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Almebeast   Sweden. Oct 25 2012 05:57. Posts 797

^Just want to say +1 to the above. I did the calculations a few days ago and got the same result, but was too lazy to type it on the computer.

I can add that if you happen to dislike geometric series for some reason, you can find probability to win in scenario A in a different way, which is kind of neat imo =). Let Pbg denote the probability of black winning when black is HU with gray, and black is about to shoot. Pgb is the prob of black winning when gray is about to shoot.

Pbg = 1/3 + 2/3*Pgb
Pgb = 1/3*Pbg

Solving the above 2x2 system of equations yields Pbg = 3/7, Pgb = 1/7.

After all is said and done, more is said than done. 

HotChip   Iceland. Oct 25 2012 09:57. Posts 146


  On October 25 2012 01:20 Art.Cascade wrote:
Oh, I like these! Let me add two of my favourites.

8. Many will have heard this, but we can't miss out on the Monty Hall problem:
You are in a game show, and can choose between 3 closed boxes. One of them contains a car, the other two are empty. You pick box number 1. The show leader then opens box number 2, and it is empty. The show leader then presents you with the option to switch to box number 3. Should you switch?



+ Show Spoiler +




  9. An hour glass with all the sand in the bottom is places on a very accurate scale. The hour glass is turned and the sand start flowing down. Does the scale show more, less or same as before?



+ Show Spoiler +

All war is based on deception - Sun Tzu 

NewbSaibot   United States. Oct 25 2012 21:46. Posts 4952

What weighs more a pound of quarters or a pound of feathers lololol

bye now 

TheHuHu3   United States. Oct 26 2012 11:58. Posts 5544

lololo

TheHuHu4 coming soon :) 

dnagardi   Hungary. Oct 27 2012 16:39. Posts 1779

Acting on an anonymous phone call, the police raid a house to arrest a suspected murderer. They don't know what he looks like but they know his name is John and that he is inside the house. The police bust in on a carpenter, a lorry driver, a mechanic and a fireman all playing poker. Without hesitation or communication of any kind, they immediately arrest the fireman. How do they know they've got their man?


Spicy   United States. Oct 27 2012 18:03. Posts 1027


  On October 27 2012 15:39 dnagardi wrote:
Acting on an anonymous phone call, the police raid a house to arrest a suspected murderer. They don't know what he looks like but they know his name is John and that he is inside the house. The police bust in on a carpenter, a lorry driver, a mechanic and a fireman all playing poker. Without hesitation or communication of any kind, they immediately arrest the fireman. How do they know they've got their man?



+ Show Spoiler +


dnagardi   Hungary. Oct 28 2012 03:30. Posts 1779


  On October 27 2012 17:03 Spicy wrote:
Show nested quote +



+ Show Spoiler +




no, they dont


kingpowa   France. Oct 28 2012 09:37. Posts 1525


  On October 27 2012 15:39 dnagardi wrote:
Acting on an anonymous phone call, the police raid a house to arrest a suspected murderer. They don't know what he looks like but they know his name is John and that he is inside the house. The police bust in on a carpenter, a lorry driver, a mechanic and a fireman all playing poker. Without hesitation or communication of any kind, they immediately arrest the fireman. How do they know they've got their man?


+ Show Spoiler +

sorry for shitty english. 

dnagardi   Hungary. Oct 28 2012 15:16. Posts 1779


  On October 28 2012 08:37 kingpowa wrote:
Show nested quote +


+ Show Spoiler +




correct


Rapoza   Brasil. Oct 28 2012 15:32. Posts 1612

--- Nuked ---

Pouncer Style 4 the win 

bigredhoss   Cook Islands. Oct 28 2012 17:38. Posts 8649

quarters i think

Truck-Crash Life 

bigredhoss   Cook Islands. Oct 28 2012 17:39. Posts 8649

unless there's a trick

Truck-Crash Life 

SolarM   Germany. Oct 28 2012 20:47. Posts 533


  On October 28 2012 16:38 bigredhoss wrote:
quarters i think



Not sure if serious


jeffv8x_-_16   Belgium. Oct 28 2012 20:55. Posts 2835

1) A girl sees with her own eyes how a man murders two people and then burns down their house.
Why doesn't she call the police?

2) The boss of a softwarecompany is murdered. Four employees have a clear motive.
While being interrogated they are recorded saying;

Bart: It was Tom.
Tom: It was Erik.
Stefan: It definitely wasn't me.
Erik: Tom is lying if he claims it was me.

Only one of these men is speaking the truth. Who killed the boss?

how can u shove the river, he cant possibly call with worse -TalentedTom 

bigredhoss   Cook Islands. Oct 28 2012 21:41. Posts 8649


  On October 28 2012 19:47 SolarM wrote:
Show nested quote +



Not sure if serious


whatever dude i gave it a shot

Truck-Crash Life 

Art.Cascade   Australia. Oct 28 2012 22:26. Posts 41


  On October 28 2012 19:55 jeffv8x_-_16 wrote:
1) A girl sees with her own eyes how a man murders two people and then burns down their house.
Why doesn't she call the police?

2) The boss of a softwarecompany is murdered. Four employees have a clear motive.
While being interrogated they are recorded saying;

Bart: It was Tom.
Tom: It was Erik.
Stefan: It definitely wasn't me.
Erik: Tom is lying if he claims it was me.

Only one of these men is speaking the truth. Who killed the boss?


2) + Show Spoiler +


Art.Cascade   Australia. Oct 28 2012 22:32. Posts 41

And another of my favourites, from TL actually.

100 damn smart and organised prisoners. The guards set up a room, with 100 boxes, and place the (unique) name of all prisoner in the boxes. The guard collect one prisoner at a time from his cell to the room with boxes, and let the prisoner open 50 of the 100 boxes, one after the other. If any prisoner fails to find his own name in any of the 50 boxes he opens, then all the prisoners are killed. If all prisoners manage to find their name in the 50 tries, then they all go free. They have time to prepare a strategy before the box-opening starts, but once the first prisoner is in the room opening boxes, no more communication between the prisoners is possible. The prisoners do not know in which order they will be called in the room, and the guards set up the room in the exact same way for each prisoner.

How can the prisoners maximise their chances to get free?

hint: they can get well above 10%.

 Last edit: 29/10/2012 00:38

Rapoza   Brasil. Oct 29 2012 00:17. Posts 1612

--- Nuked ---

Pouncer Style 4 the win 

Art.Cascade   Australia. Oct 29 2012 00:35. Posts 41


  On October 28 2012 23:17 Rapoza wrote:
Show nested quote +


+ Show Spoiler +



I knew I should have been clearer!
The guards prepare the room in the exact same way for each prisoner. There is no way for them to communicate once they started opening boxes. And the prisoners don't get to choose in what order they enter the room.

I'll edit to be more clear, sorry.


Rapoza   Brasil. Oct 29 2012 00:38. Posts 1612

--- Nuked ---

Pouncer Style 4 the win 

 
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