[25nl] call this river?

villain is 95/44 over 150 hands

Submitted by : domyouji

PokerStars Game #20001362276: Hold'em No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2008/08/29 - 21:26:52 (ET)
Table 'Siwa' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: littlesammy2 ($17 in chips)
Seat 2: Auguust ($23.95 in chips)
Seat 3: tonno84 ($56.20 in chips)
Seat 4: Mona_Lisa49 ($9.75 in chips)
Seat 5: cpm73 ($21.75 in chips)
Seat 6: Noblesville ($38.20 in chips)
Seat 7: vagatariannn ($82.15 in chips)
Seat 9: Omoiyou ($63.55 in chips)
Mona_Lisa49: posts small blind $0.10
cpm73: posts big blind $0.25

Holecards
Dealt to Omoiyou
Noblesville: folds
vagatariannn: calls $0.25
Omoiyou : raises $1 to $1.25
littlesammy2: folds
Auguust: folds
tonno84: folds
Mona_Lisa49: folds
cpm73: folds
vagatariannn: calls $1

Flop (Pot : $2.85)

   
vagatariannn: checks
Omoiyou : bets $2.25
vagatariannn: calls $2.25

Turn (Pot : $7.35)

   
vagatariannn: checks
Omoiyou : bets $6.25
vagatariannn: calls $6.25

River (Pot : $19.85)

   
vagatariannn: bets $60.25
Omoiyou : ?

do you think you're facing QQ/TT or a slowplayed set??

otherwise shove

He can't shove a shove Nightmare :D. Anyway, that's fucking easy ... I guess you called and he had a 3 ? The only hands this guy isn't playing is when he goes to get another drink :D hahaha rofl wtf ... Call and celebrate ;P

imo this can't be Qx or Tx or just absolute trash floating two streets turning hand into a bluff (i suspect Qx or Tx would happily check/call here). and with a pfr of 44 this is prob never TT or QQ or AA either and prob not even 66 (edit: maybe not even QT either).

but it depends... how does he play his premiums pre? does he ever slowplay and limp/call them? maybe he limp/calls a hand like QT preflop instead of raising? how does he play his missed draws? you tell me.. you saw him for 150 hands.

as far as i can tell, the range of hands here is like 3x, FD, Q6 and maybe QT, but you're paying ~50 bucks to win ~70 which means this has to be FD, QT, Q6 (or any other hands you beat in his perceived range) about 41% of the time for this call to break even:

-50x + 70y = 0
x + y = 1

x = .583
y = .417

i hope i did that right lol

you saw him for 150 hands so obv you're the one who can make the best decision given the odds.

On August 29 2008 19:10 Night[Mare] wrote: do you think you're facing QQ/TT or a slowplayed set?? otherwise shove

i think u didn't read the 90/44 part?

On August 29 2008 20:55 collegesucks wrote: imo this can't be Qx or Tx or just absolute trash floating two streets turning hand into a bluff (i suspect Qx or Tx would happily check/call here). and with a pfr of 44 this is prob never TT or QQ or AA either and prob not even 66 (edit: maybe not even QT either). but it depends... how does he play his premiums pre? does he ever slowplay and limp/call them? maybe he limp/calls a hand like QT preflop instead of raising? how does he play his missed draws? you tell me.. you saw him for 150 hands. as far as i can tell, the range of hands here is like 3x, FD, Q6 and maybe QT, but you're paying ~50 bucks to win ~70 which means this has to be FD, QT, Q6 (or any other hands you beat in his perceived range) about 41% of the time for this call to break even: -50x + 70y = 0 x + y = 1 x = .583 y = .417 i hope i did that right lol you saw him for 150 hands so obv you're the one who can make the best decision given the odds.

lol I play 20-24 tables so i'm kinda on autopilot, but when someone plays >90% of hands I think its worth a call

snap call

A 95/44 would do this with ATC

yea well I just wanted some opinions on this as my friend said this was not a good call but yea he flipped over 8 3 and i lost