UFC FN 64: Gonzaga vs. Cro Cop 2

Date: Saturday, April 11th
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass): 16:45 LP.net / 8:45am PST / 11:45am EST
Main Card (UFC Fight Pass): 20:00 LP.net / 12pm PST / 3pm EST
Live Streams: http://www.vipbox.tv (All MMA events are listed under the UFC button. Press the UFC button and you'll see the event in the list.)




Main Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Gabriel Gonzaga (16-9) vs. Mirko Filipovic (30-11-2) (Heavyweight)
Jimi Manuwa (14-1) vs. Jan Blachowicz (18-3) (Light Heavyweight)
Pawel Pawlak (10-1) vs. Sheldon Westcott (8-2-1) (Welterweight)
Joanne Calderwood (9-0) vs. Maryna Moroz (5-0) (Women's Strawweight)

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Seth Baczynski (19-12) vs. Leon Edwards (8-2) (Welterweight)
Bartosz Fabinski (11-2) vs. Garreth McLellan (12-2) (Middleweight)
Sergio Moraes (8-2) vs. Mickael Lebout (13-3-1) (Welterweight)
Damian Stasiak (8-2) vs. Yaotzin Meza (20-9) (Featherweight)
Daniel Omielanczuk (16-4-1) vs. Anthony Hamilton (13-4) (Heavyweight)
Izabela Badurek (5-2) vs. Aleksandra Albu (1-0) (Women's Strawweight)
Marcin Bandel (13-3) vs. Steven Ray (16-5) (Lightweight)
Taylor Lapilus (8-1) vs. Rocky Lee (3-0) (Featherweight)

Other

- Peter Sobotta was expected to face Sergio Moraes at the event. However, Sobotta was forced out of the bout citing injury and was replaced by Gasan Umalatov. On March 28, it was announced that Umalatov had also pulled out of the fight and was replaced by French newcomer Mickael Lebout.
- Krzysztof Jotko was expected to face Garreth McLellan at the event. However, Jotko pulled out of the bout and was replaced by Bartosz Fabinski.
- Aisling Daly was expected to face Claudia Gadelha at the event. However, Gadelha pulled out of the bout in late March citing a recent muscle spasm in her back. Subsequently, Daly was pulled from the card entirely.
- Jason Saggo was expected to face Marcin Bandel at the event. However, Saggo pulled out of the bout due to an Achilles tendon rupture and was replaced by Scottish newcomer Steven Ray.

I'm not gonna even bother making picks for this card, cuz I don't know who 80% of these people are. Even with Gonzaga vs. Crocop, I have no idea.

The only fight I might have a read on is Calderwood over Moroz, and that's cuz Calderwood is a relatively popular female fighter and the UFC is making its debut in Scotland in a few months. If Calderwood wins this fight, the UFC could match her up against Joanna Jedrzejczyk for the title in Scotland. Two strikers with good take down defense.

I like Jan Blackowicz at the current odds.

I'm not done analyzing the fights, but here's what i got so far:

Gonzaga>Cro cop
Manuwa>Blachowicz
Westcott>Pawlak

I don't know the other fighters, and finding videos of them might be a pain. Why is this card so shitty lol

On April 07 2015 00:18 northsails wrote: I like Jan Blackowicz at the current odds.

Mind to explain why? I personally think Manuwa will take this easily.Manuwa is easily top 10 material. Jan B?achowicz is on his second UFC fight, never fought anyone truly good, and did a bleh performance against Houston Alexander.

Joanne Calderwood (9-0) vs. Maryna Moroz (5-0) (Women's Strawweight)

This is one difficult because there is very little info on Maryna Moroz. Her most recent fight, she seemed to get dominated, but then managed to pull a submission. Her other fight i found of her, she fought a really scary women dwarf but its 2 years ago it does not mean much. I'm not sure who i'm gonna bet on.

Overall, i'm feeling this is likely to look like Joanna vs Carla (Calderwood should be the far better striker, and i don't think Moroz can easily get her to the ground), but if it does get to the ground, Moroz seems fairly good at pulling off subs, and Calderwood doesnt have the best ground game. The odds are probably about right at the moment. I think if Moroz by sub has good enough odds, i might put a small bet on that, and one on calderwoods that covers it.

