UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold

Date: Saturday, May 18th
Preliminary Card (Facebook): 15:30 LP.net / 1:30pm PST / 4:30pm EST Facebook stream
Preliminary Card (Fuel TV): 17:00 LP.net / 3pm PST / 6pm EST
Main Card Time (FX): 20:00 LP.net / 6pm PST / 9pm EST
Live Streams: Prelims are Live on Fuel TV & Facebook/YouTube - http://www.vipbox.tv (All MMA events are listed under the UFC button. Press the UFC button and you'll see the event in the list.)





Main Card (FX)

Vitor Belfort (22-10) vs. Luke Rockhold (10-1) (Middlweight)
Ronaldo Souza (17-3) vs. Chris Camozzi (19-5) (Middleweight)
Rafael Dos Anjos (18-6) vs. Evan Dunham (14-3) (Lightweight)
Rafael Natal (15-4-1) vs. Joao Zeferino (13-4) (Middleweight)

Preliminary Card (Fuel TV)

Hacran Dias (21-1-1) vs. Nik Lentz (23-5-2) (Featherweight)
Francisco Trinaldo (12-2) vs. Mike Rio (9-1) (Lightweight)
Gleison Tibau (26-9) vs. John Cholish (8-2) (Lightweight)
Paulo Thiago (14-5) vs. Michel Prazeres (16-0) (Welterweight)
Yuri Alcantara (27-4) vs. Iliarde Santos (27-6-1) (Bantamweight)
Fabio Maldonado (18-6) vs. Roger Hollett (13-4) (Light Heavyweight)

Preliminary Card (Facebook)

John Lineker (20-6) vs. Azamat Gashimov (7-2) (Flyweight)
Jussier Formiga (14-2) vs. Chris Cariaso (14-4) (Flyweight)
Lucas Martins (12-1) vs. Jeremy Larsen (8-3) (Lightweight)

Other

- Manvel Gamburyan was expected to face Hacran Dias at the event. However, Gamburyan was forced to pull out of the bout citing an injury and was replaced by Nik Lentz.
- Marcos Vinícius was expected to face Yuri Alcantara at the event. However, Vinicius was forced out of the bout citing an injury and he was replaced by promotional newcomer Iliarde Santos.
- Cezar Ferreira was originally scheduled to face CB Dollaway. However, on April 1, it was revealed that Dollaway had to withdraw from the bout due to injury and he was replaced by Chris Camozzi. Then on April 7, it was confirmed that Ferreira had pulled out of the fight as well, citing an injury and was replaced by Rafael Natal.
- Costa Philippou had to withdraw from his fight against Ronaldo Souza, after suffering a cut above his eye, and was replaced by Chris Camozzi. While Camozzi's scheduled opponent Rafael Natal will face promotional newcomer Joao Zeferino.
- Paulo Thiago was originally expected to face Lance Benoist. However, on April 20, it was announced that Benoist had to pull out of the bout due to an injury and was replaced by UFC newcomer Michel Prazeres.

• Vitor Belfort > Luke Rockhold (I might lay a small bet on Vitor since he's plus money, then live bet after round 1.)
• Ronaldo Souza > Chris Camozzi (Submission)
• Rafael Dos Anjos > Evan Dunham (Decision)
• Rafael Natal > Joao Zeferino (ITD. I don't like what I've seen from Zeferino.)
• Nik Lentz > Hacran Dias (Decision)
• Francisco Trinaldo > Mike Rio (TKO)
• Gleison Tibau > John Cholish (TKO)
• Paulo Thiago > Michel Prazeres (TKO. I don't like what I've seen from Prazeres.)
• Yuri Alcantara > Iliarde Santos (Submission)
• Fabio Maldonado > Roger Hollett (TKO)
• John Lineker > Azamat Gashimov (Not 100% on this yet, as I haven't seen much of Gashimov yet. Lineker is identical in fight style to Francisco Rivera. This is Gashimov's first fight at Flyweight.)
• Chris Cariaso > Jussier Formiga (Decision)
• Lucas Martins > Jeremy Larsen (TKO)

Rockhold > Vitor Belfort - its actually a good betting line I think, down to 1.5-1.75

dont know much about the others.

Dos Anjos is sick but laying -188 seems ridiculous considering dunham beats some pretty decent opponents and probably is evenly matched on reach here (just a guess on the reach cuz hes mad tall and shit)

I think Dunham is probably an okay bet at that line. I like luke rockhold but its tuff betting against brazilians. also, whenever these guys flock over from strikeforce it seems like they all get killed by UFC brazilians

Belfort without roidz sux

On May 14 2013 02:45 whamm! wrote: Belfort without roidz sux

I guess he's lucky then, cuz he's fighting in a location where he can still use his TRT and be wild and strong. He won't be granted a license anymore in Las Vegas, which means California will probably deny him too.

