Set vs CR all in River

Villain is regular i guess

Submitted by : JohnnyBologna

***** Hand History for Game 40302206335 ***** Poker Stars
$5000.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, February 25, 07:22:22 ET 2010
Table Baillauda II Real Money
Seat 4 is the button
Seat 2: Hero $11532.00 USD
Seat 4: Killer_ooooo $5740.00 USD
Seat 5: nanonoko $11934.00 USD
Seat 6: skier_5 $6015.00 USD
nanonoko posts small blind [$25.00 USD].
skier_5 posts big blind [$50.00 USD].

Holecards
Dealt to Hero [ ]
Hero raises [$150.00 USD]
Killer_ooooo folds
nanonoko folds
skier_5 calls [$100.00 USD]

Flop (Pot : $325.00)

   
skier_5 checks
Hero bets [$200.00 USD]
skier_5 calls [$200.00 USD]

Turn (Pot : $725.00)

   
skier_5 checks
Hero bets [$550.00 USD]
skier_5 calls [$550.00 USD]

River (Pot : $1,825.00)

   
skier_5 checks
Hero bets [$1350.00 USD]
skier_5 raises [$5115.00 USD]
Hero folds
skier_5 wins $3765.00 USD
skier_5 wins $4523.00 USD from main pot

***** Hand History for Game 40302791926 ***** Poker Stars
$5000.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, February 25, 07:37:25 ET 2010
Table Baillauda II Real Money
Seat 4 is the button
Seat 2: Hero $5200.00 USD
Seat 4: Killer_ooooo $12157.00 USD
Seat 5: nanonoko $10309.00 USD
Seat 6: skier_5 $8659.00 USD
nanonoko posts small blind [$25.00 USD].
skier_5 posts big blind [$50.00 USD].

Holecards
Dealt to Hero [ ]
Hero raises [$150.00 USD]
Killer_ooooo folds
nanonoko folds
skier_5 calls [$100.00 USD]

Flop (Pot : $325.00)

   
skier_5 checks
Hero bets [$250.00 USD]
skier_5 calls [$250.00 USD]

Turn (Pot : $825.00)

   
skier_5 checks
Hero bets [$600.00 USD]
skier_5 calls [$600.00 USD]

River (Pot : $2,025.00)

   
skier_5 checks
Hero bets [$1550.00 USD]
skier_5 raises [$7659.00 USD]
Hero folds
skier_5 wins $6109.00 USD
skier_5 wins $5123.00 USD from main pot

edit: i dunno what i jsut wrote, its late here sorry

This is really read dependent so if hes one of those regs which facing a 3 barrel will never call but just fold or jam whatever he has hoping to get you to fold anything but the nuts the last thing you should do is go for thin value and fold to a shove imo, either check back or b/c. Again maybe this guy would just call and never bluff but it does seem to be a line of thought a lot of regs share. The second time Id def look him up there, I mean hes repping like only 77/7Ts or he misplayed a set earlier on, and if anything you want to prevent him from potentially exploiting you like this and you not being able to go for thin value.

i want to call first fold 2nd

reasoning:

first looks way more like hes turning a hand into a bluff vs you than exactly Txhh/KJhh

second is a tough board for you to 3 barrel so i think he will give you respect here and not c/r without a monster, plus its also hard for him to rep much so i think he may take that into account and not c/r light

I 100% agree with Daut. Good job numba one!

I also know hand 2 is a snap snap fold vs skier but that's from exp

shudnt we be careful with our river value bets against this particular opponent if he always folds/crai rivers?

So weird, I think i share sides with evilskys
For hand number one what hands do you think he turns into a bluff? I can only think of Ax one pair hands.

Having no real history or reads with skier, i felt too tight checking these hands back on river... If i check back river on hand number two I have to check back JJ+ on rivers which doesn't really help balance my 3 barrel range. However, checking back river or looking up eventually doesn't sound half bad now.