Your variance (pokertracker stats)

1) PLO 25, 50, 100
2) 157k hands
3) 55bb/100

I'm surprised I would have thought it would be higher.

1) 400-1000nl 70% FR, 30% 6m
2) 240k hands
3) 43.6021 big bets / 100.

wish i knew what that meant.

1) 5/10 and 10/20 (90% 6max, 10% fullring)
2) 102k
3) 39 bb/100

1. NL25 - NL200
2. 273k
3. 38BB/10

On May 07 2008 12:47 CrownRoyal wrote: and obviously if you have a huge winrate you're pushing smaller edges to squeeze out that winrate so you're gonna have a bigger amount of short term variance (100 hands) This statistic seems useless at best to me because it doesn't really tell you anything

It shows you how tight you're playing, the tighter you play the lower your variance (i'm assuming). Also you can more or less infer the level of competition from this number. If you play a generally tight game but your variance is high it might mean you're sitting in a tough game. (Once again I'm just assuming this, using my shitty logic, which could be wrong). But if it's right I think it's pretty interesting and not at all useless.

nl100-600
300k+
~30bb/100

95988 hands
1/2 and some 2/4 6 max
48.6BB/100

nut peddling nits.....

On May 07 2008 12:46 CrownRoyal wrote: so in order to have a huge winrate you have to have higher variance? Why did someone say earlier in the thread that its better than have a low number?

You probably won't achieve a high winrate on higher stakes without having a high standard deviation, but for a given winrate, the smaller the deviation is, the better.

On May 07 2008 16:23 MaidenFan wrote: It shows you how tight you're playing, the tighter you play the lower your variance (i'm assuming).

That's only true to a certain extent. For example in the sample I posted, my SD was only at 31.1 for nl100, but I was playing a rather LAG style (at least for FR that is - stats around 19/15). I guess the level of competition plays a bigger role.

fucking lucksacks lol

.5/1 1/2 2/4 3/6 6m and same for hu, bulk of hands at 1/2 and 2/4 6max
176936 hands
57.22

NL50 - NL100 6max and FR.
37k hands
41.37bb

I don't play much though. What do the numbers mean? The higher the deviation, the greater the variance I'm guessing?

standard deviation squared = your variance so yes, the higher the more variance

explanation:

http://www.liquidpoker.net/pokerarticle/146441/The_bankroll_management_and_variance_guide

200nl - 1000nl
266k
42.8

NL 3/6 - 5/10 with a small amount (<5% SH/HU games)


243,282 hands
42.3109 BB/100 SD

2.89/100 winrate Catul can u work out my confidence & winrate?

At 95% confidence : 1.2 to 4.6
At 97% confidence : 1.0 to 4.8
At 99% confidence : 0.7 to 5.1

(that's assuming both are in PTBB)

ty

damnit i wish i'm not too lazy to fix my PT ;(

had a 10 buyin downswing a couple days and i have one of these at least once a month so i'm so goddamn curious on what my variance will look like