TT, top set

Villian is 26/10/1.5 over 250

I should be bombing the pot harder imo, but apart from that.. river as played?
He probably took ~3 seconds to shove (fast but not insta)


(~130 to call)


Submitted by : Siro

PokerStars Game #17432884743: Hold'em No Limit ($1/$2) - 2008/05/14 - 19:14:01 (ET)
Table 'Leontina IV' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 2: Pepper117 ($41 in chips)
Seat 3: jjbluewater ($210.65 in chips)
Seat 4: ariolis30 ($233.70 in chips)
Seat 5: KiWiKaKi ($222.25 in chips)
Seat 6: RFK44 ($339.55 in chips)
Seat 7: ba dum dum ($26 in chips)
Seat 8: diablo4824 ($229.70 in chips)
Seat 9: Sir0 ($200 in chips)
ariolis30: posts small blind $1
KiWiKaKi: posts big blind $2

Holecards
Dealt to Sir0
RFK44: folds
ba dum dum: folds
diablo4824: raises $4 to $6
Sir0 : calls $6
Pepper117: folds
jjbluewater: folds
ariolis30: folds
KiWiKaKi: folds

Flop (Pot : $15.00)

   
diablo4824: bets $6
Sir0 : raises $14 to $20
bobbyfinga joins the table at seat #1
diablo4824: calls $14

Turn (Pot : $55.00)

   
diablo4824: checks
Sir0 : bets $38
diablo4824: calls $38

River (Pot : $131.00)

   
diablo4824: bets $165.70 and is all-in

i cant fold this :S . im thinking hes shoving a weaker set here as often as 67/78. also i cant see a 10pfr guy open with something else as a PP/AQ+ from that position, but this could be a samplesize problem

doubt total air is in his range with that AF though

call

Call, what sevens calls you untill the river? Ah7h?

I think I'd fold and his most likely holding is 77. I find these overbets, especially at low limits, are very often for value. This is especially true when they donk out.

ur beat here like always

On May 14 2008 17:27 Forrest Gump wrote: Call, what sevens calls you untill the river? Ah7h?

what? there are like 234872394 hands that contain a 7 that call flop and turn, and he is not calling those 2 streets with a pair to later shove a dangerous river, he obv has the 7 here, he wouldnt play a set like that or anything.

Make your bet sizes planning on getting it allin by the river. You want like a 2/3 to 3/4 pot bet left on the river.

What to do on river.. I dunno really but I'm tempted to call. He raised preflop but only raises 10% of his hands. The only hand that beats you that's in his range is 77 imo. Does he call raises on the flop with 77? I duno he could have busted draws as well or be dumb and slowplayed something.

Full ring is gay.

Yeah as I said I hate my bet sizing here

I folded aswell, so no results either

Fold as played.
I think you are beat here like 120% of the time! And you need to win the pot 60% of the time to make it profitable.

On May 15 2008 02:52 Twisted wrote: Make your bet sizes planning on getting it allin by the river. You want like a 2/3 to 3/4 pot bet left on the river. What to do on river.. I dunno really but I'm tempted to call. He raised preflop but only raises 10% of his hands. The only hand that beats you that's in his range is 77 imo. Does he call raises on the flop with 77? I duno he could have busted draws as well or be dumb and slowplayed something. Full ring is gay.

ur thinking is incongruent there, i mean, you think since he is only 10% pfr he only could have 77, yet u mention busted draws which arent many besides overcards+fd, i dont think we should rely that much on their PF stats to define SO much his hand as 77, the way he played this screams 7x, and well... almost ANY 7x hand calls turn.

On May 15 2008 05:53 Med.Stud wrote: Fold as played. I think you are beat here like 120% of the time! And you need to win the pot 60% of the time to make it profitable.

you never need to win 60% of the time to make it profitable...

also I would not fold and I would raise to like, 24 on the flop, then bet like 46 on turn to make river allin a more natural bet.