This is semi recent news. The Las Vegas athletic commission won't grant a TRT exemption to fighters who were popped for steroids in the past.

Vitor recently admitted to using TRT but never mentions his use of steroids.

Belfort without roidz sux

Hacran Dias is really fucking good, you really think Lentz can lay/pray him?

Rockhold is going to destroy Belfort

Also excited to see Jacare - hoping for some crazy submission

I dunno I haven't seen a lot of Rockhold fights, but from what I remember he had his hands full striking with Jacare, who dropped him once or twice. He won that fight by doing a bunch of fancy kicks that did little to no damage but put in lots of volume against a gassed Jacare.

Seems like if he had problems with Jacares striking, Vitor should blast him into oblivion. I think Rockholds really only advantage his cardio and it being 5 rounds.

Super simplistic view because I've only seen Rockhold fight twice, but with my limited info that's my take on it.

Also TRT Belfort has looked like a beast. He showed no signs of slowing down against Bisping.

trt belfort

I remember the Rockhold/Jacare fight being close. I think Vitor has the edge here, since he's on TRT and is fighting in Brazil, where he's more famous than Anderson iirc. I think in terms of fame in Brazil, Anderson is behind Wanderlei/Vitor/Big Nog, iirc.

Luke could win the fight, which is why I'm gonna live bet after round 1. I'm just sick of betting against Vitor and he wins early in the fight.

Also, Luke only has 2 TKO's in his 11 fights. One of the TKO's was against Keith "Glass" Jawdine, and the other was against some random fighter. He does have 6 submission wins, but those were against random guys, and Vitor has only been submitted 1 time since 2005, which was against Jon Jones, who muscled that submission against a fading Vitor.

Anyway, I don't really give a shit who wins this fight, I'm just trying to avoid losing money. I like them about the same. If it goes to a decision, I wouldn't be surprised to see Vitor win it, but I don't think this fight will get past round 3.

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Luke Rockhold VS Keith Jardine
http://www.fights4all.com/tags/luke-rockhold-vs-keith-jardine/

Luke Rockhold VS Jesse Taylor
http://www.fights4all.com/tags/luke-rockhold-vs-jesse-taylor/

Cory Devela VS Luke Rockhold
http://www.fights4all.com/tags/cory-devela-vs-luke-rockhold/

Luke Rockhold VS Tim Kennedy
http://www.fights4all.com/tags/luke-rockhold-vs-tim-kennedy/

really excited for dos anjos. think hes a bet. they are similar fighters, but RDA is just slightly better everywhere and i dont think dunham has good upset tools for this fight and think skill wins out a high %.

also think rockhold beats belfort. hes just a superior fighter. belfort is really dangerous so id never lay a big line against him, but a line about even i feel good about

On May 14 2013 16:04 Daut wrote: really excited for dos anjos. think hes a bet. they are similar fighters, but RDA is just slightly better everywhere and i dont think dunham has good upset tools for this fight and think skill wins out a high %. also think rockhold beats belfort. hes just a superior fighter. belfort is really dangerous so id never lay a big line against him, but a line about even i feel good about

Yesterday, I took Dos Anjos by decision at +125.

I don't see Dunham winning this unless he can get the submission, which is kind of funny cuz Dunham's submission prop was at +3000 yesterday, pretty crazy.

how is Erick silva not on a brazil card.. that blows my mind.

On May 14 2013 16:34 handbanana21 wrote: how is Erick silva not on a brazil card.. that blows my mind.

On May 14 2013 15:03 PuertoRican wrote: I remember the Rockhold/Jacare fight being close. I think Vitor has the edge here, since he's on TRT and is fighting in Brazil, where he's more famous than Anderson iirc. I think in terms of fame in Brazil, Anderson is behind Wanderlei/Vitor/Big Nog, iirc.

not really, they are seen more like a legends, and maybe the old mma fans like them more
but definitely Anderson Silva is much more famous

for now im betting Souza ITD, his last fights he fought very agressive, this fight been a huge missmatch I think he KO or Submit really quick, thinking about betting under 1.5 rounds, but not sure
Rockhold by decision is much much much better than Rockhold straight win, but still thinking about that

