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UFC 191: Johnson vs. Dodson 2

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PuertoRican   United States. Aug 26 2015 07:15. Posts 13030

Date: Saturday, September 5th
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass): 23:59 LP.net / 4pm PST / 7pm EST
Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1): 1:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Main Card (PPV): 3:00 LP.net / 7pm PST / 10pm EST
Live Streams: http://firstrowus1.eu/




Main Card (PPV)

Demetrious Johnson (22-2-1) vs. John Dodson (17-6) (Flyweight Championship)
Andrei Arlovski (24-10) vs Frank Mir (18-9) (Heavyweight)
Anthony Johnson (19-5) vs. Jimi Manuwa (15-1) (Light Heavyweight)
Jan Blachowicz (18-4) vs. Corey Anderson (5-1) (Light Heavyweight)
Paige VanZant (5-1) vs. Alex Chambers (5-2) (Women's Strawweight)

Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1)

Ross Pearson (17-9) vs. Paul Felder (10-1) (Lightweight)
Francisco Rivera (11-4) vs. John Lineker (25-7) (Bantamweight)
Jessica Andrade (13-4) vs. Raquel Pennington (5-5) (Women's Bantamweight)
Clay Collard (14-6) vs. Tiago Trator (19-5-2) (Featherweight)

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Joe Riggs (40-16) vs. Ron Stallings (13-7) (Middleweight)
Joaquim Silva (7-0) vs. Nazareno Malegarie (23-3) (Lightweight)

Other

- Anthony Johnson was originally expected to face Jan Blachowicz on the card. However, Johnson was pulled from the bout on July 30 in favor of a fight with Jimi Manuwa at the event. In turn, Blachowicz will face The Ultimate Fighter 19 light heavyweight winner Corey Anderson.
- Raquel Pennington was initially expected to face Leslie Smith at UFC 192. However, Smith was forced to pull out of the event due to injury. Subsequently, Pennington was pulled from the card entirely in favor of a bout with former title challenger Liz Carmouche at this event. In turn, Carmouche pulled out of the fight just days after being added, citing injury and was replaced by Jessica Andrade. This fight will be a rematch, as Andrade beat Pennington via split decision at UFC 171.
- Andre Fili was expected to face Clay Collard at the event. However, less than one week after the bout was announced, Fili was forced out of the bout with injury and replaced by Tiago Trator.
- John Lineker is moving up to Bantamweight for this fight, as he missed weight at Flyweight too many times.

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Rekrul is a newbLast edit: 26/08/2015 07:20

PuertoRican   United States. Aug 26 2015 07:19. Posts 13030




----------

First impression of the match-ups:

• Johnson > Dodson
• Arlovski > Mir
• Johnson > Manuwa
• Anderson > Blachowicz
• PVZ > Chambers
• Felder > Pearson
• Rivera > Lineker
• Andrade > Pennington
• Collard > Trator
• Riggs > Stallings
• Malegarie > Silva

Rekrul is a newb 

Baalim   Mexico. Aug 26 2015 08:57. Posts 34246

It doesnt matter how much I try I simply dont care for these midgets fights

Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online 

alejandicto   . Aug 26 2015 16:52. Posts 865

Well I am betting 20 bucks on Dodson at +350 so that makes the fight a little more interesting.

 Last edit: 26/08/2015 17:06

TimDawg    United States. Aug 26 2015 22:37. Posts 10197

Mir v Arlovski should be good

online bob is actually a pretty smart person, not at all like the creepy fucker that sits in the sofa telling me he does nasty shit to me when im asleep - pinball 

traxamillion   United States. Aug 26 2015 22:45. Posts 10468

wanted to go all in when felder opened -250


Floofy   Canada. Aug 26 2015 22:48. Posts 8708


  On August 26 2015 07:57 Baalim wrote:
It doesnt matter how much I try I simply dont care for these midgets fights



Same for me, except maybe for cejudo who manages to spark some interest.

I think the lowest weight class should be 140

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

traxamillion   United States. Aug 26 2015 22:51. Posts 10468

big vanzant/felder/rumble/arlovski/DJ parlay

arlovski might blow it but we will see


Floofy   Canada. Aug 26 2015 23:08. Posts 8708


  On August 26 2015 21:51 traxamillion wrote:
big vanzant/felder/rumble/arlovski/DJ parlay

arlovski might blow it but we will see



never put money on a girl not named rousey for -1600 odds imo

I'm prolly gonna bet chambers if i can get +1300 or so

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;(Last edit: 26/08/2015 23:10

PuertoRican   United States. Aug 27 2015 00:06. Posts 13030

Regarding Chambers, it's a spot where it's submission or pass, not dog or pass. Chambers lacks the striking, power, activity, and wrestling to win a decision.