On April 07 2015 01:59 Floofy wrote: Show nested quote + On April 07 2015 00:18 northsails wrote: I like Jan Blackowicz at the current odds. Mind to explain why? I personally think Manuwa will take this easily.Manuwa is easily top 10 material. Jan B?achowicz is on his second UFC fight, never fought anyone truly good, and did a bleh performance against Houston Alexander.

Well Manuwa's never fought anyone truly good aswell, if we don't count the fight against Gus where he got smashed. His stand up is good, but B?achowicz is legit there also and I believe he will have cardio advantage. Honestly I see this fight as a coinfilp and it should be the best fight on the card.
Better cardio, home advantage and odds around +140. I will take that.

Keep in mind that the lined opened at -115 for Blachowicz. I deffinately feel there is value there.

Crocop looks so old in that banner :/ Used to love him back in the day, but think he should've retired long ago

I have faith on Crocop, I will bet on him at +150, Gonzaga is pretty bad so I dont think this is a bad bet.

I think Manuwa take this easily although I dont know too much about Blachowicz. I will only watch this two fights for obvious reasons.

While CC is 40 years old now, he has kept busy since his release from the UFC in 2011. He went 3-1 in MMA (lost via submission to Oleksiy Oliynyk, who is 2-0 in the UFC), bust mostly focused on kickboxing where he went 7-1 (lost a decision to Remy Bonjasky). Gonzaga has went 4-3 in the UFC since CC's release, but he's lost to tougher competition, and beat weaker competition.

No idea who'll win, but there's no way I'd bet Gonzaga at his current price of -170. It's crazy he even hit -260 at one point.

On April 07 2015 08:22 northsails wrote: Show nested quote + On April 07 2015 01:59 Floofy wrote:   On April 07 2015 00:18 northsails wrote: I like Jan Blackowicz at the current odds. Mind to explain why? I personally think Manuwa will take this easily.Manuwa is easily top 10 material. Jan B?achowicz is on his second UFC fight, never fought anyone truly good, and did a bleh performance against Houston Alexander. Well Manuwa's never fought anyone truly good aswell, if we don't count the fight against Gus where he got smashed. His stand up is good, but B?achowicz is legit there also and I believe he will have cardio advantage. Honestly I see this fight as a coinfilp and it should be the best fight on the card. Better cardio, home advantage and odds around +140. I will take that. Keep in mind that the lined opened at -115 for Blachowicz. I deffinately feel there is value there.

I agree with you its the best fight on card. You convinced me to rethink this. My bet might depends on where the line goes tho.

Bartosz Fabinski (11-2) vs. Garreth McLellan (12-2) (Middleweight)

THis will be really tough to bet on, only videos i can find of them are outdated and horrible quality.

I wonder if Rocky Lee got that name after watching a lot of Bruce Lee and Rocky movies.

On April 08 2015 10:03 Minsk wrote: I wonder if Rocky Lee got that name after watching a lot of Bruce Lee and Rocky movies.

I think its very possible. What kind of Thailander is named Rocky Lee.

http://babynames.net/boy/thai none of those look like a Rocky Lee to me

gonzaga is guna wreck cro cop

On April 07 2015 16:16 PuertoRican wrote: While CC is 40 years old now, he has kept busy since his release from the UFC in 2011. He went 3-1 in MMA (lost via submission to Oleksiy Oliynyk, who is 2-0 in the UFC), bust mostly focused on kickboxing where he went 7-1 (lost a decision to Remy Bonjasky). Gonzaga has went 4-3 in the UFC since CC's release, but he's lost to tougher competition, and beat weaker competition. No idea who'll win, but there's no way I'd bet Gonzaga at his current price of -170. It's crazy he even hit -260 at one point.

I was going to say that Crocop was done then saw this... then I saw Jack Slacks article that shows those MMA and kickboxing fights and Im back to my original though... Crocop is fucking done, he is going to lose this fight and Ill bet at anythig better than -150 to Gonzaga

I didnt realize before how much smaller Crocop is.. look at those fists