UFC 159: Jones vs. Sonnen

Date: Saturday, April 27th
Preliminary Card (Facebook): 18:00 LP.net / 4pm PST / 7pm EST Facebook stream
Preliminary Card (FX): 19:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Main Card Time (PPV): 21:00 LP.net / 7pm PST / 10pm EST
Live Streams: Prelims are Live on FX & Facebook/YouTube - http://www.vipbox.tv (All MMA events are listed under the UFC button. Press the UFC button and you'll see the event in the list.)





Main Card (PPV)

Jon Jones (17-1) vs. Chael Sonnen (27-12-1) (Light Heavyweight Championship)
Michael Bisping (23-5) vs. Alan Belcher (18-7) (Middleweight)
Roy Nelson (18-7) vs. Cheick Kongo (18-7-2) (Heavyweight)
Phil Davis (10-1) vs. Vinny Magalhaes (10-5) (Light Heavyweight)
Jim Miller (22-4) vs. Pat Healy (29-16) (Lightweight)

Preliminary Card (FX)

Bryan Caraway (13-4) vs. Johnny Bedford (19-9-1) (Bantamweight)
Ovince St. Preux (12-5) vs. Gian Villante (10-3) (Light Heavyweight)
Sara McMann (6-0) vs. Sheila Gaff (10-4-1) (Women's Bantamweight)
Rustam Khabilov (15-1) vs. Yancy Medeiros (9-0) (Lightweight)

Preliminary Card (Facebook)

Leonard Garcia (15-10-1) vs. Cody McKenzie (13-3) (Featherweight)
Nick Catone (9-4) vs. James Head (9-3) (Welterweight)
Steven Siler (21-10) vs. Kurt Holobaugh (9-1) (Featherweight)

Other

- Jimy Hettes was expected to face Steven Siler at the event; however, Hettes was forced out of the bout with an injury and replaced by Kurt Holobaugh.
- Joe Proctor was expected to face Al Iaquinta at the event. However, the bout was scrapped as both fighters sustained training injuries leading up to the fight.
- Erik Perez was scheduled to face Johnny Bedford, but acquired staph infection in the leg and had to bow out. Bryan Caraway stepped in and took the fight on 6 days notice.

----------

These are my gun-to-the-head UFC 159 picks, prior to doing any research. I'm sticking with most of these picks though.

• Jon Jones > Chael Sonnen
• Michael Bisping > Alan Belcher
• Roy Nelson > Cheick Kongo
• Phil Davis > Vinny Magalhaes
• Jim Miller > Pat Healy
• Erik Perez > Johnny Bedford
• Ovince St. Preux > Gian Villante
• Sara McMann > Sheila Gaff
• Rustam Khabilov > Yancy Medeiros
• Leonard Garcia > Cody McKenzie
• James Head > Nick Catone
• Kurt Holobaugh > Steven Siler

yey

the promo with the lame cover of we will rock you might be the worst in the history of the UFC

^ It also looked like a Jon Jones highlight video instead of a UFC promo video.

Man what a beating Shogun took, I feel sorry for him every time i see scenes from that fight lol =[

Easy bets on Jones, Phil Davis, Jim Miller and Roy Nelson. Not sure about Bisping.

BTW I think Erik Perez is out of this event.

Bryan Caraway replaces an injured Erik Perez, and will face Johnny Bedford this Saturday.

Jon Jones > Chael Sonnen
Michael Bisping > Alan Belcher
Roy Nelson > Cheick Kongo
Phil Davis > Vinny Magalhaes
Jim Miller > Pat Healy

Good overall card.

Going to wait for CosmoDamus to make his predictions, because you know, i like money.

sonnen drawing dead yes barring some freak accident and jon jones slips and breaks his neck during the fight or his knee decides it not longer wants to be functional and just explodes out of his leg.

