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Baalim   Mexico. Jul 22 2008 18:57. Posts 34312


  On July 22 2008 11:41 Repusz wrote:
Rhaegar forbids them to read the forums and then look what happens... (j/k)



ROFL

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SpasticInk   Sweden. Jul 22 2008 19:03. Posts 6298

and brober a coinflip is still a coinflip no matter how much its in the pot.

its solely based on your chance of winning even if the pott is huge and your pot odds enormous


Baalim   Mexico. Jul 22 2008 19:08. Posts 34312

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Brobebrato   Bulgaria. Jul 22 2008 20:00. Posts 276


  On July 22 2008 17:50 SpasticInk wrote:
he should have used a better example to explain this concept (someone with a bit less equity than 48 %)

whatever.



That was my point in first place.

Anyway I'll give you an example to see if i'm the only one thinking this way.

We have 8s9s OTB EFS - 75 BB - EP opens 4xBB - fold to us - we flat - blinds fold.
Flop Ts6s2d - 1st ...EP c-bets 7.5 bb - we raise to 21 bb - he shoves and then he says he has KdKc (not lying etc) - pot odds 101.5 bb to 50bb making us ~48 % winner with close to EV of 1/4th of a full Bi.

Here we have combo draw and we decide to play it fast and raise his standart c-bet. His flop 3bet shove gives us more information and narrows his possible range and defines his hand (let's say 22,66, TT+ - making our EV +~14bb ~ 42% chance of winning) and we decide that's an easy + EV call.

2nd - same hand - but the EP guy shoves directly giving us 80.5 to 71 odds and then he again says only he has KK - this time our EV is ~ 0 BB.

Here he shoves on the flop - donk move to protect his hand which defines it more. He says he has kings, making our call break even in the long run and we fold if we run bad, not willing to take a flipament.

So - same hand, almost the same % of winning the hand(a bit less when he has Ks 2nd one) but two different angles.
Does anyone agree that the coin flip is only in the 2nd example bcuz our EV is =0 ? Or you think a coin flip depends on the % to win the hand and not the EV. I don't care if that's wrong or not, but I'm sure it's a better way to define what's a coin flip - judging by the EV in the situation.

p.s. Nice pic Baal :D haha

Fortes Fortuna Adiuvat  

Baalim   Mexico. Jul 22 2008 20:19. Posts 34312

So you are arguing his semantics?

I mean what he meant was that people should take a 48% to win in the turn if there is money already invested, its an extremely simple concept you are overanalizing it imo.

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sawseech   Canada. Jul 22 2008 21:55. Posts 3182

a coinflip is fiddy percentage

lets go fucking mental la la la la lets go fucking mental lets go fucking mental lala la la 

Misjka   Netherlands. Jul 22 2008 22:01. Posts 266


  On July 22 2008 19:00 Brobebrato wrote:
Show nested quote +



That was my point in first place.

Anyway I'll give you an example to see if i'm the only one thinking this way.

We have 8s9s OTB EFS - 75 BB - EP opens 4xBB - fold to us - we flat - blinds fold.
Flop Ts6s2d - 1st ...EP c-bets 7.5 bb - we raise to 21 bb - he shoves and then he says he has KdKc (not lying etc) - pot odds 101.5 bb to 50bb making us ~48 % winner with close to EV of 1/4th of a full Bi.

Here we have combo draw and we decide to play it fast and raise his standart c-bet. His flop 3bet shove gives us more information and narrows his possible range and defines his hand (let's say 22,66, TT+ - making our EV +~14bb ~ 42% chance of winning) and we decide that's an easy + EV call.

2nd - same hand - but the EP guy shoves directly giving us 80.5 to 71 odds and then he again says only he has KK - this time our EV is ~ 0 BB.

Here he shoves on the flop - donk move to protect his hand which defines it more. He says he has kings, making our call break even in the long run and we fold if we run bad, not willing to take a flipament.

