UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman - Page 5

Btw. is any of you Anderson Fanboys interested in a direct bet vig free?

K40Cheddar or so ?

I like dusty's thinking on looking @ other fights as well. id make other picks but that never ends well

pick of the card: weidman +200 or higher. i see this closing lower than the +236 it currently is at

If I'm wrong I'll draw a picture of a man tipping his hat on MSpaint

On June 27 2013 02:42 FiSheYe wrote: Btw. is any of you Anderson Fanboys interested in a direct bet vig free? K40Cheddar or so ?

I'm not an Anderson fan-boy, but I'll put $100 on him to beat Weidman.

Do you use PayPal? I assume you don't have a Wells Fargo bank account since you're European.

On June 27 2013 02:42 FiSheYe wrote: Btw. is any of you Anderson Fanboys interested in a direct bet vig free? K40Cheddar or so ?

Not an Anderson fanboy either, infact ive been rooting for his oppenents since like forever, but i might be interested in a smallish (~100$) vig free bet.

What would the vig free odds look like?

Saw someone else post this pic of Anderson vs. Carlos Newton.

Sweet KO to say the least.

The line is insanely low right now. But I would be interested in betting Weidman at +250 even tho it seems like a bad bet, who is in ?

What exactly did you mean by vig free? I assumed you meant you wanted to bet Anderson/Weidman straight up, as in "even odds." If you aren't giving even odds on Silva, then I will just continue betting Anderson at 5dimes, where his ML is -240, and his KO/TKO prop is -140.

Right now, you can get Weidman at +218 on Pinnacle. Also, Weidman's line will get better as the fight gets closer, mostly on fight day, because a lot of people always bet Anderson at the last minute.

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Grumble, this thread being at the top made me think I had mistaken the date and it was THIS week instead of next

On June 28 2013 21:29 PuertoRican wrote: What exactly did you mean by vig free? I assumed you meant you wanted to bet Anderson/Weidman straight up, as in "even odds." If you aren't giving even odds on Silva, then I will just continue betting Anderson at 5dimes, where his ML is -240, and his KO/TKO prop is -140. Right now, you can get Weidman at +218 on Pinnacle. Also, Weidman's line will get better as the fight gets closer, mostly on fight day, because a lot of people always bet Anderson at the last minute. ----------

Vig is rake or juice.. . O.o

On June 28 2013 23:41 JonnyCosMo wrote: Show nested quote + On June 28 2013 21:29 PuertoRican wrote: What exactly did you mean by vig free? I assumed you meant you wanted to bet Anderson/Weidman straight up, as in "even odds." If you aren't giving even odds on Silva, then I will just continue betting Anderson at 5dimes, where his ML is -240, and his KO/TKO prop is -140. Right now, you can get Weidman at +218 on Pinnacle. Also, Weidman's line will get better as the fight gets closer, mostly on fight day, because a lot of people always bet Anderson at the last minute. ---------- Vig is rake or juice.. . O.o

Ah, okay, thanks for the clarification. I never really used the term "vig" when I used to play poker, and, it's never used in MMA betting afaik.

As far as "juice" goes, I always say that "you don't have to worry about the juice if you ain't payin' it." I assumed that Fisheye was offering even odds on Anderson/Weidman, which then I would obviously take him up on his offer.

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UFC 162 Factgrinder: The Wrestling of Chris Weidman

http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2013/6/28/...rinder-the-wrestling-of-chris-weidman

not even weidman's mom would offer even odds on the fight. if a line is -100/-120, the vig free line is about -108, so both guys get a better line than they would otherwise

On June 29 2013 01:57 Daut wrote: not even weidman's mom would offer even odds on the fight. if a line is -100/-120, the vig free line is about -108, so both guys get a better line than they would otherwise

nothing is ever -100, however sometimes pinnacle will hang juice on both sides of MMA fights such as -101/-116 or -106/-106 as the similar likes of these. it would be +100/-120 in your example which yields the vig free line of +109/-109. in the twoplustwo sportsbetting threads we would use the link below to get the pinnacle vig free line on a bet. if both sides were juiced as -106/-106 or -101/-116 like above, then both bettors would ignore the juice and take their sides at +100 each since it benefits both of them to bet at even money vs each other instead of taking -101 or -116 on the sportsbook themselves.

http://0vigcalc.150m.com/calc.htm

+ Show Spoiler +

On June 29 2013 01:57 Daut wrote: not even weidman's mom would offer even odds on the fight. if a line is -100/-120, the vig free line is about -108, so both guys get a better line than they would otherwise

Oh, I think I understand now.

This sounds like the "reduced juice" program that 5dimes offers to every member. Reduced juice lines for UFC events are available 1-2 days before the start date, depending on the UFC card. I use the reduced juice line for a decent amount of my bets.

Guess I'll pass on Fisheye's offer then.

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1687489-killing-the-king-anderson-silva

great article on anderson's possible weaknesses standing

Rainkhan: Not sure if you have seen it, but might be interesting to you as betting maniac

People often ask me about my thought process when picking MMA fights...

I tell them that I wait to see what RainKhan bets, then bet the other side

Cosmopolis, taking the opposite of any punter's picks will yield a negative expectation in the long run as betting lines are set to yield a breakeven % at picking while losing to the vigorish.

Though misguided as you may be here, I am thoughtfully concerned at your increase in angerism towards one "rainkhan" at this moment in time.

I wanna bet on Anderson vig free... $100ish too. Not cuz i love the odds but cuz i want a sweat.

anyone?

On June 29 2013 09:52 Daut wrote: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1687489-killing-the-king-anderson-silva great article on anderson's possible weaknesses standing

loved the Analysis but who in the fuck has that skillset that will force silva to be worried about the takedown and exploit those minor holes in the striking, the few wrestler that would force silva to fight off stance dont have the striking to do what he advices and viceversa.

On June 30 2013 19:15 Baalim wrote: Show nested quote + On June 29 2013 09:52 Daut wrote: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1687489-killing-the-king-anderson-silva great article on anderson's possible weaknesses standing loved the Analysis but who in the fuck has that skillset that will force silva to be worried about the takedown and exploit those minor holes in the striking, the few wrestler that would force silva to fight off stance dont have the striking to do what he advices and viceversa.

But but... Weidman elbow-KO`ed the amazing Mark Munoz! His striking is obviously on par or better than Anderson's...

Weidman is going to show everyone that his striking is top notch, and exploit the holes in Anderson's striking-game that nobody else in the UFC has been able to do.

By the way, did you know that Anderson is OLD? I bet you weren't aware how old Anderson is, and that this is the fight where he will finally slow down and get taken out.