Everybody says they're going to get inside and pressure Jones. Sonnen will be the first to actually do it. It's just so tough for Sonnen in a 5 round fight because he doesn't have the ability to finish Jones, so he's going to have to win 3 rounds. If Jones uses his offensive wrestling and puts Sonnen on his back then he'll probably finish in the 1st. If he goes on the defensive and tries to sprawl and brawl then Sonnen has a chance.

Man I really dont think Sonnen is drawing dead at all, not saying Im gonna bet on him but think he will give Jones some problems

I agree that Sonnen will be the first to get on the inside to pressure Jones, so at least that will be interesting to see.


ONE TIME CHAEL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

lol sonnen

gotten to

On April 22 2013 20:19 SleepyHead wrote: gotten to

He's just mad cuz Sonnen exposed the Nogueira brothers, when they thought a bus was a horse and started feeding it a carrot and petting it.

+ Show Spoiler +

Really excited to see Phil Davis again :D

biggest thing that stands out to me is pat healy. hes +265 and he should be about 40-50% to win. guy is very very good

some other big favorites win an insane amount of the time (90%+) and should be bet

Yea I thought so too about Healy so put a small bet on him.

Not sure about the other fights yet. Tempted to by the Sonnen odds just due to random factors including TRT, weight cuts, Jones not striking me as mentally as good etc. However, the fact still stands that Jones is a much better fighter.

I bet the over 1.5 rounds prop for the Jones/Sonnen and Nelson/Kongo fights. One was -170, the other was -130.

On April 23 2013 10:10 PuertoRican wrote: I bet the over 1.5 rounds prop for the Jones/Sonnen and Nelson/Kongo fights. One was -170, the other was -130.

Those odds on Jones vs Sonnen are amazing. On 5Dimes it is -260 to start in round 2 and I was considering that.

I have Bisping -155 for $387.50, then Nelson vs Kongo to go to decision +185 and Kongo to win +195.

Also have Jones -823.

On April 23 2013 10:39 Nazgul wrote: Show nested quote + On April 23 2013 10:10 PuertoRican wrote: I bet the over 1.5 rounds prop for the Jones/Sonnen and Nelson/Kongo fights. One was -170, the other was -130. Those odds on Jones vs Sonnen are amazing. On 5Dimes it is -260 to start in round 2 and I was considering that. I have Bisping -155 for $387.50, then Nelson vs Kongo to go to decision +185 and Kongo to win +195. Also have Jones -823.

Yeah, I was lucky to get my bet in on the over 1.5 rounds for both fights when I did.

I just saw that the Jones/Sonnen o1.5 rounds jumped from -170 to -260 in less than a day.

I have $50 on Jones/Sonnen o1.5 rounds at -170. $20 on Nelson/Kongo o1.5 rounds at -135, and another of the same bet at -145.

Also, if you think the fight will go to a decision, I'd only bet on "goes to a decision @ +185" and "Kongo wins by decision @ +426," cuz what we are saying by placing this bet is:

1. Roy Nelson is having a hard time landing his big overhand right.
2. Kongo is hitting and moving, keeping Nelson moving a lot, which will get the fat man tired after awhile.
3. Kongo has gotten better at wrestling, mostly in that he can hold people against the cage and grind out a win if necessary.
4. Nelson slows down as the fight progresses. I wouldn't say he gases like other have said, but he does noticeably slow down. Having Kongo micro around the octagon and throwing shots, then clinching when he sees a good spot, means that Kongo will win a decision.

If you actually think about it, how would Nelson win a decision? If he's winning the fight, it will be because he landed more strikes, which usually means he'll get the KO/TKO. If it goes to a decision, that means Nelson wasn't able to force his game plan on Kongo.

Lastly, if it does go to a decision, I see Kongo winning the fight by using his height and reach to stay on the outside, and then clinching against the cage when needed. This will become easier for Kongo if he can not get knocked out and take it to round 3, cuz Kongo is favored to win that round for the reasons already mentioned. Kind of like a Condit vs. Diaz strategy, mixed with clinches against the cage.

