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King high flush vs loose passive player

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Nacta   Denmark. Feb 01 2010 20:28. Posts 97

guys is running at 59/9/1.6 over 56 hands. He seem to insta call with draws, and the way he insta called when my flush hit made me think he might have the ace.
Can I ever call here?

also I should probably have bet more on each street, oh well...

Submitted by : Nacta

PokerStars Game #39093448093: Holdem No Limit ($0.10/$0.25 USD) - 2010/02/02 2:12:40 CET [2010/02/01 20:12:40 ET]
Table Alcor IV 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: schrANK111 ($62.25 in chips)
Seat 2: Hero ($107.30 in chips)
Seat 3: MJallDAY20 ($24.40 in chips)
Seat 4: alejandroM ($8.90 in chips)
Seat 5: blackhorse84 ($29.80 in chips)
Hero: posts small blind $0.10
MJallDAY20: posts big blind $0.25

Holecards
Dealt to Hero JhKh
alejandroM: folds
blackhorse84: folds
schrANK111: folds
Hero: raises $0.50 to $0.75
MJallDAY20: calls $0.50

Flop (Pot : $1.50)

   Qh7hKc
Hero: bets $1
MJallDAY20: calls $1

Turn (Pot : $3.50)

   Qh7hKc4h
Hero: bets $2.50
MJallDAY20: calls $2.50

River (Pot : $8.50)

   Qh7hKc4h5h
Hero: bets $6
MJallDAY20: raises $14.15 to $20.15 and is all-in
Hero:

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FU MODS, WHY ARE YOU CHANGING MY SIG!?!!Last edit: 01/02/2010 20:32

Jonoman92   United States. Feb 01 2010 20:52. Posts 280

yea you should get more on each street. As for the river.... that sucks lol. I really can't see him having anything but an Ah.

~~sMi.Arcology SC For Life! 

Nacta   Denmark. Feb 01 2010 21:01. Posts 97

How much should I have bet?... and yes the river sucked, it tilted the shit out of me .

FU MODS, WHY ARE YOU CHANGING MY SIG!?!! 

Nacta   Denmark. Feb 01 2010 21:02. Posts 97

I wanna know, because I'm really working on my bet sizes lately.

FU MODS, WHY ARE YOU CHANGING MY SIG!?!! 

joLin   United States. Feb 01 2010 21:16. Posts 3818

just pot the flop and turn.

river bet is a bit thin but might be ok im not sure. i'd prob bet smaller though and when he shoves its a very very easy fold.

YoUr_KiLLeR @ TL 

joLin   United States. Feb 01 2010 21:24. Posts 3818

in general vs these types of opponents just bet humungous whenever you have it.

YoUr_KiLLeR @ TL 

vlseph   United States. Feb 01 2010 21:24. Posts 3026

also 4x pre so you can get bigger flop turn river pot sizes too
think river is bet/fold.

The only hands a nit balances in his range are the nuts, the second nuts, and the third nuts. 

waga   United Kingdom. Feb 01 2010 21:43. Posts 2375

sizing is fine , wtf ?
except river bet , versus this kind of player c/f river seems superior.
If you wanna vbet , 1/2 pot / fold is fine.


Sanai   United States. Feb 01 2010 23:54. Posts 643

What Ah could he have here?


vlseph   United States. Feb 02 2010 00:05. Posts 3026


  On February 01 2010 20:43 waga wrote:
sizing is fine , wtf ?
except river bet , versus this kind of player c/f river seems superior.
If you wanna vbet , 1/2 pot / fold is fine.



you're losing a lot of value if you think sizing is fine vs someone playing almost 60/10.

The only hands a nit balances in his range are the nuts, the second nuts, and the third nuts. 

joLin   United States. Feb 02 2010 01:08. Posts 3818


  On February 01 2010 22:54 Sanai wrote:
What Ah could he have here?


any of them, hes 60/10. dont level yourself into trying to assign him a range here.

YoUr_KiLLeR @ TL 

waga   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2010 01:31. Posts 2375

Our sample is only 56 hands.
Our only info postflop is "vilain is passive"
If vilain is a station I bet more , if not , sizing is fine.
Actually he's a station (He don't fold Ah flop ) but it's a info we don't have before this hand.
There is a lot of fish , every fish are not station


joLin   United States. Feb 02 2010 01:36. Posts 3818

if he has a hand that hes calling $1 on the flop with, hes calling $1.25.

YoUr_KiLLeR @ TL 

AznFisherman   United States. Feb 02 2010 03:41. Posts 956

his bet-sizing is fine
river just sucks, what can you do but fold


joLin   United States. Feb 02 2010 05:05. Posts 3818

if you think his bet sizing is fine you need to reevaluate the way you value bet these 60/10 fish. youre losing a ton of value in this spot.

