400nl - straight on the river

2/4 euro. He's 19/16/2.3 after 460 hands. Is it ok to bet/fold on the river or c/c line would be better ? I haven't seen him making stupid bluffs I think
[it doesn't show euro sign somehow, don't know why]
Submitted by : Gawuss

BossMedia Game #1399305185: Table Table TH 835 - amp;#8364;2.00/amp;#8364;4.00 - No Limit Hold'em - 00:51:17 - 2009/01/09
Seat 5: Hero (€818.50)
Seat 2: Alekhine7 (€428.10)
Seat 3: plz_fold? (€266.25)
Seat 4: Morgia (€76.00)
Hero posts the small blind of €2.00
Alekhine7 posts the big blind of €4.00
Morgia is the button

Holecards
Dealt to Hero
plz_fold? raises €11.50
Morgia calls €11.50
Hero calls €11.50
Alekhine7 folds

Flop (Pot : $0.00)

   
Hero checks
plz_fold? checks
Morgia checks

Turn (Pot : $0.00)

   
Hero bets €24.00
plz_fold? calls €24.00
Morgia folds

River (Pot : $0.00)

   
Hero bets €56.00
plz_fold? goes all-in with €230.75
Hero ???

this is a tough spot. but if you guys havn't really been splashing around we can prolly fold here.

i think like Kx or a weak 4 will check back a lot on this river so we should be bet/folding here i likey. he's never raising you without a very strong hand in this spot just how strong depends how he views you but in general it's more towards some wierd flush or a boat but unlikely.

actually for just 50 bb's i'd prolly snap here. those weird #'s confused me ;(

turn bet looks small after a long long glance at what the friggin numbers mean
On the river we're calling what, 174.5 to win 372.25, so just over 2:1? So do you think he bluffs uh... 1/3rd of the time here for it to be a breakeven call? I'm not sure on my math, so someone should double check it.

btw I'm not thrilled about the pf call with the short stack there. I'd much prefer squeezing and getting it in vs the shorty since you can probably figure to be way ahead of the short stack's range. ATs should be ahead of most 19/16's CO opening range too

yea id squeeze and get it in vs shortie.