UFC 159: Jones vs. Sonnen - Page 2

I bet the over 1.5 rounds prop for the Jones/Sonnen and Nelson/Kongo fights. One was -170, the other was -130.

On April 23 2013 10:10 PuertoRican wrote: I bet the over 1.5 rounds prop for the Jones/Sonnen and Nelson/Kongo fights. One was -170, the other was -130.

Those odds on Jones vs Sonnen are amazing. On 5Dimes it is -260 to start in round 2 and I was considering that.

I have Bisping -155 for $387.50, then Nelson vs Kongo to go to decision +185 and Kongo to win +195.

Also have Jones -823.

On April 23 2013 10:39 Nazgul wrote: Show nested quote + On April 23 2013 10:10 PuertoRican wrote: I bet the over 1.5 rounds prop for the Jones/Sonnen and Nelson/Kongo fights. One was -170, the other was -130. Those odds on Jones vs Sonnen are amazing. On 5Dimes it is -260 to start in round 2 and I was considering that. I have Bisping -155 for $387.50, then Nelson vs Kongo to go to decision +185 and Kongo to win +195. Also have Jones -823.

Yeah, I was lucky to get my bet in on the over 1.5 rounds for both fights when I did.

I just saw that the Jones/Sonnen o1.5 rounds jumped from -170 to -260 in less than a day.

I have $50 on Jones/Sonnen o1.5 rounds at -170. $20 on Nelson/Kongo o1.5 rounds at -135, and another of the same bet at -145.

Also, if you think the fight will go to a decision, I'd only bet on "goes to a decision @ +185" and "Kongo wins by decision @ +426," cuz what we are saying by placing this bet is:

1. Roy Nelson is having a hard time landing his big overhand right.
2. Kongo is hitting and moving, keeping Nelson moving a lot, which will get the fat man tired after awhile.
3. Kongo has gotten better at wrestling, mostly in that he can hold people against the cage and grind out a win if necessary.
4. Nelson slows down as the fight progresses. I wouldn't say he gases like other have said, but he does noticeably slow down. Having Kongo micro around the octagon and throwing shots, then clinching when he sees a good spot, means that Kongo will win a decision.

If you actually think about it, how would Nelson win a decision? If he's winning the fight, it will be because he landed more strikes, which usually means he'll get the KO/TKO. If it goes to a decision, that means Nelson wasn't able to force his game plan on Kongo.

Lastly, if it does go to a decision, I see Kongo winning the fight by using his height and reach to stay on the outside, and then clinching against the cage when needed. This will become easier for Kongo if he can not get knocked out and take it to round 3, cuz Kongo is favored to win that round for the reasons already mentioned. Kind of like a Condit vs. Diaz strategy, mixed with clinches against the cage.

Sonnen winning by decision is +1050 on 5dimes

Saw someone post this a little bit ago:

Jones/Sonnen ends itd 400 to win 100
Not jones itd 100 to win 400

It's basically win 400 if sonnen finishes jones, break even otherwise.

On April 23 2013 15:14 PuertoRican wrote: Saw someone post this a little bit ago: Jones/Sonnen ends itd 400 to win 100 Not jones itd 100 to win 400 It's basically win 400 if sonnen finishes jones, break even otherwise.

So it's break even...

lol 0.45-0.48 his head xD that is new.

BTW I just made my bets:

Parlay: Jim Miller, Jon Jones and Phil Davis (-111)
Nelson wins by KO/TKO (+130)

Only two bets

Im the reason Waldo is hiding

push the buy button lol

Can someone explain what you mean with -100 or +100?

-100 means you'd have to bet 100 to win, +100 would be bet 100 to win 200.... I think?

-800 would mean you have to bet 800 to win 100.

I think Vinny Magalhaes will win

@puerto
2. Kongo is hitting and moving, keeping Nelson moving a lot, which will get the fat man tired after awhile.

-kongo hits and moves, but its USUALLY backwards until he reaches the cage, then he escapes laterally. So roys chances of dropping a bomb on kongos chin is very high. And theres no fear of kongos power because he boxes off his back foot (lol french people). Which means that he can go in for the double jab, get right in kongos chest, and drop a bomb when kongo retreats.

On April 25 2013 10:18 handbanana21 wrote: @puerto 2. Kongo is hitting and moving, keeping Nelson moving a lot, which will get the fat man tired after awhile. -kongo hits and moves, but its USUALLY backwards until he reaches the cage, then he escapes laterally. So roys chances of dropping a bomb on kongos chin is very high. And theres no fear of kongos power because he boxes off his back foot (lol french people). Which means that he can go in for the double jab, get right in kongos chest, and drop a bomb when kongo retreats.

This would require Nelson actually knowing how to box, which he doesn't.

I don't see Kongo winning unless he can clinch enough to go to a decision. However, I think that he knows where he's at in his career and needs to avoid trading with Nelson, which means he will play it safe at least in the first round, which is when Nelson is most dangerous.

I can see a KO/TKO for Nelson, but I don't think it will come in the first round. All I need is for the fight to get for at least 7.5 minutes, and then I win my bet. I also have a small bet on Kongo by decision.

UFC 159 Countdown: Jones vs. Sonnen
+ Show Spoiler +

UFC 159 Countdown: Miller vs. Healy
+ Show Spoiler +

UFC 159 Countdown: Davis vs. Magalhaes
+ Show Spoiler +

betsafe odds are 1.11 for Jones and 6.85 for Sonnen .. isnt it kinda +ev to bet for Sonnen there

----------

Mother of Phil Davis' child claims Davis choked her during sex as she plead for him to stop; threatened to kill her.

http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2013/4/26/...lent-sex-child-custody-choke-threaten