AA hand against tight player

Villian here is 11/8 over about 150 hands. This line looks kind of strong to me and I don't know if I should fold or call.

Submitted by : K40Cheddar

***** Hand History for Game 23495617111 ***** (Full Tilt)
$10.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Monday, August 30, 08:39:16 ET 2010
Table Mach 10 (Real Money)
Seat 9 is the button
Seat 1: Tokoloshe1 ( $5.58 USD )
Seat 2: Keeperocards ( $10.05 USD )
Seat 3: hooksvsbird ( $10.00 USD )
Seat 4: nicoquirce ( $7.55 USD )
Seat 5: ohmboy ( $4.00 USD )
Seat 6: Shugana ( $12.90 USD )
Seat 7: xiaoma65 ( $13.17 USD )
Seat 8: jontejay ( $1.19 USD )
Seat 9: K40cheddar ( $10.15 USD )
Tokoloshe1 posts small blind $0.05 USD.
Keeperocards posts big blind $0.10 USD.

Holecards
Dealt to K40cheddar
hooksvsbird folds
nicoquirce folds
ohmboy folds
Shugana folds
xiaoma65 folds
jontejay folds
K40cheddar raises $0.40 USD
Tokoloshe1 folds
Keeperocards calls $0.30 USD

Flop (Pot : $0.85)

   
Keeperocards checks
K40cheddar bets $0.70 USD
Keeperocards calls $0.70 USD

Turn (Pot : $2.25)

   
Keeperocards checks
K40cheddar bets $2.00 USD
Keeperocards raises $8.95 USD
K40cheddar

i would fold very very fast.

i would fold faster than zulu.

i'd fold slower than both of you

I'd timebank fold because fuck him.

i'd timebank shove because fuck money.

I would take my time and then probably fold.

Why are you making quick decisions. Think and react.

Just to help a beginner out, can someone explain their thought process for this hand? Are we assuming that most 11/7 nits will 3bet overpairs, or would not raise the turn bet in position?

Which hands are valuebetting here, given a 11 VPIP. Are 89 and 67 possible, or are we just worried about sets?

I think the basic assumption is that a tight player would almost always call with a hand like a flushdraw/9x and never turn these hands into semi-bluffs.

On the other hand he will shove almost every hand that beats us (like 88, 89, 67 etc.)

On August 31 2010 13:58 Gim wrote: Just to help a beginner out, can someone explain their thought process for this hand? Are we assuming that most 11/7 nits will 3bet overpairs, or would not raise the turn bet in position? Which hands are valuebetting here, given a 11 VPIP. Are 89 and 67 possible, or are we just worried about sets?

pretty much what spasticink said. nits aren't taking a whole lot of hands to the turn and the hands we beat are 1pair type hands that he isn't going to be raising with.

On August 31 2010 13:58 Gim wrote: Just to help a beginner out, can someone explain their thought process for this hand? Are we assuming that most 11/7 nits will 3bet overpairs, or would not raise the turn bet in position? Which hands are valuebetting here, given a 11 VPIP. Are 89 and 67 possible, or are we just worried about sets?

Sets only, never 89/67.

realize that he has you beat here 100% of the time.

ur equity in this hand is probably somewhere between 0% and 5%

doesn't look like the odds are in your favor. Unless you're corellian.

On August 31 2010 14:34 Zalfor wrote: realize that he has you beat here 100% of the time. ur equity in this hand is probably somewhere between 0% and 5% doesn't look like the odds are in your favor. Unless you're corellian.

nice reference

this kid has a set just fold

he might have 89s/67s in his range if he's a good nit. Also 11/8 over 150 hands can become much looser over a larger sample, but yea if he can bluff/semi-bluff here he would be a pretty sick nit.

u guys srs? I suck

On August 31 2010 18:39 sTrAtO wrote: u guys srs? I suck

are you considering calling? bcuz i sort of am. might be bad though i dunno.

i would shove cacth and A on the river like barry greenstein

Not a fan of snap folding in these positions. More of a fan of tank folding with no other info.

fold pf, just to be on the safe side

dont listen to any of these assholes here. reraise.