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JJ Overpair.. Turn ?? River??


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wobbly_au   Australia. Sep 20 2007 00:55. Posts 3633

Submitted by : wobbly_au

PokerStars Game #12161308646: Hold'em No Limit ($3/$6) - 2007/09/20 - 03:47:15 (ET)
Table 'Celaeno' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: jpapola ($520.50 in chips)
Seat 2: gl79 ($561 in chips)
Seat 3: BBSteeler ($797.70 in chips)
Seat 4: YAOMINGMING ($549 in chips)
Seat 6: Kelisitaan ($1733.25 in chips)
Seat 7: wobbly_au ($799.15 in chips)
Seat 8: Shazmeister ($740.65 in chips)
JayBizzle8 will be allowed to play after the button
jpapola: posts small blind $3
gl79: posts big blind $6
INTREPID FOX: sits out

Holecards
Dealt to wobbly_au JdJs
BBSteeler: calls $6
YAOMINGMING: calls $6
Kelisitaan: folds
wobbly_au : raises $30 to $36
Shazmeister: calls $36
jpapola: folds
gl79: folds
gl79 is sitting out
BBSteeler: calls $30
YAOMINGMING: folds

Flop (Pot : $123.00)

   4c5d3d
BBSteeler: checks
wobbly_au : bets $100
Shazmeister: folds
BBSteeler: calls $100

Turn (Pot : $323.00)

   4c5d3d4s
gl79 leaves the table
BBSteeler: bets $175
wobbly_au : calls $175

River (Pot : $673.00)

   4c5d3d4s9c
BBSteeler: bets $486.70 and is all-in



I have no strong reads vs the player, but i am tight aggressive and havent gotten out of line. His stats are 40/11/1.
I have one note which reads,

"Raise and then Call 3bet LP AKs floats AK high on the flop check behind later streets"


I felt his play was either the Nuts or air, i don't think a player with those stats wouldn't turn a PP like 66-TT into a bluff. I felt he woulda raised a set on the flop so him having a boat on this board is unlikely which is why i wanted to call despite his low aggression. His play on the flop and turn also indicates either a weaker PP or a FD.

My question is, what should i do on the turn with that read, and as played do I call river?

The one with the last laugh.Last edit: 20/09/2007 01:01

twotimesopt   United States. Sep 20 2007 01:10. Posts 2393

man, against a 1 AF I think it's very unlikely that we're ahead here

quit tryin to be a repo man - definitely -EV and negative expectancy - AvidGambler 

n0rthf4ce    United States. Sep 20 2007 01:43. Posts 6292

wow this is so close....i really feel like a call here is necessary simply b/c the board bricked out turn/river and that should be our plan anyways, since we played it so passively. bleh. hard to put him on a real hand tbh...

www.cardrunners.com 

casinocasino   Canada. Sep 20 2007 12:25. Posts 1654

this is how donks play low PP


casinocasino   Canada. Sep 20 2007 12:26. Posts 1654

this is like your beat 90% o the time.


pinbaLL    Sweden. Sep 20 2007 15:04. Posts 6291

I push on turn


He'd check/call with a set on the flop and then bet out when he hits full house?

all Im afraid of is a flopped straight


well this is fr maybe I should keep quiet. There is only 7 players though..

A full house...! Thats a concept mexicans should be quite familiar with, eh?! - T-bagLast edit: 20/09/2007 15:05

PoorUser    United States. Sep 20 2007 16:07. Posts 5629

agreed that 67 or a very unlikely 64 type of hand are your only concerns

Moneys gotta go in here 

Yugless    United States. Sep 20 2007 18:53. Posts 6911

this is a very passive player from my experience, the only hand we ever beat here is a busted fd and i think thats really unlikely. i like to fold on the turn here vs this guy

sry i ate your fish 

X T8Suited   Canada. Sep 20 2007 23:30. Posts 721

A4d is possible
but I only play 0.5/1


wobbly_au   Australia. Sep 21 2007 02:19. Posts 3633

He showed KdQd
I was sooo shocked..

The one with the last laugh. 

TianYuan    Sweden. Sep 21 2007 06:24. Posts 3777


  On September 21 2007 02:19 wobbly_au wrote:
He showed KdQd
I was sooo shocked..


Showed after you called or showed his bluff?

I thought it looked like a busted flushdraw but I didn't wanna comment since I play 1/2 not 3/6 :D
But now that I can disguise my comment as a question I will.

Hm.. Off-suite socks.. 

Twisted    Netherlands. Sep 21 2007 06:53. Posts 6942

Folding river here looks so bad. If you call turn, call river too.

Personally if you plan to put any more money in on the turn, just shove.


nolan   United States. Sep 21 2007 12:36. Posts 3930

i'll flat here a lot with your hand but it is almost always to induce a bluff from any diamond hand and call a non-diamond river.

i think this line is a busted FD more often than a boat. most people will not lead into you with a boat it doesnt make sense. you'll likely bet if you have a hand anyways and you'll most likely fold an A high / garbage hand so his line just doesnt make sense unless he thinks youre overaggressive which i doubt he thinks because he probably doesnt think at all.

On September 08 2008 10:07 F4Zi wrote: i dont practice table selection 

n0rthf4ce    United States. Sep 21 2007 14:55. Posts 6292

i think to narrow it down he has 5-4 or air, that combination 90% of the time.

www.cardrunners.com 

[vital]Myth    United States. Sep 21 2007 19:00. Posts 10343

if you were STUNNED to see KQdd...why did you even call on the turn lol

seriously, push or fold the turn, and i'm pretty sure i'm with yugless here about just folding the turn without a pretty good read...

BUT, this is a super important hand to make a note about, since you did see a showdown. many tight/passive players make the mistake of having a super-transparent style for their rare bluffs...and it looks like this guy's "style" of bluff is to take the betting lead away and just jam his money in oop.

Eh, I can go a few more orbits in life, before taxes blind me out - PoorUser 

wobbly_au   Australia. Sep 21 2007 19:18. Posts 3633

i folded and he showed bluff..

I called turn because i felt this villain was incapable of bluffing due to his stats but then the shove really looked like a bluff and it confused me..

The one with the last laugh. 

Yugless    United States. Sep 21 2007 21:11. Posts 6911


  On September 21 2007 19:18 wobbly_au wrote:
i folded and he showed bluff..

I called turn because i felt this villain was incapable of bluffing due to his stats


i dont get it

sry i ate your fish 

X lachlan   Australia. Sep 21 2007 21:25. Posts 5351

quiet yugless, this guy is a genius...

full ring is good 

wobbly_au   Australia. Sep 21 2007 22:11. Posts 3633


  On September 21 2007 21:11 Yugless wrote:
Show nested quote +


i dont get it

what dont u get?
i called turn for a cheap showdown.

The one with the last laugh. 

wobbly_au   Australia. Sep 21 2007 22:11. Posts 3633


  On September 21 2007 21:25 lachlan_fearn wrote:
quiet yugless, this guy is a genius...



no sir. u are the genius

The one with the last laugh. 

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