NL25 FR combo draw vs reggish

Ok, I don't have any history with this guy but he seems reggish.

We are 120 or so BB deep. I am not sure if I am ever getting folds if I push, and I don't think calling is really an option.

I don't think calling is ever an option. What about you guys? I'm leaning towards a toss up of push or fold?

Submitted by : terrybunny19240

PokerStars Game #22244128878: Hold'em No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2008/11/21 18:14:54 ET
Table 'Vibilia' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 2: xialito ($7.05 in chips)
Seat 3: Holla_AK ($34.90 in chips)
Seat 4: night2o1 ($32.30 in chips)
Seat 5: PTGui ($4.30 in chips)
Seat 6: MrSkill210 ($24.75 in chips)
Seat 7: thaashark ($25.85 in chips)
Seat 8: SENORSEXY ($31.55 in chips)
Seat 9: Gizmo OWL ($14.80 in chips)
MrSkill210: posts small blind $0.10
thaashark: posts big blind $0.25
wuschel289: sits out

Holecards
Dealt to night2o1
SENORSEXY: folds
Gizmo OWL: folds
xialito: folds
Holla_AK: raises $0.50 to $0.75
night2o1 : raises $2.25 to $3
PTGui: folds
MrSkill210: folds
thaashark: folds
Holla_AK: calls $2.25

Flop (Pot : $6.35)

   
Holla_AK: checks
night2o1 : bets $5
Holla_AK: raises $10 to $15

I pokerstoved what I think is a realistic range vs most here.

I also should have some fold equity if he's ever out of line here, say 5% of the time, so is it an ez shove?

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

29,700 games 0.005 secs 5,940,000 games/sec

Board: Jd Td 4h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.764% 44.67% 00.09% 13268 27.00 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 55.236% 55.14% 00.09% 16378 27.00 { TT+, 44, JTs, JTo }


BTW taking out JTo/s changes my equity upwards by a tiny amount, so don't complain that JT isn't realistic after a 3bet Plus, it kind of is since we are slightly deep and he might convince himself its ok.

Does he need to have you beat here like always ?!

All I can I say is... don't fold and there is your answer !!!

Imo, he doesn't have 44 and JT, I am not sure I wouldn't flat a 3-bet with it out of position if they guy wasn't out of line much and everything... Plus I think that some people can do this with worse draws here like maybe KQo and he might have AJo or whatever, I don't know...

Just shove already and hope to hit one of your gazillion outs when called.

Like, shoving is never-ever bad here, like... EVER...

On November 21 2008 17:39 Kilay wrote: Does he need to have you beat here like always ?! All I can I say is... don't fold and there is your answer !!! Imo, he doesn't have 44 and JT, I am not sure I wouldn't flat a 3-bet with it out of position if they guy wasn't out of line much and everything... Plus I think that some people can do this with worse draws here like maybe KQo and he might have AJo or whatever, I don't know... Just shove already and hope to hit one of your gazillion outs when called.

Of course I shibbity jibbity jammed it in. Infact after I thought to pokerstove it I think this thread is pointless.

Maybe it'll help genjix or something.

(Thanks though, lol I just realized this thread is dumb is all. I was originally curious because I have a gutshot instead of OESD here)

Oh also, I would sometimes flat 44 to a 3bet here if we were 175bb+ deep. I don't think its too terrible?

I wouldn't in this spot, but this guy might not be as smart as me O_O

If he only had JJ here, it's still not very -EV to shove. This is always an auto instashove over his raise.

didn't want to make a new blog but

AHAH FUCKERS(nl25 e-dealers) I finally ran good at nl25, $80 in 550 hands

ok I feel better now

You flopped the nuts. This is toss up between push and call only because you're IP. I'm just responding to this so the lowstakes forum isn't dominated by Genjix's NL2 hands (no offense Genjix, I just need some cab fare hands instead of cheezeburger hands). I've been drinking too.

On November 21 2008 17:43 Night2o1 wrote: Oh also, I would sometimes flat 44 to a 3bet here if we were 175bb+ deep. I don't think its too terrible? I wouldn't in this spot, but this guy might not be as smart as me O_O

Don't flat 44 oop to a 3bet, imo.

Edit: I didn't read the second sentence... again, I've been drinking.