DustySwedeDude   Sweden. May 16 2013 13:55. Posts 8623
Put a normal sized bet on Harcan Diaz as a small underdog vs Lentz. I have no idea why beating Nunes makes him a favourite against that Brazilian monster.
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Daut   United States. May 16 2013 14:03. Posts 8955
On May 16 2013 12:55 DustySwedeDude wrote:
Put a normal sized bet on Harcan Diaz as a small underdog vs Lentz. I have no idea why beating Nunes makes him a favourite against that Brazilian monster.
dat brazilian wrestling
dias is clearly the better fighter, but lentz at 145 is just a bad matchup for a lot of guys who arent really good at neutralizing what he does. you might be right that hes still worth a bet, but before i bet im gonna listen to some podcasts of people who probably have seen more dias fights and know how he will fare better than i do
NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, Daut
Last edit: 16/05/2013 14:04
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PuertoRican   United States. May 16 2013 15:10. Posts 13257
When you look at Lentz you see a dorky looking white guy with an average physique that plays Starcraft a lot and always has a dumb smug look on his face, however, he causes problems for a lot of fighters.
I bet Lentz at -180 and also got him yesterday at -120.
If I were to bet on Hacran, I'd bet him ITD as a hedge to my Lentz ML bets. If it goes to the distance, it's cuz Lentz imposed his will.
Rekrul is a newb
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JonnyCosMo   United States. May 17 2013 14:48. Posts 7292
Belfort > Rockhold (Don't ask me why, It's just a feeling)
Dos Anjos > Dunham
Jacare > Camozzi
Everyone needs to see that you are king of the castle - PoorUser
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PuertoRican   United States. May 17 2013 14:53. Posts 13257
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 17/05/2013 16:01
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HaiVan   Bulgaria. May 17 2013 20:29. Posts 2083
On May 17 2013 13:48 JonnyCosMo wrote:
Belfort > Rockhold (Don't ask me why, It's just a feeling)
Dos Anjos > Dunham
Jacare > Camozzi
Thank you Cosmodamus.
Have some parlays with Rockhold which i now know are going to fail
Oh well have to bet on Belfort now.
Poker chobo.
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PuertoRican   United States. May 17 2013 20:40. Posts 13257
^ Vitor has several positive* factors on his side, and people betting against him are banking mostly on him getting taken into deep waters and gassing out.
A good thing about Vitor is that he's always underrated by the bookies, so you can usually get him at a good price. He was still at +110 when I checked 3 hours ago.
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 17/05/2013 20:42
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JonnyCosMo   United States. May 18 2013 00:25. Posts 7292
Vitor is just so explosive, and I remember Rockhold struggling early against Jacare's explosiveness. When Rockhold weathered the storm, his cardio carried him to the decision.
I think Vitor is better than Jacare
Everyone needs to see that you are king of the castle - PoorUser
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PuertoRican   United States. May 18 2013 14:32. Posts 13257
- I'll be live betting the main card. If the Fuel TV card is available for live betting, I'll be live betting that as well.
- You can get Lentz at a much better price right now than what I got him on opening day.
- I'll be betting heavy on both Rafael Dos Anjos (ML) and Fabio Maldonado (ML), just waiting for the best line.
- I'll add a few more prop bets prior to each fight, still making last minute decisions. An example is Lineker ITD/KO.
- I have multiple parlays, but I'm not really excited in many of them, mostly long shots.
- I still stand by my original picks: + Show Spoiler +
• Vitor Belfort > Luke Rockhold
• Ronaldo Souza > Chris Camozzi
• Rafael Dos Anjos > Evan Dunham
• Rafael Natal > Joao Zeferino
• Nik Lentz > Hacran Dias
• Francisco Trinaldo > Mike Rio
• Gleison Tibau > John Cholish
• Paulo Thiago > Michel Prazeres
• Yuri Alcantara > Iliarde Santos
• Fabio Maldonado > Roger Hollett
• John Lineker > Azamat Gashimov
• Chris Cariaso > Jussier Formiga
• Lucas Martins > Jeremy Larsen
Vitor Belfort $5.00 to win $5.50
Vitor Belfort wins in round 1 $2.50 to win $8.13
Jacare Souza wins by TKO/KO $2.50 to win $17.50
Rafael Dos Anjos wins by 3 round decision $12.31 to win $15.39
Nik Lentz $18.00 to win $12.50
Hacran Dias wins inside distance $5.00 to win $22.00
Francisco Trinaldo wins inside distance $5.25 to win $5.00
Fabio Maldonado/Roger Hollett Over 2½ $5.00 to win $5.00
Fabio Maldonado wins inside distance $5.00 to win $7.25
Prazeres/Thiago won't go 3 round distance $5.00 to win $7.25
Chris Cariaso $5.00 to win $7.75
----------
Prelims start in 1 hour and 55 minutes.
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 18/05/2013 14:39
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Svenman87   United States. May 18 2013 14:45. Posts 4636
I think people are forgetting how Luke generally destroys people in the first round. Only two of his fights have gone the distance, all others were ended in the first round.
We shall see I guess what happens, but in my mind it's a great challenge for Luke right off the bat and sets him up nicely for a good run at the division with a win vs vitor in brazil.
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PuertoRican   United States. May 18 2013 15:46. Posts 13257
^ Yeah, Luke has most of his wins coming back submission, but who were those wins against? Jesse Taylor is the most notable guy Luke has submitted, and Taylor gets submitted by anyone decent, even vs. some scrubs.
Lets start off by saying that Luke won't submit Vitor.
Now we have to rely on Luke's striking, which is good; however, he is more technical than he is powerful, which is why he won't be able to finish Vitor unless he drags the old man into rounds 3/4/5, which is when he'd be tired.
This is a great challenge for both guys, just don't think that Luke's submissions in the past have any bearing on this fight.
Rekrul is a newb
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Stim_Abuser   United States. May 18 2013 16:33. Posts 7499
fb is only showing weigh ins...
Hey Im slinging mad volume and fat stackin benjies I dont got time for spellin n shit - skinny pete
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PuertoRican   United States. May 18 2013 16:44. Posts 13257
Sick first round of the Martins/Larsen fight.
Rekrul is a newb
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PuertoRican   United States. May 18 2013 16:52. Posts 13257
Martins vs. Larsen will be hard to beat for FOTN.
Rekrul is a newb
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EvilSky   Czech Republic. May 18 2013 17:16. Posts 8918
got a bet on Maldonado and a parlay of Vitor/Jacare/Rio but...
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Nazgul   Netherlands. May 18 2013 17:38. Posts 7080
Lentz -130 for $260!
You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo
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PuertoRican   United States. May 18 2013 17:49. Posts 13257