So - same hand, almost the same % of winning the hand(a bit less when he has Ks 2nd one) but two different angles.
Does anyone agree that the coin flip is only in the 2nd example bcuz our EV is =0 ? Or you think a coin flip depends on the % to win the hand and not the EV. I don't care if that's wrong or not, but I'm sure it's a better way to define what's a coin flip - judging by the EV in the situation.

p.s. Nice pic Baal :D haha




How do you manage to fill my entire 15 inch with a post on a concept as simple as a coinflip with dead money in the pot?

Edit: P.S. this is actually the first time I quote someone without reading his post

 Last edit: 22/07/2008 22:03

SemPeR   Canada. Jul 22 2008 22:28. Posts 2288

love that pic.


[vital]Myth    United States. Jul 22 2008 23:47. Posts 12159

wtf?

a "coin flip" refers to the equity when the money goes in. if you have about 50% (heads-up) then it's a coinflip. 43% is probably an acceptable minimum equity to actually call something a coinflip

the action doesn't matter roflmao. even if you get allin preflop with 98ss against KK and the flop is Ts6s2d, now you're in a coinflip

what are you nerds talking about

Eh, I can go a few more orbits in life, before taxes blind me out - PoorUser 

[vital]Myth    United States. Jul 22 2008 23:49. Posts 12159

@ op:

you definitely do not understand what "coin flip" means if you are making these posts. go back and figure it out

Eh, I can go a few more orbits in life, before taxes blind me out - PoorUser 

LandisReed   United States. Jul 23 2008 00:33. Posts 134

another great point proving that poker isn't drying up...this thread is gold


PokerDoc88   Australia. Jul 23 2008 00:42. Posts 3527

mmmmmm i hope the next WSOP winner is a chinaman

he could induce a poker frenzy in china, a country with progressively increasing wealth and 1/6th the world population

the fish would come in droves XD


vegable   United States. Jul 23 2008 01:03. Posts 2453

yeah but thats not the problem, the government there have serious restrictions/censorship about this kind of stuff

Stir fry Normandy 

n0rthf4ce    United States. Jul 23 2008 02:27. Posts 8119


  On July 22 2008 22:47 [vital]Myth wrote:
wtf?

a "coin flip" refers to the equity when the money goes in. if you have about 50% (heads-up) then it's a coinflip. 43% is probably an acceptable minimum equity to actually call something a coinflip

the action doesn't matter roflmao. even if you get allin preflop with 98ss against KK and the flop is Ts6s2d, now you're in a coinflip

what are you nerds talking about



the real question is, does he have the KING OF SPADES?

www.cardrunners.com 

Repusz   Hungary. Jul 23 2008 03:47. Posts 1033


  On July 22 2008 18:08 Baal wrote:



ahaha :D


Funktion   Australia. Jul 23 2008 08:41. Posts 1638

Is this really a thread!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!!!?!?!?!?!?!?!???!??!?!?!?!?

Fuck me HE IS SAYING YOU ARE GETTING 2-1 ON A 50/50 PROPOSITION. MEANING ON A COINFLIP IF I WIN I GET 2 DOLLARS/CHIPS/CAMELS/WHATEVER IF YOU WIN YOU GET 1 DOLLAR.


LandisReed   United States. Jul 23 2008 09:14. Posts 134

can 65-35 be considered a coinflip?


killThemDonks   Canada. Jul 23 2008 10:39. Posts 2681


  On July 22 2008 23:42 PokerDoc88 wrote:
mmmmmm i hope the next WSOP winner is a chinaman

he could induce a poker frenzy in china, a country with progressively increasing wealth and 1/6th the world population

the fish would come in droves XD



lololololol


Repusz   Hungary. Jul 23 2008 12:05. Posts 1033


  On July 23 2008 08:14 LandisReed wrote:
can 65-35 be considered a coinflip?



Ultimate resources for this thread, helpful advisor in unveiling all the misteries of the topic including OP:

http://www.flip-coin.com/


Breeze   Bulgaria. Jul 23 2008 12:09. Posts 802



a real bulgarian train

so beautiful

My work is of high quality, cheap and fast. Pick only two of those though. 

 
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