J10 flush draw on Turn, decision

This hand is vs a nit, 12/8. All these super nits check a boat on the turn, do you think this is ever a call?

Submitted by : mrpav.com

PokerStars Game #18089039874: Hold'em No Limit ($1/$2) - 2008/06/12 - 13:42:33 (ET)
Table 'Spartacus' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: Nehekus ($765.30 in chips)
Seat 2: john 1997 ($85.15 in chips)
Seat 3: ==PAV== ($200 in chips)
Seat 4: Jmart150 ($188 in chips)
Seat 5: da_fulv ($206 in chips)
Seat 6: Weak Tite ($219.60 in chips)
Nehekus: posts small blind $1
john 1997: posts big blind $2

Holecards
Dealt to ==PAV==
==PAV== : raises $6 to $8
Jmart150: folds
da_fulv: folds
Weak Tite: folds
Nehekus: calls $7
john 1997: folds

Flop (Pot : $18.00)

   
john 1997 leaves the table
Nehekus: checks
==PAV== : bets $12
Nehekus: raises $27 to $39
==PAV== : calls $27

Turn (Pot : $96.00)

   
Nehekus: checks
==PAV== : checks

River (Pot : $96.00)

   
Nehekus: bets $718.30 and is all-in
pic-tout joins the table at seat #2
==PAV== said, "66 or 99?"
==PAV== said, "show"
==PAV== : ?

If the stats are over a decent sample and you havent been screwing with him, I think you should fold. What does an supernit call with OOB? Pocket pairs. Even if he has like AJ/AK, he's not open shoving when the flush hits.

He would fire another bet on the turn with AK-AQ-AJ, so nits love the check made boats, so i think 66/99 everyday here in my opinion or even the nut flush. I haven't been screwing with him.

fwiw I've seen Nehekus do some pretty retarded stuff
but ok this hand screams fold

Slam dunk fold.

Super easy fold by this guy. He definitely checks the turn with a boat here intending to check raise since you could def. have a strong ace (AK/AQ) a lot here.

His overbet shove is definitely in the hopes that you have a flush or three aces.

He's a decent hand reader so your hand looks a lot like a flush (calling the flop raise, taking the free card).

Definitely muck fast.

is that THE fgators? looool

obv ez fold why are you asking

fold