YoUr_KiLLeR @ TL 

luddite   United States. Feb 02 2010 05:10. Posts 398


  On February 02 2010 00:36 joLin wrote:
if he has a hand that hes calling $1 on the flop with, hes calling $1.25.


I really dislike this kind of thinking. By that logic you could just as well say "he he has a hand that he's calling $1.25 with, he's calling$1.50". Of course there's a very small chance that a 1bb increase will make him fold, but it could. Increasing your bet size always increases the chance that he'll fold. The trick in value betting is to find that sweet spot that maximizes chance to call* amount.

that being said, 1.50 or maybe even 2.00 would probably be better.

 Last edit: 02/02/2010 05:22

4kinggenius   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2010 07:13. Posts 317

just value bet the shit out of him and when he plays back at you on a board like this you know your behind. +ev long tem

NL1K is only ever one drink away...... 

joLin   United States. Feb 02 2010 08:08. Posts 3818

obviously its only true up to a certain bet sizing, after which our fold equity will be too high with every bb increase in bet sizing.

YoUr_KiLLeR @ TL 

4Kingell   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2010 08:43. Posts 1453

joLin is absolutely right imo. Betting 2/3 pot with the virtual nuts Vs fish is burning money. Bet more = more value = simples. The times that the extra big blind forces a fold is way more compensated by the times they call. I do think if they call $1 they will call $1.25 and will almost always call pot - obviously there is a balance there but 2/3 pot is way below the tipping point.

If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles. Sun Tzu  

SpasticInk   Sweden. Feb 02 2010 11:12. Posts 6298

yeah bet a bit more.

i like river bet

now fold


SpasticInk   Sweden. Feb 02 2010 11:14. Posts 6298

but you played it fine, dont worry


iverson2k2k   Canada. Feb 02 2010 12:19. Posts 475

i think u played it fine. Sure u coulda bet a bit more on the flop / turn. Anyways...I would throw something at the screen, and fold.

You see...whenever I start feeling sick...I just stop being sick...and be awesome instead...true story... 

Critterer   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2010 13:31. Posts 5337


  On February 02 2010 04:05 joLin wrote:
if you think his bet sizing is fine you need to reevaluate the way you value bet these 60/10 fish. youre losing a ton of value in this spot.

LudaHid: dam.ned dam.ned dam.ned. LudaHid: dam.ned northwooden as..hole 

Critterer   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2010 13:34. Posts 5337

u think he calls $1 on flop but folds for $1.50? $2? $2.50 even?

ur giving urself way too much fold equity if u think this is good. u wanna be able to 3barrel AI vs passive fish, they are not often going to raise you instead just call call call, and if ur only putting in 40-50bb instead of 100 then ur losing out on 50-60bb...

these are the spots that are costing you the most money, bet sizing wrongly, standard stuff that you dont notice because hey u won half a buyin pretty goood.

as for the hand itself meh fold

LudaHid: dam.ned dam.ned dam.ned. LudaHid: dam.ned northwooden as..hole 

waga   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2010 13:49. Posts 2375

I've played this kind of fish yesterday , nl 200 €
very loose pre , passive postflop.
I've won a lot of money with my cbet and multibarrel 66% pot because he was really tight postflop.
It would be stupid to bet more.

60/10 =! station ...


joLin   United States. Feb 02 2010 13:54. Posts 3818


  On February 02 2010 12:49 waga wrote:
I've played this kind of fish yesterday , nl 200 €
very loose pre , passive postflop.
I've won a lot of money with my cbet and multibarrel 66% pot because he was really tight postflop.
It would be stupid to bet more.

60/10 =! station ...


one example doesnt disprove the generalization. if you had no read on a 60/10 player's postflop play, what is your default assumption?

YoUr_KiLLeR @ TL 

waga   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2010 14:06. Posts 2375

without read postflop I assume he will fold a lot.
So I don't want him to fold when I have semi nuts ...

He plays a lot of hands => he doesn't hit often => he fold a lot.
Again , fish =! station


Critterer   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2010 14:31. Posts 5337

i think its a horrible assumption to think a 60/10 is likely to fold a lot postflop.

seriously seriously so horrible...

LudaHid: dam.ned dam.ned dam.ned. LudaHid: dam.ned northwooden as..hole 

waga   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2010 14:42. Posts 2375

Well I've asked to a high stake player , for him sizing is good.
I guess it's not that horrible ...


rozyboy   Israel. Feb 02 2010 17:03. Posts 298

he has 6h8h alot here.

recently switched from weak tight to weak agressive. 

NewbSaibot   United States. Feb 02 2010 18:45. Posts 4952

I think he has an ace high flush!

bye nowLast edit: 02/02/2010 18:46

 



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