Sonnen winning by decision is +1050 on 5dimes

Saw someone post this a little bit ago:

Jones/Sonnen ends itd 400 to win 100
Not jones itd 100 to win 400

It's basically win 400 if sonnen finishes jones, break even otherwise.

On April 23 2013 15:14 PuertoRican wrote: Saw someone post this a little bit ago: Jones/Sonnen ends itd 400 to win 100 Not jones itd 100 to win 400 It's basically win 400 if sonnen finishes jones, break even otherwise.

So it's break even...

lol 0.45-0.48 his head xD that is new.

BTW I just made my bets:

Parlay: Jim Miller, Jon Jones and Phil Davis (-111)
Nelson wins by KO/TKO (+130)

Only two bets

Im the reason Waldo is hiding

push the buy button lol

Can someone explain what you mean with -100 or +100?

-100 means you'd have to bet 100 to win, +100 would be bet 100 to win 200.... I think?

-800 would mean you have to bet 800 to win 100.

I think Vinny Magalhaes will win

@puerto
2. Kongo is hitting and moving, keeping Nelson moving a lot, which will get the fat man tired after awhile.

-kongo hits and moves, but its USUALLY backwards until he reaches the cage, then he escapes laterally. So roys chances of dropping a bomb on kongos chin is very high. And theres no fear of kongos power because he boxes off his back foot (lol french people). Which means that he can go in for the double jab, get right in kongos chest, and drop a bomb when kongo retreats.

On April 25 2013 10:18 handbanana21 wrote: @puerto 2. Kongo is hitting and moving, keeping Nelson moving a lot, which will get the fat man tired after awhile. -kongo hits and moves, but its USUALLY backwards until he reaches the cage, then he escapes laterally. So roys chances of dropping a bomb on kongos chin is very high. And theres no fear of kongos power because he boxes off his back foot (lol french people). Which means that he can go in for the double jab, get right in kongos chest, and drop a bomb when kongo retreats.

This would require Nelson actually knowing how to box, which he doesn't.

I don't see Kongo winning unless he can clinch enough to go to a decision. However, I think that he knows where he's at in his career and needs to avoid trading with Nelson, which means he will play it safe at least in the first round, which is when Nelson is most dangerous.

I can see a KO/TKO for Nelson, but I don't think it will come in the first round. All I need is for the fight to get for at least 7.5 minutes, and then I win my bet. I also have a small bet on Kongo by decision.

UFC 159 Countdown: Jones vs. Sonnen
+ Show Spoiler +

UFC 159 Countdown: Miller vs. Healy
+ Show Spoiler +

UFC 159 Countdown: Davis vs. Magalhaes
+ Show Spoiler +

betsafe odds are 1.11 for Jones and 6.85 for Sonnen .. isnt it kinda +ev to bet for Sonnen there

----------

Mother of Phil Davis' child claims Davis choked her during sex as she plead for him to stop; threatened to kill her.

http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2013/4/26/...lent-sex-child-custody-choke-threaten

Weigh-ins start in 1 hours and 5 minutes. (15:00 LP.net)

Bispings constant attempt to talk shit during stare downs to help sell fights sucks.

lol wtf why is Chael drinking a coke-a-cola after the weigh ins?

Chael is awesome, one time please!

http://youtu.be/owuSqAcR5-A?t=41s

LOL 45 seconds

what about it.......

On April 26 2013 18:27 Jamie217 wrote: what about it.......

Jones smacks the security guard in the back of the head when he reaches his arms out.

On April 26 2013 16:16 Stim_Abuser wrote: Bispings constant attempt to talk shit during stare downs to help sell fights sucks. lol wtf why is Chael drinking a coke-a-cola after the weigh ins? Chael is awesome, one time please!

probably coz he gets paid

It's crazy to think Chael has a 1 in 10 shot to become the LHW champion, it would be so hilarious. Imagine all the talking he would do, and then a rematch with Jones or a superfight with Anderson!