On May 14 2013 16:55 drone666 wrote: Show nested quote + On May 14 2013 15:03 PuertoRican wrote: I remember the Rockhold/Jacare fight being close. I think Vitor has the edge here, since he's on TRT and is fighting in Brazil, where he's more famous than Anderson iirc. I think in terms of fame in Brazil, Anderson is behind Wanderlei/Vitor/Big Nog, iirc. not really, they are seen more like a legends, and maybe the old mma fans like them more but definitely Anderson Silva is much more famous for now im betting Souza ITD, his last fights he fought very agressive, this fight been a huge missmatch I think he KO or Submit really quick, thinking about betting under 1.5 rounds, but not sure Rockhold by decision is much much much better than Rockhold straight win, but still thinking about that

more on this: i think this was true before the vitor fight. since then anderson has really blown up in brazil. one way to tell is twitter followers:

big nog: 840k https://twitter.com/minotauroMMA
wand: 395k https://twitter.com/wandfc
vitor: 807k https://twitter.com/vitorbelfort
anderson: 3.4 million https://twitter.com/Spideranderson




probably posted a link to this before, but really interesting story of the secret hatred anderson had for vitor: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/w...anderson-silva-vitor-belfort-1529775/

what really made AS explode here and probably burker king as well was his burger king commercial lol

they ran a promotion if you spoke with a soft voice you would get a free ice cream with any order (something like that) was pretty funny
but ya AS is by far the most famous

Put a normal sized bet on Harcan Diaz as a small underdog vs Lentz. I have no idea why beating Nunes makes him a favourite against that Brazilian monster.

On May 16 2013 12:55 DustySwedeDude wrote: Put a normal sized bet on Harcan Diaz as a small underdog vs Lentz. I have no idea why beating Nunes makes him a favourite against that Brazilian monster.

dat brazilian wrestling

dias is clearly the better fighter, but lentz at 145 is just a bad matchup for a lot of guys who arent really good at neutralizing what he does. you might be right that hes still worth a bet, but before i bet im gonna listen to some podcasts of people who probably have seen more dias fights and know how he will fare better than i do

When you look at Lentz you see a dorky looking white guy with an average physique that plays Starcraft a lot and always has a dumb smug look on his face, however, he causes problems for a lot of fighters.

I bet Lentz at -180 and also got him yesterday at -120.

If I were to bet on Hacran, I'd bet him ITD as a hedge to my Lentz ML bets. If it goes to the distance, it's cuz Lentz imposed his will.

Belfort > Rockhold (Don't ask me why, It's just a feeling)
Dos Anjos > Dunham
Jacare > Camozzi

On May 17 2013 13:48 JonnyCosMo wrote: Belfort > Rockhold (Don't ask me why, It's just a feeling) Dos Anjos > Dunham Jacare > Camozzi

Thank you Cosmodamus.

Have some parlays with Rockhold which i now know are going to fail

Oh well have to bet on Belfort now.

^ Vitor has several positive* factors on his side, and people betting against him are banking mostly on him getting taken into deep waters and gassing out.

A good thing about Vitor is that he's always underrated by the bookies, so you can usually get him at a good price. He was still at +110 when I checked 3 hours ago.

Vitor is just so explosive, and I remember Rockhold struggling early against Jacare's explosiveness. When Rockhold weathered the storm, his cardio carried him to the decision.

I think Vitor is better than Jacare

- I'll be live betting the main card. If the Fuel TV card is available for live betting, I'll be live betting that as well.
- You can get Lentz at a much better price right now than what I got him on opening day.
- I'll be betting heavy on both Rafael Dos Anjos (ML) and Fabio Maldonado (ML), just waiting for the best line.
- I'll add a few more prop bets prior to each fight, still making last minute decisions. An example is Lineker ITD/KO.
- I have multiple parlays, but I'm not really excited in many of them, mostly long shots.
- I still stand by my original picks: + Show Spoiler +

Vitor Belfort $5.00 to win $5.50
Vitor Belfort wins in round 1 $2.50 to win $8.13
Jacare Souza wins by TKO/KO $2.50 to win $17.50
Rafael Dos Anjos wins by 3 round decision $12.31 to win $15.39
Nik Lentz $18.00 to win $12.50
Hacran Dias wins inside distance $5.00 to win $22.00
Francisco Trinaldo wins inside distance $5.25 to win $5.00
Fabio Maldonado/Roger Hollett Over 2½ $5.00 to win $5.00
Fabio Maldonado wins inside distance $5.00 to win $7.25
Prazeres/Thiago won't go 3 round distance $5.00 to win $7.25
Chris Cariaso $5.00 to win $7.75

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Prelims start in 1 hour and 55 minutes.