Chambers ITD is +1300. Her submission line isn't available yet.

Rekrul is a newb 

Floofy   Canada. Aug 27 2015 03:53. Posts 8708


  On August 26 2015 23:06 PuertoRican wrote:
Regarding Chambers, it's a spot where it's submission or pass, not dog or pass. Chambers lacks the striking, power, activity, and wrestling to win a decision.

Chambers ITD is +1300. Her submission line isn't available yet.



current ML odds are 1050. With 5dime reduced juice, it would be at least +1100

For your +1300 line to be a better choice than the +1100 ML, chambers needs to win ITD at least 85% of the time, when she does win. With all the horrible judging lately, i'm not sure thats the case.

james9994: make note dont play against floofy, ;( 

soberstone   United States. Aug 27 2015 04:33. Posts 2662

• Johnson > Dodson
• Arlovski > Mir
• Johnson > Manuwa
• Anderson v Blachowicz - Pk
• PVZ > Chambers
• Felder > Pearson
• Liniker > Rivera
• Pennington v Andrade - Pk
• Collard > Trator
• Stallings > Riggs
• Malegarie v Silva - No Clue, Couldn't Find Tape At All on Silva so Decided to Not even look into it

Bets:

+ Show Spoiler +













 Last edit: 06/09/2015 03:08

PuertoRican   United States. Aug 27 2015 04:43. Posts 13030


  On August 27 2015 02:53 Floofy wrote:
Show nested quote +



current ML odds are 1050. With 5dime reduced juice, it would be at least +1100

For your +1300 line to be a better choice than the +1100 ML, chambers needs to win ITD at least 85% of the time, when she does win. With all the horrible judging lately, i'm not sure thats the case.


I'd wait and see what her submission line is.

I don't think Chambers will win at all since she just sucks at MMA. And if she does win, it would have to be via submission, or else PVZ will reverse Chambers and/or find a way to get a better position and overwhelm her.

Either way, since I'm not betting the fight, I don't have to worry about what their lines are. Regarding DraftKings, none of my teams will have Chambers.

Rekrul is a newb 

soberstone   United States. Aug 27 2015 04:48. Posts 2662

..... 6'58 of the Arlovski Browne fight: "I THINK WE HAVE A NEW FAVORITE FIGHT OF ALL TIME!"......

Mike Golberg ladies and gentlemen... never fuckin gets old


northsails   Bulgaria. Aug 27 2015 09:03. Posts 410

I think there is some value in Manuwa here. Probably will move a little bit more so I can lay some cash at +500 .. ?


flounder44   United States. Aug 27 2015 10:57. Posts 916


  On August 26 2015 07:57 Baalim wrote:
It doesnt matter how much I try I simply dont care for these midgets fights



QFT, but at least we get star power in mir, rumble, arlovski, and paige


alejandicto   . Aug 27 2015 16:21. Posts 865

Nobody gives Dodson a chance? I always have faith on him.


Ryan Neilly   United States. Aug 27 2015 19:15. Posts 1631


  On August 26 2015 07:57 Baalim wrote:
It doesnt matter how much I try I simply dont care for these midgets fights


iakim322   United States. Aug 27 2015 21:58. Posts 1335

Before the fight was made and especially before Dodson's last fight, I was thinking he'd be the one to eventually dethrone DJ. But it's weird how memory from a few highlights can play tricks on you. Because of the fact that DJ so rarely gets hurt, him getting dropped in the Dodson fight made it seem like Dodson did relatively really well. After re-watching the fight though...turns out the vast majority of the fight was Dodson actually backing off while not being that active with DJ constantly pressuring even after getting dropped. Then it was DJ just dominating in clinch control. Dodson's power makes him live in any contest I guess but DJ is just so complete and can choose to make it a safe fight whenever he wants so yeah...gl with Dodson


Minsk   United States. Aug 28 2015 01:09. Posts 1558

I can see Frank Mir beating Arlovski. On the surface it looks like Arlovski is a little better, but I think its closer to 60/40 Frank Mir.


 
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