Posts 788 | | |
| On November 22 2013 12:36 HungarianGOD wrote:
How can someone be so bad to check a board that wet out of position with a ten twice grrrrrr |
makes no sense
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NewbSaibot   United States. Dec 17 2013 23:58. Posts 4943 | | |
lol this "fish" would have soul pwned me that day. I'd snap call and be like "he has JT or AT whaaaaaaaaa????????"
Actually since I've been really making an effort to think before I act, I wonder if I could have folded here. Only thing I would ever fold to would be a flopped boat. You're right, who checks trips twice on a wet board? Someone with 88 or even TT for that matter. I think once I break it down I can see "ok so he had the mortal nuts, hence he can check twice then ship river and give me a speech". |
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bye now | Last edit: 18/12/2013 00:00 |
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| On December 17 2013 20:44 careface_ wrote:
Yes,
How often do you see someone bet / raise / reraise live?
He's gonna flat every straight to your raise, even trips,
And lol at your first comment of him checking twice his trips, it's the best freaking turn for him to check again,
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My adjustments for live-play are poor, straight up. I still tend to play less exploitable (and thus also less exploitably), and mix in bluffs/calls against players where it probably makes no sense to do so, I must definitely admit to that. I just think "if I usually fold most the time when I river the nut straight on a paired board and fold to a 3bet on the river, that's very exploitable so I guess I should probably call", which I understand is a ridiculous line of thinking playing against 2/5 live players.
About you saying him checking his trips twice is 'good'... What the hell are you talking about? How is this a good turn for him to check trips out of position again? I would appreciate if you would talk me through your position, because I don't understand it at all. |
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