I think people are forgetting how Luke generally destroys people in the first round. Only two of his fights have gone the distance, all others were ended in the first round.

We shall see I guess what happens, but in my mind it's a great challenge for Luke right off the bat and sets him up nicely for a good run at the division with a win vs vitor in brazil.

^ Yeah, Luke has most of his wins coming back submission, but who were those wins against? Jesse Taylor is the most notable guy Luke has submitted, and Taylor gets submitted by anyone decent, even vs. some scrubs.

Lets start off by saying that Luke won't submit Vitor.
Now we have to rely on Luke's striking, which is good; however, he is more technical than he is powerful, which is why he won't be able to finish Vitor unless he drags the old man into rounds 3/4/5, which is when he'd be tired.

This is a great challenge for both guys, just don't think that Luke's submissions in the past have any bearing on this fight.

fb is only showing weigh ins...

Sick first round of the Martins/Larsen fight.

Martins vs. Larsen will be hard to beat for FOTN.

got a bet on Maldonado and a parlay of Vitor/Jacare/Rio but...

Lentz -130 for $260!

Sweet finish for Lineker. Goodnight ruskie!

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Fuel TV prelims: http://www.vipbox.tv/boxing/154594/1/...-prelims-only-live-stream-online.html

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I just upped by bet on Fabio Maldonado ITD. Maldonado and Dos Anjos are the two bets I'm most confident in.

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Upped my Thiago/Prazeres won't go 3 rounds bet.

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Jeez, I'm getting owned with my prop bets.

stream?

im 7-0 in bets, 6 of which i copied, but i bet on dos anjos and am hoping for a bad decision here lol

phew. def had it for dunham, thanks brazil judges

On May 18 2013 21:04 Daut wrote: im 7-0 in bets, 6 of which i copied, but i bet on dos anjos and am hoping for a bad decision here lol

same here have like 8 parlays with RDA and i was hoping for a "home" win lol, aaaaand i got it. Duhnam won 29-28 though.

I had Dos Anjos winning 29-28. Rounds 1 and 3.

Dos Anjos opened at +220 after round 2 on 5dimes.

On May 18 2013 21:04 Daut wrote: im 7-0 in bets, 6 of which i copied, but i bet on dos anjos and am hoping for a bad decision here lol phew. def had it for dunham, thanks brazil judges

I got raped in prop bets and I'm down money, but my ML bets have all been right.

nvm

jacare looked good

im 9-0 in bets now this event. unfortunately the only bets i picked of those were dos anjos (who probably lost), formiga (who got smashed in the 3rd round) and rockhold. hoping rockhold is a better theoretical choice than the first two

TRT Belfort is an animal WOW

BOOM! The Phemon motherfuckers, The Phenom!

well that was a whole minute worth staying up til 6 a.m for

fuck ya

cosmo ffs your god hahahah
i owe u lol

sick finish by belfort

On May 18 2013 21:50 CamilaPunt wrote: fuck ya cosmo ffs your god hahahah i owe u lol

Picking favorites is serious business.

Granted, Rockhold was the slight favorites, but like I already mentioned earlier in this thread, the bookies always underrate Vitor, which is why he's always a money maker for the bettors. The lines closed at -105 for both guys, so no favorites.

Hello Ted

Only ended up with $27 in profit after the event. I spent too much on prop bets that failed, although some of my long shot parlays won, like my 8-man Brazilian parlay.

As far as my picks went, I only got 1 wrong. Cariaso could have won that fight had he been as vicious in the 1st and 2nd round like he was in round 3.:

• Vitor Belfort > Luke Rockhold
• Ronaldo Souza > Chris Camozzi
• Rafael Dos Anjos > Evan Dunham
• Rafael Natal > Joao Zeferino
• Nik Lentz > Hacran Dias
• Francisco Trinaldo > Mike Rio
• Gleison Tibau > John Cholish
• Paulo Thiago > Michel Prazeres
• Yuri Alcantara > Iliarde Santos
• Fabio Maldonado > Roger Hollett
• John Lineker > Azamat Gashimov
• Chris Cariaso > Jussier Formiga
• Lucas Martins > Jeremy Larsen

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Next week is UFC 160, so I'll tighten up my bets on that one.

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from the silva fight to now, TRT doesnt help or anything

On May 19 2013 11:51 Daut wrote: from the silva fight to now, TRT doesnt help or anything

Nah man, thats just the Jesus swole.

^ I've noticed his face looking rougher and rougher each fight. You can see a big difference if you watch his interviews during both of those fights.

Not proud of that Dos Anjos call. Thought Dunham won 30-27 tbh.