A friend of mine told me that Silva will drop down to LHW so they can have a fight with Jones is that correct? I m new to the scene so I really dont know any of the meta going on

nothing is set, might be jones going up, but still some time for that to happen

Head vs. Catone is cancelled. Catone missed weight and then went to the hospital for dehydration.

----------

UFC 159 single bets (prior to short notice bets and live bets)

+ Show Spoiler +

bets: holobaugh 1u, healy .2u, bisping 1u, jones 4u

Stupid Holobaugh with the fail judo throw... Kid needs to work on his boxing too.

if only the judo fail was his only stupid moment. Those guillotines were braindead

God damn, what a joke Garcia is...

Brown belt my ass.

lol poor guy

ye they left him there in the center and noone said anything xD

Yeah, dumb hippy thought Rogan was going to interview him.

I guess he doesn't watch the Facebook fights, cuz they never interview those guys.

----------

lmao...

Referee: Can you see?
Villante: No.
Referee: Fights over.
Villante: What, wait! I can see!

wtf ref

I thought he was asking for his 5 minutes which you have when you get kicked in the balls... dont know if those are granted for an eye poke though

I think this is a No Conest, because the accident happened in the first round.

Would be nice of Khabilov got the win though...

----------

YES! I was wrong and I got the win, sweet~

Rustam Khabilov $44.00 to win $20.00
Rustam Khabilov $127.50 to win $68.92
Rustam Khabilov $37.00 to win $20.00
Rustam Khabilov wins inside distance $10.30 to win $10.00
Rustam Khabilov wins inside distance $15.00 to win $21.45

----------

Main card: http://www.vipbox.tv/boxing/150841/1/...nes-vs-sonnen-live-stream-online.html

LOOOOOOL

am I the only one getting lag on vipsports streams? it's unwatchable

holy fk ROY NELSON!

not your best day puerto

On April 27 2013 22:22 MysticJoey wrote: not your best day puerto

The worst day I've ever had in UFC bets. I've lost hundreds more on this card by live betting.

oi, what happend, i have no sound, am at some crappy pay 2 euro for 25 min lobby pc lol, io oi, how exciting

oj, blood coming out

Damn, sucks for Belcher. They said he already had surgery on that eye, now he's bleeding out of it from an eye poke... Ouch.

Is Joe saying anything cool¿

"Can't wait to see you in the ocatagon again!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"

dat outfit :D

Anyone who bet Bisping by decision, ended up losing their bet, even the result was a technical decision.

The bookies count it as "in the distance" instead of a decision.

----------

lmao... Of course Chael would lose in the first round... What a fucking night this has been.

Awh, ye, sick one sided, jones too much, way to much for him

usj, would have been sick with a "miracle" xD

fuck

broken toe interview ftw lol

Jones' broken toe.

+ Show Spoiler +

Damn thats nasty.

Damn i need cable. These free streams are impossible on an android phone

On April 27 2013 23:31 HaiVan wrote: Jones' broken toe. + Show Spoiler + Damn thats nasty.

Here's the .gif image:

+ Show Spoiler +

----------

Dana White: Roy Nelson vs. Daniel Cormier or Roy Nelson vs. Mark Hunt, if Hunt beats JDS.

guess with all the promotion Sonnen had no time to prepare for the real fight ....
Hope Nelson gets Cormier. Cormier will punish him hard

Well, I won like 200 USD on Healy, so that's nice. Rest of event was so-so. A couple of fun KO's.

Id love to see Hunt vs Nelson but it seems really shitty for Hunt after beating JDS, should give him a fight with BF/Cain.

if Chael would have resist 27 more seconds he would be the champion : O.
Cant fucking believe Jim Miller lost, at least I won the bet of Nelson winning by KO/TKO.

That gif is soooo nasty, literally looks like it exploded